The Rimbot's NCAA Week of 10-07-2009 Predictions

ConfidencePickTeamExpected ScoreWLT%RankSPGFactorStd. Dev.APGFactorStd. Dev.
  Ohio363200.6056%28.401.302±0.28426.801.249±0.603
win at Akron361300.2537%22.501.662±1.29929.251.191±0.731
win Auburn515001.0085%41.402.002±0.31823.800.896±0.403
  at Arkansas392200.5056%35.751.894±0.95829.001.057±0.835
win Gardner-Webb393100.7565%31.501.339±0.88225.501.799±1.301
  at Buffalo281400.2031%18.600.885±0.40130.201.185±0.577
win Oregon214100.8074%34.201.580±0.64217.600.581±0.408
  at UCLA173100.7570%22.751.179±0.22915.500.514±0.145
  Eastern Mich.100400.0014%16.750.661±0.15030.751.225±0.296
win at Central Mich.344100.8068%30.201.026±0.62716.000.608±0.321
win Utah283100.7566%28.251.085±0.30119.000.775±0.221
  at Colorado St.203200.6057%26.801.053±0.14426.600.972±0.269
win Georgia Tech354100.8074%30.001.900±0.77023.000.905±0.458
  at Florida St.322300.4050%27.001.738±1.10024.000.834±0.576
win Fresno St.471300.2539%34.002.238±0.86328.250.735±0.499
  at Hawaii282200.5049%25.501.289±0.92925.251.087±0.302
win Michigan St.422300.4051%31.401.714±0.60324.600.746±0.369
  at Illinois191300.2538%17.750.992±0.76129.751.052±0.225
ConfidencePickTeamExpected ScoreWLT%RankSPGFactorStd. Dev.APGFactorStd. Dev.
  Michigan174100.8071%34.001.467±0.39823.400.914±0.365
win at Iowa355001.0091%24.802.039±0.74613.400.393±0.196
  Iowa St.143200.6057%25.001.222±0.52420.000.938±0.364
win at Kansas364001.0085%40.501.705±0.46513.500.444±0.264
win Bowling Green251400.2034%22.401.108±0.42730.201.090±0.409
  at Kent St.202300.4043%16.600.723±0.26123.601.086±0.659
win Florida284001.0086%45.502.116±0.6797.250.270±0.101
  at LSU85001.0087%27.001.147±0.32114.800.555±0.299
win Southern Miss.423200.6056%32.001.616±0.92723.601.004±0.751
  at Louisville191300.2532%20.250.747±0.19526.501.304±0.349
win UTEP332300.4047%25.401.104±0.84334.801.049±0.276
  at Memphis281400.2030%19.800.996±0.46829.801.315±0.396
win Florida A&M384001.0083%33.501.870±0.41811.000.926±0.229
  at Miami (FL)233100.7572%24.752.073±1.51625.500.833±0.356
  Purdue291400.2032%30.201.415±0.72729.600.891±0.150
win at Minnesota303200.6061%25.401.235±0.39224.600.776±0.272
  Houston433100.7567%42.501.803±0.90932.001.332±1.183
win at Mississippi St.452300.4047%28.201.612±0.60526.200.904±0.530
  Alabama175001.0085%40.001.685±0.46614.400.488±0.233
win at Mississippi193100.7568%32.501.535±0.60910.750.410±0.199
ConfidencePickTeamExpected ScoreWLT%RankSPGFactorStd. Dev.APGFactorStd. Dev.
win Nebraska253100.7566%39.251.744±0.6597.000.208±0.167
  at Missouri94001.0083%36.751.496±0.78115.500.610±0.209
  Ga. Southern123200.6057%20.400.943±0.35424.401.038±0.399
win at North Carolina213200.6060%18.600.911±0.73114.600.550±0.269
win BYU544100.8071%34.601.590±0.41122.000.887±0.920
  at UNLV252300.4041%29.601.059±0.24330.401.744±1.538
  Louisiana Tech272200.5052%25.500.806±0.26322.001.008±0.545
win at Nevada271300.2536%26.001.269±1.05332.251.061±0.229
win Utah St.331300.2536%29.251.241±0.54235.501.093±0.147
  at New Mexico St.182300.4041%15.200.530±0.30825.601.184±0.440
  Duke222300.4046%28.401.530±0.30227.000.968±0.148
win at North Carolina St.433200.6061%35.001.896±1.04417.800.557±0.366
win Arkansas St.551300.2536%29.502.350±1.60123.001.118±0.917
  at La.-Monroe343200.6054%33.401.337±0.57731.401.195±0.621
  Miami (OH)150500.0016%11.600.543±0.45140.802.011±0.954
win at Northwestern553200.6052%31.801.119±0.29626.201.332±0.396
  Wisconsin175001.0085%35.001.528±0.19824.600.850±0.191
win at Ohio St.304100.8074%29.401.455±0.42511.800.429±0.404
  Baylor123100.7567%36.251.536±0.19019.750.893±0.112
win at Oklahoma372200.5053%35.502.096±1.7848.750.290±0.332
ConfidencePickTeamExpected ScoreWLT%RankSPGFactorStd. Dev.APGFactorStd. Dev.
win Stanford264100.8071%31.201.306±0.35716.800.855±0.311
  at Oregon St.243200.6059%27.001.479±0.56122.000.729±0.446
  Eastern Ill.144100.8068%29.201.192±0.60815.200.743±0.719
win at Penn St.194100.8072%27.001.159±0.36211.600.492±0.319
  Connecticut233100.7570%28.751.279±0.55115.000.515±0.061
win at Pittsburgh244100.8071%37.001.954±0.46618.400.754±0.547
win Navy523200.6059%25.401.615±0.94721.401.005±0.760
  at Rice170500.0015%17.000.791±0.31040.601.507±0.524
  Texas Southern131300.2530%25.000.422±0.35933.251.651±0.592
win at Rutgers443100.7568%29.251.199±0.60420.500.721±0.258
win Idaho404100.8072%28.601.307±0.55725.601.055±0.549
  at San Jose St.161300.2537%13.250.732±0.27932.751.305±0.814
  Kentucky192200.5052%25.001.193±0.22526.500.828±0.536
win at South Carolina304100.8074%27.201.447±0.74516.800.679±0.586
win East Carolina293200.6060%21.200.965±0.20224.201.054±0.502
  at SMU272200.5052%26.751.070±0.30531.251.355±0.834
  North Texas211300.2533%19.500.797±0.30032.751.228±0.542
win at La.-Lafayette232200.5056%15.500.804±0.82030.000.974±0.457
win West Virginia413100.7572%33.251.696±0.44626.250.891±0.095
  at Syracuse322300.4047%25.001.578±0.87428.601.013±0.103
ConfidencePickTeamExpected ScoreWLT%RankSPGFactorStd. Dev.APGFactorStd. Dev.
  Ball St.180500.0016%20.600.885±0.42631.601.101±0.304
win at Temple312200.5050%22.751.167±0.65920.750.823±0.221
  Georgia263200.6063%27.201.767±1.22727.800.886±0.396
win at Tennessee342300.4047%29.401.507±0.58019.600.615±0.144
win Oklahoma St.333100.7567%39.001.288±0.52321.250.790±0.567
  at Texas A&M283100.7563%38.501.240±0.57925.500.871±0.422
win Kansas St.273200.6061%23.601.399±0.93117.400.744±0.348
  at Texas Tech263200.6056%38.601.360±0.36422.800.933±0.753
  Colorado121300.2535%25.750.824±0.15328.000.970±0.706
win at Texas524001.0089%49.502.015±0.35515.250.449±0.132
  Western Mich.292300.4043%20.200.667±0.41825.601.357±0.977
win at Toledo383200.6051%32.601.237±0.89437.801.669±0.252
win Marshall343200.6057%20.401.282±1.30425.401.138±0.565
  at Tulane222200.5055%18.750.928±0.74234.751.140±0.419
win Boise St.265001.0083%40.201.596±0.52114.400.600±0.465
  at Tulsa174100.8068%32.801.001±0.69416.200.651±0.423
win TCU184001.0085%34.751.368±0.44314.750.504±0.109
  at Air Force153200.6054%32.200.976±0.49912.600.544±0.294
win Vanderbilt192300.4041%20.000.768±0.54815.600.588±0.342
  at Army102300.4038%19.200.610±0.17022.801.018±0.244
ConfidencePickTeamExpected ScoreWLT%RankSPGFactorStd. Dev.APGFactorStd. Dev.
  Boston College194100.8069%30.001.218±0.45715.400.606±0.377
win at Virginia Tech274100.8078%31.402.286±1.00918.400.539±0.269
win Indiana253200.6060%25.401.251±0.24424.400.917±0.222
  at Virginia221300.2538%19.501.101±0.33024.000.784±0.399
  Maryland202300.4045%23.801.313±0.68134.801.391±0.412
win at Wake Forest563200.6064%26.802.155±1.09019.800.559±0.222
win Arizona St.392200.5049%30.501.012±0.38016.250.646±0.259
  at Washington St.101400.2032%15.000.672±0.21436.601.360±0.358
win Arizona323100.7574%26.751.397±0.39320.500.745±0.447
  at Washington262300.4051%25.001.655±0.53827.600.929±0.308
win FIU380400.0018%23.750.892±0.18138.001.173±0.334
  at Western Ky.230400.0017%12.250.835±0.48441.001.646±0.842
  New Mexico190500.0016%14.800.741±0.39038.001.300±0.142
win at Wyoming273200.6055%19.800.766±0.48228.401.119±0.408
  Prairie View202100.6759%23.330.741±0.28820.001.003±0.560
win at Alabama St.203100.7561%24.750.770±0.51216.501.150±0.558
  Duquesne182300.4041%18.400.917±0.58918.801.229±0.354
win at Albany (NY)203200.6055%20.400.781±0.23520.800.919±0.514
win Mississippi Val.272200.5047%19.500.378±0.27824.251.694±1.118
  at Alcorn St.200300.0017%14.000.691±0.97849.331.788±0.154
ConfidencePickTeamExpected ScoreWLT%RankSPGFactorStd. Dev.APGFactorStd. Dev.
  N.C. Central160500.0013%15.000.677±0.27230.201.494±0.522
win at Appalachian St.422200.5053%27.251.441±0.32225.750.934±0.436
win Holy Cross324001.0079%35.251.377±0.44317.251.503±0.677
  at Brown251200.3336%23.000.868±0.11321.670.966±0.038
  Idaho St.170410.1024%5.600.663±1.19837.001.418±0.848
win at Sacramento St.311300.2531%20.750.889±0.53336.501.802±0.851
win Dayton373100.7564%21.251.006±0.50014.750.742±0.122
  at Campbell151300.2528%24.000.877±0.56930.252.078±0.859
  Robert Morris170500.0014%16.600.857±0.28723.001.389±0.604
win at Central Conn. St.273100.7565%22.000.999±0.35319.750.978±0.426
  VMI201300.2533%20.251.201±0.87830.501.152±0.402
win at Coastal Caro.222200.5048%17.250.794±0.65315.751.077±0.644
  Harvard232100.6761%24.001.136±0.09020.670.798±0.068
win at Cornell232100.6766%23.331.352±0.50822.000.871±0.521
win Morehead St.302300.4040%22.000.838±0.56821.801.243±0.491
  at Davidson111300.2532%11.250.376±0.37733.001.511±0.804
  Bethune-Cookman70400.0018%9.000.448±0.27427.001.534±0.855
win at Delaware St.271200.3343%16.671.039±0.09118.000.633±0.365
win Massachusetts263100.7568%33.751.779±0.90013.750.573±0.226
  at Delaware173200.6060%24.801.506±0.51016.000.677±0.420
ConfidencePickTeamExpected ScoreWLT%RankSPGFactorStd. Dev.APGFactorStd. Dev.
  Missouri S&T140500.0019%16.200.730±0.54041.601.546±0.547
win at Drake493100.7564%27.751.335±0.58217.750.969±0.539
  Tennessee St.102300.4044%14.600.660±0.27420.000.687±0.181
win at Eastern Ky.213100.7570%22.251.332±1.31117.500.622±0.311
  Weber St.191310.3036%20.400.724±0.38921.601.134±0.634
win at Eastern Wash.304100.8069%30.401.198±0.77421.201.103±0.907
win Bryant263100.7567%17.250.790±0.33516.251.061±1.224
  at Fordham241300.2534%25.501.344±0.75332.501.513±0.972
win Alabama A&M424100.8073%26.201.345±0.38219.600.752±0.413
  at Grambling222300.4042%26.801.241±0.73631.801.588±0.247
  Howard122200.5048%9.500.514±0.24926.751.385±0.632
win at Hampton282200.5048%21.250.998±0.45322.501.355±0.373
  Maine222300.4041%21.600.850±0.31524.401.092±0.466
win at Hofstra273200.6060%18.201.387±1.74624.401.108±0.573
win Ark.-Pine Bluff262200.5052%20.501.217±1.28723.000.942±0.392
  at Jackson St.121300.2530%13.250.469±0.25025.001.048±0.541
win Richmond334001.0087%31.251.432±0.64614.750.661±0.576
  at James Madison192200.5049%30.001.218±0.41522.001.096±0.597
  Columbia182100.6761%30.331.129±0.38416.670.712±0.506
win at Lafayette203100.7564%23.001.439±0.70713.250.681±0.240
ConfidencePickTeamExpected ScoreWLT%RankSPGFactorStd. Dev.APGFactorStd. Dev.
  Georgetown120500.0016%7.400.311±0.09021.401.346±0.675
win at Lehigh200400.0017%16.500.843±0.38527.752.186±1.543
  Jacksonville141200.3337%18.000.607±0.44425.331.599±0.765
win at Marist252300.4041%19.400.717±0.32618.600.900±0.276
win Wagner292210.5049%28.201.210±1.05021.801.394±1.524
  at Monmouth282200.5053%22.001.176±0.21024.251.006±0.415
win Northern Ariz.382200.5052%32.001.862±1.13935.251.611±0.596
  at Montana St.293100.7564%19.250.774±0.42323.001.041±0.391
  Cal Poly152200.5049%19.501.085±1.00820.000.973±0.474
win at Montana294001.0084%36.251.185±0.44215.250.640±0.399
win N.C. A&T193200.6053%16.000.710±0.22818.401.217±0.501
  at Morgan St.123100.7559%13.000.473±0.34318.251.515±0.685
win Jacksonville St.563200.6058%36.601.645±1.12517.200.753±0.400
  at Murray St.161300.2532%24.000.821±0.62133.251.582±0.829
  Villanova195001.0083%32.601.381±0.39013.600.680±0.350
win at New Hampshire214001.0078%37.001.289±0.61112.750.647±0.102
  South Carolina St.223100.7564%24.751.042±0.24420.501.060±0.476
win at Norfolk St.262200.5050%24.001.303±0.58717.001.093±0.548
win UNI534100.8072%41.802.093±1.1627.600.461±0.410
  at North Dakota St.80410.1021%20.000.824±0.48126.601.224±0.663
ConfidencePickTeamExpected ScoreWLT%RankSPGFactorStd. Dev.APGFactorStd. Dev.
win Stony Brook282300.4043%22.600.932±0.36823.600.955±0.261
  at North Dakota222200.5050%24.500.906±0.42733.751.043±0.480
win William & Mary594100.8076%26.601.795±0.49018.200.676±0.109
  at Northeastern90500.0019%11.200.624±0.50341.401.673±0.572
  Portland St.231400.2026%20.200.939±0.53932.003.370±3.327
win at Northern Colo.331400.2033%13.600.623±0.71827.400.979±0.395
win Central Ark.443100.7561%29.250.803±0.18213.000.602±0.226
  at Northwestern St.70400.0015%14.250.441±0.16047.001.702±0.570
  Presbyterian190500.0015%15.200.653±0.14142.601.946±0.809
win at Old Dominion653200.6053%34.001.520±0.92726.001.325±0.507
  Bucknell163200.6052%17.000.799±0.30520.401.259±0.407
win at Penn191200.3340%16.670.790±0.50319.330.955±0.529
win Colgate455001.0084%31.401.682±1.35417.200.750±0.255
  at Princeton51200.3335%8.000.258±0.22230.001.228±0.297
  Towson221300.2537%12.750.719±0.45133.251.360±0.426
win at Rhode Island281300.2532%20.250.884±0.30734.501.459±0.615
win St. Francis (PA)341400.2032%19.801.223±1.12227.401.065±0.909
  at Sacred Heart170400.0017%13.500.705±0.35932.251.464±0.355
  Nicholls St.161300.2532%9.250.437±0.26246.752.046±1.091
win at Sam Houston St.592200.5048%30.001.212±0.81334.001.895±1.187
ConfidencePickTeamExpected ScoreWLT%RankSPGFactorStd. Dev.APGFactorStd. Dev.
  Chattanooga143100.7563%29.250.896±0.22718.250.809±0.421
win at Samford173200.6055%21.000.896±0.46212.600.566±0.422
  UC Davis181300.2537%13.750.866±0.64328.750.936±0.522
win at South Dakota493200.6058%33.202.303±2.70925.401.005±0.503
  Austin Peay291400.2030%21.001.112±0.56832.001.513±0.550
win at Southeast Mo. St.391400.2031%25.601.251±1.20129.601.196±0.698
  Illinois St.142300.4041%21.000.999±0.55429.001.794±1.734
win at Southern Ill.292110.6256%20.500.709±0.42513.750.704±0.646
win South Dakota St.273100.7566%34.251.368±0.58611.000.532±0.433
  at Missouri St.93200.6058%18.600.788±0.26622.800.692±0.452
  Southeastern La.332200.5048%32.250.823±0.37330.751.177±0.634
win at Texas St.502200.5053%34.251.922±1.13235.001.171±0.529
  McNeese St.383100.7567%38.751.462±0.56025.251.456±1.454
win at Stephen F. Austin593100.7564%55.001.507±0.78023.001.086±0.653
win Tennessee Tech282200.5047%24.000.661±0.32024.751.418±0.835
  at Tenn.-Martin252300.4038%24.000.661±0.27527.801.527±0.704
win San Diego242200.5048%19.250.827±0.43119.501.285±1.197
  at Valparaiso161300.2533%16.000.555±0.22829.001.223±0.127
  Dartmouth210300.0019%17.671.131±0.23136.001.792±0.857
win at Yale361200.3337%19.001.051±0.48518.331.169±0.473
ConfidencePickTeamExpected ScoreWLT%RankSPGFactorStd. Dev.APGFactorStd. Dev.
  Western Ill.191300.2534%20.500.871±0.42034.751.178±0.415
win at Youngstown St.253200.6053%22.800.656±0.41019.401.066±0.768
  Citadel152200.5046%29.250.997±0.40024.501.627±0.841
win at Elon384100.8070%30.201.074±0.63913.600.566±0.470
win Abilene Christian296001.0085%36.171.164±0.32615.170.665±0.293
  at Angelo St.205100.8371%33.331.241±0.76119.000.969±0.657
win Northwood (MI)313200.6061%21.001.290±0.87923.200.881±0.431
  at Ashland273300.5049%30.831.192±0.57226.671.281±0.504
win Merrimack444100.8073%30.801.572±0.35624.401.196±1.025
  at Assumption343200.6051%31.401.215±0.56625.601.577±0.696
win Wayne St. (NE)325100.8377%33.831.455±0.48122.170.605±0.342
  at Bemidji St.235200.7165%33.711.179±0.38923.710.889±0.229
  Lane110500.0017%8.200.389±0.42136.801.595±0.591
win at Benedict403300.5052%23.171.164±0.81127.331.270±0.478
  Southern Conn. St.174200.6762%29.001.411±0.76717.500.862±0.480
win at Bentley274100.8074%26.401.772±1.62413.200.515±0.291
  Fort Hays St.234200.6763%33.671.202±0.34829.171.093±0.574
win at Central Mo.335100.8371%32.501.056±0.21019.170.686±0.296
win Millersville321500.1730%15.330.787±0.38641.171.650±0.652
  at Cheyney180600.0013%10.830.440±0.37939.832.159±0.656
ConfidencePickTeamExpected ScoreWLT%RankSPGFactorStd. Dev.APGFactorStd. Dev.
  Western St.133300.5049%20.000.554±0.28732.171.565±0.738
win at Colorado Mines424200.6762%32.001.082±0.34721.670.686±0.251
win Bloomsburg186001.0086%24.671.004±0.38610.000.405±0.149
  at East Stroudsburg125100.8373%29.001.161±0.50619.330.648±0.425
win Tex. A&M-Kingsville476001.0083%33.501.759±1.23915.330.866±0.333
  at Tex. A&M-Commerce162400.3338%23.000.795±0.46332.171.141±0.578
win Bowie St.404200.6764%33.831.445±0.38121.000.812±0.465
  at Elizabeth City St.274200.6759%34.001.277±0.52428.831.122±0.358
win Shaw315100.8371%39.331.612±0.81820.830.814±0.335
  at Fayetteville St.283300.5051%27.501.565±0.73020.670.724±0.408
win Indianapolis181500.1729%14.830.595±0.33621.670.791±0.445
  at Ferris St.101500.1726%13.330.480±0.32331.671.213±0.448
win Grand Valley St.346001.0081%36.671.353±0.49313.000.851±0.647
  at Hillsdale224200.6762%31.501.355±0.30523.501.004±0.796
  Central Wash.276001.0083%28.171.054±0.3309.672.691±5.359
win at Humboldt St.452200.5047%29.001.143±0.46620.251.182±0.292
win Edinboro235100.8375%29.671.434±0.79621.171.004±0.345
  at Indiana (PA)203300.5051%19.830.982±0.58117.670.678±0.430
win Urbana541100.5057%17.001.153±0.30526.000.877±0.477
  at Ky. Wesleyan151400.2022%17.800.538±0.30941.403.505±1.870
ConfidencePickTeamExpected ScoreWLT%RankSPGFactorStd. Dev.APGFactorStd. Dev.
win Peru St.260100.0013%14.000.724±0.00016.000.738±0.000
  at Lincoln (MO)30600.0014%5.330.178±0.09838.831.681±0.481
win Virginia Union313300.5047%26.000.825±0.43420.330.878±0.522
  at Lincoln (PA)143300.5045%19.330.563±0.32230.001.458±0.748
win Delta St.493200.6060%30.401.304±0.41020.400.671±0.344
  at West Ala.212300.4044%28.801.106±0.58636.001.687±0.860
win Chowan580600.0017%23.331.945±1.84036.001.304±0.352
  at Livingstone70600.0013%5.670.184±0.18935.502.011±1.005
win California (PA)494200.6765%30.831.677±0.76922.000.906±0.373
  at Lock Haven40500.0015%4.000.178±0.15035.201.241±0.290
win West Chester263300.5049%31.001.165±0.60918.830.765±0.467
  at C.W. Post212400.3340%24.671.194±0.59221.830.842±0.468
  Gannon202400.3339%22.830.823±0.21932.831.263±0.455
win at Mercyhurst263300.5051%20.000.813±0.26817.171.126±0.539
win Findlay495100.8374%32.831.687±1.23315.500.809±0.535
  at Michigan Tech191400.2031%24.801.189±0.40236.001.157±0.418
win Albany St. (GA)395001.0081%34.601.217±0.4937.000.279±0.323
  at Miles63300.5049%19.830.829±0.31023.501.428±1.008
  Tuskegee214200.6764%24.331.159±0.46821.500.958±0.456
win at Morehouse264100.8069%30.401.069±0.28319.400.767±0.459
ConfidencePickTeamExpected ScoreWLT%RankSPGFactorStd. Dev.APGFactorStd. Dev.
  Washburn305100.8376%43.501.685±0.55923.001.015±0.781
win at Neb.-Omaha364200.6759%36.501.526±0.38019.500.646±0.547
win American Int'l334200.6763%26.671.423±1.06319.670.743±0.334
  at New Haven182300.4044%21.400.988±0.45126.801.042±0.628
  North Greenville40500.0017%6.600.360±0.33831.001.280±0.492
win at North Ala.496001.0085%41.671.471±0.24012.170.413±0.202
win Mo. Western St.645100.8377%43.172.115±0.41830.330.914±0.379
  at Truman171500.1729%16.830.616±0.67137.501.110±0.494
  Wayne St. (MI)185100.8374%31.831.663±0.84121.000.979±0.437
win at Northern Mich.314100.8068%37.601.217±0.26311.800.514±0.452
  Mo. Southern St.161400.2028%25.801.156±0.65629.800.924±0.306
win at Northwest Mo. St.455100.8377%41.501.766±0.48717.500.458±0.257
  Johnson C. Smith192200.5047%19.500.707±0.27330.002.292±0.994
win at St. Augustine's521500.1731%24.671.553±1.21528.830.917±0.204
  Minn.-Crookston100500.0011%10.800.311±0.16938.401.623±0.250
win at St. Cloud St.473300.5050%31.001.147±0.45727.831.039±0.511
  Kutztown253300.5051%21.671.006±0.24122.501.166±0.679
win at Shippensburg384200.6762%36.831.483±0.50222.171.310±0.678
  Clarion213300.5048%27.831.098±0.54124.501.003±0.521
win at Slippery Rock245100.8376%22.831.018±0.40518.670.771±0.312
ConfidencePickTeamExpected ScoreWLT%RankSPGFactorStd. Dev.APGFactorStd. Dev.
win Fort Valley St.533200.6057%32.801.553±0.54819.401.485±1.260
  at Stillman271300.2533%22.751.085±0.36831.001.741±1.010
win Pace260500.0016%16.600.937±0.53427.600.885±0.144
  at Stonehill251400.2028%22.601.088±0.87832.601.308±0.302
win Winona St.434300.5757%29.431.049±0.38324.000.775±0.263
  at Upper Iowa252400.3335%32.171.077±0.48537.001.577±0.609
  Henderson St.283300.5050%38.001.494±0.61429.001.077±0.683
win at Valdosta St.282300.4043%25.600.972±0.19019.800.673±0.391
  St. Paul's92300.4042%11.400.399±0.33423.002.129±2.460
win at Virginia St.364200.6758%24.500.835±0.29216.330.958±0.369
win Ark.-Monticello392400.3341%21.171.144±0.73536.001.094±0.547
  at West Ga.160500.0020%11.600.509±0.28244.401.254±0.404
win Eastern N.M.482400.3339%41.171.863±0.90038.501.663±0.859
  at West Tex. A&M441500.1729%21.171.367±0.75227.331.101±0.319
  Southern Ark.201400.2029%17.400.615±0.26236.001.235±0.183
win at Arkansas Tech483200.6056%38.001.388±0.43726.601.367±1.096
  Catawba213200.6054%26.000.963±0.38316.200.652±0.582
win at Carson-Newman234200.6765%29.501.615±0.99921.330.842±0.316
win UNC Pembroke435100.8372%32.831.529±0.49814.670.560±0.513
  at Fairmont St.121500.1728%20.830.778±0.50632.671.110±0.300
ConfidencePickTeamExpected ScoreWLT%RankSPGFactorStd. Dev.APGFactorStd. Dev.
win Adams St.422400.3335%29.170.974±0.43631.671.352±0.588
  at Fort Lewis161500.1726%12.830.457±0.25838.171.590±0.459
win Concord483200.6061%31.401.788±1.25634.201.428±0.227
  at Glenville St.332400.3337%24.170.912±0.31230.671.327±0.936
  Wingate324100.8068%30.801.189±0.46719.601.457±0.883
win at Lenoir-Rhyne334200.6757%31.171.044±0.32518.831.326±1.245
win Mary353300.5049%24.500.801±0.29225.330.956±0.353
  at Minn. St. Moorhead152400.3336%15.830.580±0.32036.501.694±0.820
  Mars Hill203200.6056%20.800.850±0.31027.801.148±1.046
win at Newberry393200.6054%26.801.665±1.18421.001.071±0.433
win Minn. Duluth635100.8376%42.171.726±0.54212.500.389±0.222
  at Northern St.91500.1725%22.830.713±0.18038.331.434±0.388
  Harding163300.5049%20.170.661±0.57831.831.171±0.459
win at Ouachita Baptist433100.7565%35.501.407±0.57819.000.999±0.586
  Emporia St.161500.1725%22.670.778±0.25030.171.214±0.379
win at Pittsburg St.343300.5052%28.001.160±0.62422.830.660±0.197
  Central Okla.231500.1726%19.500.912±0.33933.001.215±0.297
win at Southeastern Okla.374200.6761%30.831.127±0.55828.500.988±0.094
win Midwestern St.185100.8372%37.331.289±0.4659.170.349±0.290
  at Tarleton St.115100.8369%35.501.103±0.43212.000.531±0.358
ConfidencePickTeamExpected ScoreWLT%RankSPGFactorStd. Dev.APGFactorStd. Dev.
win Saginaw Valley494200.6767%22.831.316±0.52221.830.785±0.351
  at Tiffin120600.0017%11.670.645±0.58642.831.795±0.893
  West Virginia St.82300.4042%12.800.365±0.27725.200.987±0.921
win at West Liberty St.304110.7566%34.001.084±0.59818.830.737±0.483
win Chadron St.463300.5049%24.670.855±0.25221.500.881±0.427
  at Western N.M.341400.2026%36.801.626±0.60847.002.095±0.671
win Mesa St.183300.5049%27.170.701±0.38719.830.655±0.216
  at Colorado St.-Pueblo163200.6057%22.600.819±0.36423.000.711±0.475
  East Central100600.0019%5.170.259±0.15436.171.213±0.184
win at Incarnate Word241200.3337%18.330.717±0.31541.331.676±0.640
win Neb.-Kearney625100.8377%33.001.467±0.60315.500.509±0.171
  at N.M. Highlands50600.0015%10.170.372±0.28545.501.715±0.696
  Augustana (SD)314200.6761%29.331.146±0.53623.000.771±0.412
win at Southwest Minn. St.363300.5048%42.331.703±0.59026.831.032±0.280
win Minn. St. Mankato586001.0089%35.001.538±0.36219.000.644±0.307
  at Concordia-St. Paul131400.2030%19.800.707±0.49638.601.633±0.681
win Shepherd304200.6764%28.831.135±0.28724.670.757±0.157
  at West Va. Wesleyan131210.3840%17.750.544±0.41326.501.049±0.763
  Southwestern Okla.110600.0013%10.330.364±0.14448.001.909±0.622
win at Northeastern St.251500.1728%13.000.535±0.42227.831.075±0.459
ConfidencePickTeamExpected ScoreWLT%RankSPGFactorStd. Dev.APGFactorStd. Dev.
win Kentucky St.413300.5051%22.330.987±0.63326.671.103±0.424
  at Central St. (OH)100500.0010%11.200.295±0.36338.201.941±0.797
win Charleston (WV)646001.0083%38.001.349±0.34715.500.616±0.610
  at Seton Hill161400.2024%28.200.995±0.21135.002.120±0.838
  Tusculum190400.0020%22.751.157±0.40340.001.286±0.309
win at Brevard303100.7565%23.750.723±0.12617.000.763±0.301
  Western Ore.173200.6054%16.800.611±0.13519.201.175±1.156
win at Dixie St.192400.3340%18.330.812±0.36626.831.063±0.248
win Hartwick324100.8069%36.001.322±0.33217.200.728±0.437
  at Alfred274001.0084%38.751.490±0.76519.501.050±0.483
win Trine313100.7564%30.751.011±0.36622.000.842±0.291
  at Alma222200.5047%28.250.893±0.36525.501.171±0.589
  Middlebury211100.5044%40.002.324±0.36825.002.083±2.083
win at Amherst292001.0088%17.000.936±0.56412.000.351±0.111
win Utica822300.4043%36.001.161±0.40620.800.693±0.165
  at Anna Maria130500.0015%16.600.663±0.20555.802.751±1.210
win Carleton233100.7566%22.250.875±0.31619.000.845±0.648
  at Augsburg221300.2533%26.751.124±0.30327.251.010±0.465
  Maranatha Baptist60400.0010%6.500.188±0.12840.752.920±1.686
win at Aurora362200.5047%16.500.570±0.25127.001.187±0.374
ConfidencePickTeamExpected ScoreWLT%RankSPGFactorStd. Dev.APGFactorStd. Dev.
  Chris. Newport192200.5054%18.501.160±0.83826.501.012±0.429
win at Averett303100.7566%26.001.272±0.38118.500.898±0.715
win Otterbein434001.0080%38.251.190±0.27121.000.929±0.378
  at Baldwin-Wallace211300.2536%23.500.946±0.56931.001.273±0.709
win Ripon304100.8067%28.600.991±0.32312.200.628±0.583
  at Beloit144100.8066%27.000.871±0.46324.601.243±0.679
win Thiel242200.5048%18.500.889±0.41026.751.227±0.332
  at Bethany (WV)130300.0020%11.000.475±0.21134.330.983±0.242
  Framingham St.214100.8069%22.800.869±0.42820.800.981±0.290
win at Bridgewater St.303200.6056%32.601.346±0.52820.201.110±0.504
win Mount Union314001.0083%39.251.370±0.4308.500.312±0.241
  at Capital134001.0085%37.751.614±0.19221.750.824±0.232
win Allegheny113100.7563%16.250.529±0.24012.750.334±0.334
  at Carnegie Mellon104100.8067%27.800.902±0.37417.600.800±0.503
  Illinois Col.233200.6053%25.200.705±0.37621.602.945±3.361
win at Carroll (WI)251400.2030%12.400.664±0.41027.001.040±0.177
  Whittier171200.3334%23.000.955±0.07833.672.062±1.196
win at Chapman292100.6761%17.330.690±0.34616.670.779±0.199
  Rockford30400.0011%4.750.134±0.09448.752.009±0.492
win at Concordia Chicago513100.7566%25.501.034±0.68718.500.905±0.127
ConfidencePickTeamExpected ScoreWLT%RankSPGFactorStd. Dev.APGFactorStd. Dev.
win Luther302200.5052%21.250.918±0.51421.500.891±0.306
  at Cornell College141400.2031%15.000.644±0.44935.001.315±0.276
  FDU-Florham141300.2534%29.750.947±0.44140.502.049±1.328
win at Delaware Valley573100.7577%23.501.604±0.41915.500.443±0.252
  Hiram250400.0016%11.001.173±1.36047.751.847±0.130
win at Denison321300.2540%16.000.735±0.30635.000.811±0.251
  Johns Hopkins274100.8070%30.001.549±0.89820.801.133±0.866
win at Dickinson385001.0087%35.801.747±0.52020.600.718±0.544
win Loras611400.2032%18.803.258±5.06431.401.127±0.395
  at Dubuque372300.4043%31.201.260±0.67826.401.899±0.624
win Wittenberg754001.0080%43.251.625±0.6703.250.318±0.322
  at Earlham52200.5046%23.750.732±0.38241.251.936±0.935
win Carthage203100.7566%31.501.257±0.40229.751.194±0.436
  at Elmhurst203100.7566%18.750.572±0.23912.500.770±0.328
win Hampden-Sydney305001.0083%40.401.758±0.74115.800.790±0.595
  at Emory & Henry204001.0085%29.751.084±0.38218.000.707±0.406
  Westminster (MO)371200.3331%33.331.186±0.58127.002.348±1.362
win at Eureka402300.4046%21.801.083±0.70228.201.242±0.286
  Methodist251300.2531%20.250.887±0.48532.751.787±0.812
win at Ferrum431200.3343%27.331.153±0.36830.671.140±0.276
ConfidencePickTeamExpected ScoreWLT%RankSPGFactorStd. Dev.APGFactorStd. Dev.
win Randolph-Macon323200.6053%22.001.014±0.44619.800.975±0.353
  at Frostburg St.240400.0020%19.751.466±1.07137.501.193±0.179
win Norwich172300.4039%24.200.724±0.31917.000.942±0.800
  at Gallaudet163200.6054%22.600.608±0.30118.600.848±0.440
win N.C. Wesleyan312200.5056%28.751.728±0.57733.001.006±0.426
  at Greensboro232200.5051%17.250.884±0.29421.500.880±0.298
  Pacific Lutheran241200.3336%19.000.790±0.54736.331.543±0.557
win at Gust. Adolphus351300.2539%19.001.137±0.63433.501.180±0.277
win St. John's (MN)355001.0086%29.601.240±0.15118.800.742±0.292
  at Hamline212200.5051%26.501.197±0.51830.251.130±0.725
  Albion131300.2533%11.500.366±0.16423.000.831±0.482
win at Hope310500.0020%28.801.670±0.66035.201.087±0.487
  Millikin163100.7568%29.001.416±0.97326.500.966±0.373
win at Ill. Wesleyan444001.0086%41.251.841±0.74713.500.444±0.244
  St. John Fisher202200.5051%30.001.265±0.11532.501.177±0.622
win at Ithaca464100.8076%31.601.670±0.50217.000.584±0.411
  Marietta152200.5050%17.500.617±0.20326.251.082±0.373
win at John Carroll242200.5048%24.000.821±0.46123.500.942±0.386
win Muhlenberg201300.2534%14.750.711±0.49020.250.690±0.450
  at Juniata40500.0016%4.600.213±0.27330.201.276±0.541
ConfidencePickTeamExpected ScoreWLT%RankSPGFactorStd. Dev.APGFactorStd. Dev.
  Buffalo St.161300.2531%22.000.745±0.36042.501.833±0.547
win at Kean473100.7570%25.001.130±0.31217.750.824±0.604
  Ohio Wesleyan221300.2535%11.000.505±0.41922.501.200±0.947
win at Kenyon351400.2031%28.001.620±1.07135.202.413±1.880
win Grinnell291400.2027%19.000.577±0.31425.801.442±1.242
  at Knox170500.0018%12.800.578±0.38743.001.759±0.225
win Claremont-M-S312100.6756%19.000.795±0.39918.330.938±0.694
  at La Verne140300.0018%13.330.827±0.67541.331.489±0.433
  Lawrence80400.0018%6.250.385±0.33044.501.767±0.823
win at Lake Forest220500.0018%11.400.556±0.29026.800.978±0.191
win Albright424001.0083%36.251.719±0.94512.750.627±0.461
  at Lycoming162200.5051%24.251.368±1.06326.251.090±0.167
  Worcester St.330500.0014%12.600.458±0.23928.601.149±0.469
win at Maine Maritime403100.7564%34.501.392±0.66828.254.157±5.112
win Curry253200.6058%20.200.945±0.32815.600.643±0.684
  at MIT131300.2529%22.000.787±0.13225.001.342±0.966
  St. Norbert115001.0080%38.401.546±0.99015.200.879±0.351
win at Monmouth (IL)405001.0082%50.602.277±0.9875.200.339±0.401
win Cortland St.253100.7568%25.500.960±0.52017.000.662±0.228
  at Montclair St.193100.7567%31.751.040±0.36523.251.086±0.703
ConfidencePickTeamExpected ScoreWLT%RankSPGFactorStd. Dev.APGFactorStd. Dev.
win Gettysburg441400.2032%35.602.419±1.36938.401.607±0.966
  at Moravian91400.2034%5.400.227±0.34724.000.840±0.251
win Wilmington (OH)261300.2538%20.750.852±0.14226.000.947±0.385
  at Muskingum230400.0017%19.001.115±0.68033.251.174±0.207
  Castleton St.191300.2528%19.250.588±0.26844.502.327±0.425
win at Maritime (NY)623200.6055%31.201.139±0.42626.401.132±0.465
win Salve Regina422300.4046%24.801.462±0.65024.200.817±0.173
  at Nichols172300.4040%16.800.811±0.41927.401.747±0.751
  North Park111300.2532%14.250.530±0.09931.501.396±0.580
win at North Central (IL)763100.7567%50.252.598±1.19911.501.071±1.337
win Chicago231200.3341%17.670.785±0.27638.331.476±0.488
  at Oberlin130400.0019%7.250.419±0.27628.751.356±0.380
  Redlands243001.0082%38.671.248±0.12817.001.404±1.196
win at Occidental452100.6766%28.672.963±2.52917.330.693±0.501
  Heidelberg371300.2534%30.251.344±0.30237.751.405±0.080
win at Ohio Northern632200.5055%27.752.331±1.41530.251.110±0.798
win Kalamazoo383200.6051%34.801.133±0.61934.402.571±0.815
  at Olivet290500.0018%8.001.094±0.98731.001.194±0.671
  Endicott243200.6059%24.201.036±0.59523.201.021±0.618
win at Plymouth St.334100.8067%33.801.378±0.22719.001.143±0.931
ConfidencePickTeamExpected ScoreWLT%RankSPGFactorStd. Dev.APGFactorStd. Dev.
win Cal Lutheran532100.6762%35.671.376±0.34613.670.443±0.116
  at Pomona-Pitzer122100.6756%24.331.021±0.25321.672.136±0.441
  Menlo101400.2031%11.600.423±0.29227.401.132±0.448
win at Puget Sound300300.0019%9.001.820±2.01725.330.770±0.103
win DePauw353100.7566%27.751.021±0.54817.000.592±0.473
  at Rhodes101300.2532%15.500.589±0.37832.001.344±0.624
win Susquehanna273200.6054%23.600.976±0.42416.801.678±1.862
  at Rochester (NY)271300.2538%21.001.059±0.05129.501.100±0.465
  Hanover281300.2536%28.251.045±0.23834.501.125±0.308
win at Rose-Hulman452300.4044%36.401.417±0.60125.001.077±0.169
win Bethel (MN)243200.6062%32.602.051±1.06714.400.489±0.140
  at St. Olaf153200.6059%26.401.226±0.44515.600.496±0.138
  Macalester191400.2029%18.000.652±0.52732.401.579±0.689
win at St. Scholastica323200.6053%24.400.766±0.31723.601.234±0.384
  Concordia-M'head131200.3345%17.671.280±0.65525.670.791±0.256
win at St. Thomas (MN)474001.0085%47.252.223±0.63913.000.541±0.151
win Maryville (TN)182200.5053%22.250.868±0.19822.750.970±0.523
  at Shenandoah171300.2529%18.750.698±0.21117.750.923±0.692
win Central (IA)545001.0087%36.401.600±0.45614.200.451±0.291
  at Simpson152300.4044%23.801.333±0.86130.201.658±1.059
ConfidencePickTeamExpected ScoreWLT%RankSPGFactorStd. Dev.APGFactorStd. Dev.
win Austin302200.5049%30.251.214±0.37224.751.098±0.092
  at Sewanee60400.0018%5.000.242±0.25126.250.960±0.649
win Western New Eng.221400.2030%15.200.855±0.66433.601.557±0.600
  at Mass.-Dartmouth50500.0016%3.800.144±0.11832.001.063±0.228
  Husson232200.5050%26.250.734±0.59117.750.642±0.153
win at Springfield383100.7570%45.752.604±0.55625.501.020±0.764
  Brockport432200.5048%29.501.413±0.45637.001.745±0.485
win at TCNJ623100.7565%44.751.252±0.59430.251.438±0.426
win Hamilton561100.5056%19.004.833±3.83317.501.808±0.192
  at Trinity (CT)442001.0081%30.501.851±0.48217.501.457±0.543
win Bowdoin971100.5056%31.0025.500±24.50024.000.698±0.079
  at Tufts61100.5044%9.000.272±0.1577.000.500±0.000
  Fitchburg St.223200.6056%28.001.050±0.67727.001.410±0.727
win at Coast Guard272200.5051%20.250.958±0.19722.000.769±0.348
  Hobart152200.5055%17.500.811±0.52418.000.632±0.125
win at Union (NY)163100.7568%20.001.036±0.49219.000.825±0.296
win Frank. & Marsh.393100.7564%37.001.831±0.63225.001.522±0.148
  at Ursinus322200.5050%27.250.912±0.50726.250.806±0.559
  Washington-St. Louis82200.5052%17.750.749±0.78724.500.757±0.446
win at Wabash614001.0085%50.753.384±2.63811.000.452±0.246
ConfidencePickTeamExpected ScoreWLT%RankSPGFactorStd. Dev.APGFactorStd. Dev.
  Buena Vista142200.5044%20.250.773±0.25218.001.009±0.251
win at Wartburg313100.7567%31.751.618±1.05819.750.672±0.289
  Catholic220400.0014%15.500.679±0.34428.751.181±0.272
win at Wash. & Lee241400.2028%20.200.870±0.29720.601.905±1.888
  Colby80200.0013%9.500.365±0.36534.001.190±0.095
win at Wesleyan (CT)201100.5050%10.500.833±0.16714.501.183±0.983
win Rowan493100.7569%31.751.341±0.40816.000.616±0.249
  at Western Conn. St.120400.0014%18.500.725±0.47135.251.581±0.349
  Mass. Maritime132300.4040%27.801.291±0.82627.001.340±0.253
win at Westfield St.182300.4042%15.600.549±0.38111.000.448±0.165
  Augustana (IL)193100.7574%25.251.844±1.04411.000.596±0.360
win at Wheaton (IL)214001.0082%39.001.778±0.67713.750.476±0.241
  King's (PA)161300.2532%18.250.754±0.35627.750.992±0.367
win at Widener303100.7567%28.751.125±0.26122.000.843±0.359
  Lebanon Valley223100.7567%28.251.043±0.41023.250.921±0.339
win at Wilkes273100.7572%24.001.397±0.65220.500.795±0.361
win Bates610200.0019%10.500.833±0.16725.003.173±1.827
  at Williams471100.5050%22.001.006±0.49422.509.871±9.129
  Wis.-River Falls242200.5057%24.001.484±0.45821.250.680±0.263
win at Wis.-Oshkosh432200.5060%31.253.065±2.69423.000.556±0.150
ConfidencePickTeamExpected ScoreWLT%RankSPGFactorStd. Dev.APGFactorStd. Dev.
win Wis.-La Crosse314001.0081%39.251.301±0.26515.500.879±0.802
  at Wis.-Platteville142200.5054%14.500.962±0.14224.000.760±0.343
win Wis.-Stout263001.0086%29.331.111±0.4318.330.304±0.088
  at Wis.-Stevens Point102100.6763%30.001.261±0.57424.000.868±0.226
  Wis.-Eau Claire132200.5048%33.251.495±0.28833.751.586±0.502
win at Wis.-Whitewater653001.0079%45.001.731±0.6003.330.621±0.346
win Case334001.0079%39.251.388±0.38013.500.713±0.071
  at Wooster233100.7567%37.751.377±0.50318.001.039±0.934
  Merchant Marine243200.6059%27.601.516±0.76823.601.344±1.146
win at WPI393200.6055%32.201.502±0.93816.600.826±0.845
win Mt. St. Joseph804001.0081%38.001.421±0.50423.250.898±0.185
  at Anderson (IN)140300.0013%18.000.478±0.21347.672.443±0.422
win Franklin453100.7570%32.001.389±0.19330.751.234±0.229
  at Bluffton190400.0017%17.000.583±0.17438.501.156±0.199
win Benedictine (IL)222200.5052%15.500.677±0.42427.501.156±0.224
  at Concordia (WI)171300.2530%16.000.531±0.22833.001.431±0.356
win Manchester221300.2533%23.000.716±0.24828.000.959±0.530
  at Defiance131300.2532%13.000.458±0.18729.750.995±0.471
win Hardin-Simmons301400.2034%23.601.094±0.65031.600.938±0.381
  at East Tex. Baptist202300.4042%20.400.653±0.31630.001.168±0.652
ConfidencePickTeamExpected ScoreWLT%RankSPGFactorStd. Dev.APGFactorStd. Dev.
  Millsaps243200.6059%30.601.348±0.33524.400.855±0.339
win at Huntingdon263100.7566%30.751.072±0.38719.250.746±0.249
win MacMurray280300.0019%24.000.974±0.07532.001.816±0.757
  at LaGrange242200.5050%15.750.632±0.31728.251.223±0.317
win Wis. Lutheran342200.5053%25.501.254±0.28329.001.427±1.048
  at Lakeland341300.2536%27.501.001±0.23033.001.061±0.702
  Louisiana Col.92200.5048%38.001.059±0.12529.001.412±0.996
win at Mary Hardin-Baylor463001.0078%41.001.205±0.4547.330.287±0.029
win Crown (MN)392300.4038%30.000.869±0.28830.401.427±0.427
  at Minn.-Morris220300.0013%16.670.648±0.19739.331.442±0.494
  Texas Lutheran270400.0018%18.000.952±0.20139.501.426±0.452
win at Sul Ross St.401300.2529%28.001.026±0.60431.501.308±0.621
win Waynesburg633100.7569%37.002.155±1.27829.750.938±0.443
  at Westminster (PA)220400.0016%19.250.902±0.22731.751.544±0.401
win Linfield433001.0084%33.001.782±0.82818.670.794±0.173
  at Whitworth202300.4043%22.401.150±0.52027.201.154±0.870
  McMurry231400.2033%24.001.126±0.45736.801.127±0.179
win at Howard Payne372100.6752%38.330.840±0.34320.330.963±0.458
win Northwestern (MN)313200.6055%30.801.134±0.46924.401.105±0.835
  at Martin Luther303200.6050%35.400.894±0.47021.801.232±0.776
ConfidencePickTeamExpected ScoreWLT%RankSPGFactorStd. Dev.APGFactorStd. Dev.
win Willamette733100.7565%32.751.426±0.52414.250.720±0.547
  at Lewis & Clark110300.0014%16.330.700±0.57532.673.017±2.216
win Mount Ida502300.4043%22.600.976±0.45123.000.807±0.456
  at Becker90500.0015%10.200.422±0.58755.002.090±0.239
win Centre465001.0085%29.201.466±0.81617.600.609±0.314
  at Birmingham-So.202200.5049%31.751.193±0.50529.001.688±0.631
win Wm. Paterson261300.2533%17.250.634±0.11820.000.626±0.216
  at Morrisville St.151400.2030%20.200.892±0.54942.201.458±0.448

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