The Rimbot's NCAA Week of 10-11-2009 Predictions
| Confidence | Pick | Team | Expected Score | W | L | T | % | Rank | SPG | Factor | Std. Dev. | APG | Factor | Std. Dev. |
|---|
 | | South Carolina | 14 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0.83 | 74% | 27.33 | 1.296 | ±0.761 | 18.33 | 0.759 | ±0.565 |
 | at Alabama | 30 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1.00 | 87% | 37.00 | 1.729 | ±0.397 | 12.50 | 0.401 | ±0.249 |
 | | Washington | 22 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0.50 | 56% | 26.83 | 1.635 | ±0.533 | 28.50 | 1.026 | ±0.345 |
 | at Arizona St. | 28 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0.60 | 55% | 29.80 | 0.876 | ±0.290 | 15.80 | 0.652 | ±0.292 |
 |  | Stanford | 28 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0.67 | 62% | 30.67 | 1.229 | ±0.253 | 20.33 | 0.899 | ±0.294 |
| | at Arizona | 26 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0.60 | 63% | 28.00 | 1.331 | ±0.267 | 23.60 | 0.859 | ±0.465 |
 | | Kentucky | 31 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0.40 | 46% | 25.20 | 1.386 | ±0.261 | 26.80 | 0.899 | ±0.467 |
 | at Auburn | 40 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0.83 | 73% | 38.33 | 1.718 | ±0.494 | 27.17 | 0.957 | ±0.376 |
 |  | Bowling Green | 31 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0.33 | 42% | 24.67 | 1.169 | ±0.436 | 31.00 | 1.237 | ±0.580 |
| | at Ball St. | 25 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0.00 | 15% | 20.33 | 0.807 | ±0.293 | 30.33 | 1.107 | ±0.310 |
 |  | North Carolina St. | 28 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0.50 | 53% | 33.83 | 1.512 | ±0.835 | 23.00 | 0.771 | ±0.516 |
| | at Boston College | 23 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0.67 | 61% | 27.33 | 1.042 | ±0.396 | 20.83 | 0.725 | ±0.492 |
 |  | Akron | 29 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0.20 | 33% | 19.40 | 1.500 | ±1.471 | 27.20 | 1.030 | ±0.682 |
| | at Buffalo | 25 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0.33 | 41% | 22.17 | 1.004 | ±0.412 | 25.67 | 0.985 | ±0.647 |
 | | San Jose St. | 15 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0.20 | 33% | 15.60 | 0.717 | ±0.226 | 32.00 | 1.256 | ±0.733 |
 | at Fresno St. | 56 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0.40 | 48% | 35.60 | 2.096 | ±0.820 | 26.00 | 0.749 | ±0.466 |
 |  | California | 21 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0.60 | 62% | 30.40 | 1.489 | ±1.302 | 22.60 | 0.772 | ±0.408 |
| | at UCLA | 18 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0.60 | 60% | 20.20 | 0.910 | ±0.269 | 17.20 | 0.557 | ±0.150 |
| Confidence | Pick | Team | Expected Score | W | L | T | % | Rank | SPG | Factor | Std. Dev. | APG | Factor | Std. Dev. |
|---|
 |  | Miami (FL) | 36 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0.80 | 77% | 29.40 | 2.295 | ±1.590 | 23.60 | 0.705 | ±0.282 |
| | at UCF | 23 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0.60 | 56% | 23.20 | 1.238 | ±0.836 | 20.00 | 0.877 | ±0.263 |
 |  | Wake Forest | 24 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0.67 | 65% | 29.33 | 1.718 | ±1.196 | 21.83 | 0.741 | ±0.363 |
| | at Clemson | 20 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0.40 | 47% | 24.00 | 0.989 | ±0.376 | 17.80 | 0.593 | ±0.281 |
 |  | Kansas | 45 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1.00 | 85% | 40.60 | 1.740 | ±0.432 | 18.00 | 0.646 | ±0.470 |
| | at Colorado | 15 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0.20 | 32% | 23.40 | 0.874 | ±0.140 | 30.00 | 0.945 | ±0.641 |
 | | Louisville | 13 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0.40 | 43% | 21.20 | 0.812 | ±0.209 | 25.80 | 1.201 | ±0.377 |
 | at Connecticut | 32 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0.60 | 60% | 27.20 | 1.190 | ±0.364 | 16.80 | 0.554 | ±0.101 |
 | | Rice | 17 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0.00 | 15% | 16.50 | 0.750 | ±0.246 | 44.33 | 1.646 | ±0.625 |
 | at East Carolina | 39 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0.50 | 54% | 21.17 | 0.967 | ±0.208 | 24.83 | 0.928 | ±0.313 |
 |  | Kent St. | 28 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0.33 | 36% | 19.67 | 0.799 | ±0.377 | 25.67 | 1.232 | ±0.644 |
| | at Eastern Mich. | 18 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0.00 | 16% | 15.00 | 0.674 | ±0.202 | 35.80 | 1.376 | ±0.347 |
 |  | Troy | 30 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0.60 | 58% | 21.60 | 0.961 | ±0.355 | 27.00 | 0.903 | ±0.514 |
| | at FIU | 25 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0.20 | 30% | 26.40 | 0.962 | ±0.165 | 34.40 | 1.281 | ±0.359 |
 | | Arkansas | 9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0.60 | 62% | 37.40 | 1.706 | ±0.716 | 27.80 | 0.995 | ±0.783 |
 | at Florida | 44 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1.00 | 89% | 39.00 | 1.787 | ±0.699 | 6.40 | 0.214 | ±0.091 |
 |  | Virginia Tech | 47 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0.83 | 81% | 34.17 | 2.323 | ±0.720 | 17.67 | 0.520 | ±0.247 |
| | at Georgia Tech | 26 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0.83 | 76% | 33.17 | 1.962 | ±0.766 | 26.50 | 0.965 | ±0.473 |
 | | Hawaii | 31 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0.40 | 41% | 23.80 | 1.308 | ±1.237 | 28.60 | 1.154 | ±0.284 |
 | at Idaho | 34 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0.83 | 74% | 28.67 | 1.246 | ±0.527 | 25.50 | 1.162 | ±0.536 |
| Confidence | Pick | Team | Expected Score | W | L | T | % | Rank | SPG | Factor | Std. Dev. | APG | Factor | Std. Dev. |
|---|
 | | Illinois | 23 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0.20 | 32% | 17.00 | 0.905 | ±0.727 | 28.60 | 0.982 | ±0.188 |
 | at Indiana | 26 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0.50 | 51% | 22.33 | 1.074 | ±0.415 | 28.17 | 1.167 | ±0.600 |
 |  | Baylor | 28 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0.60 | 56% | 30.40 | 1.273 | ±0.320 | 22.40 | 0.930 | ±0.204 |
| | at Iowa St. | 27 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0.50 | 52% | 26.83 | 1.292 | ±0.767 | 23.50 | 0.877 | ±0.355 |
 |  | Texas A&M | 33 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0.60 | 55% | 37.00 | 1.319 | ±0.506 | 27.60 | 0.884 | ±0.350 |
| | at Kansas St. | 24 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0.50 | 52% | 22.00 | 1.024 | ±0.713 | 25.50 | 0.873 | ±0.480 |
 | | New Mexico St. | 15 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0.50 | 48% | 16.00 | 0.575 | ±0.348 | 24.17 | 1.097 | ±0.466 |
 | at Louisiana Tech | 21 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0.40 | 43% | 23.20 | 0.700 | ±0.253 | 25.00 | 0.952 | ±0.404 |
 |  | Virginia | 40 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0.40 | 48% | 25.00 | 1.264 | ±0.427 | 20.60 | 0.702 | ±0.435 |
| | at Maryland | 22 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0.33 | 39% | 25.17 | 1.285 | ±0.541 | 36.00 | 1.399 | ±0.386 |
 | | Northwestern | 22 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0.67 | 57% | 29.17 | 0.969 | ±0.392 | 22.83 | 1.179 | ±0.547 |
 | at Michigan St. | 35 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0.50 | 54% | 30.17 | 1.522 | ±0.610 | 22.83 | 0.765 | ±0.353 |
 | | Delaware St. | 17 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0.25 | 33% | 14.25 | 0.755 | ±0.360 | 15.75 | 0.706 | ±0.318 |
 | at Michigan | 23 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0.67 | 64% | 33.00 | 1.463 | ±0.408 | 24.50 | 1.023 | ±0.427 |
 |  | Mississippi St. | 36 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0.33 | 41% | 27.50 | 1.384 | ±0.643 | 27.00 | 0.903 | ±0.488 |
| | at Middle Tenn. | 22 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0.60 | 54% | 24.20 | 0.816 | ±0.332 | 26.80 | 1.238 | ±0.440 |
 | | UAB | 12 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0.40 | 42% | 28.00 | 0.918 | ±0.323 | 31.80 | 1.316 | ±0.427 |
 | at Mississippi | 36 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0.60 | 61% | 26.60 | 1.172 | ±0.677 | 13.00 | 0.428 | ±0.171 |
 | | Texas Tech | 12 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0.67 | 62% | 43.17 | 1.746 | ±0.959 | 21.33 | 0.887 | ±0.669 |
 | at Nebraska | 34 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0.80 | 72% | 36.80 | 1.689 | ±0.497 | 8.00 | 0.226 | ±0.148 |
| Confidence | Pick | Team | Expected Score | W | L | T | % | Rank | SPG | Factor | Std. Dev. | APG | Factor | Std. Dev. |
|---|
 |  | Utah | 39 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0.80 | 71% | 27.40 | 1.109 | ±0.309 | 18.60 | 0.729 | ±0.151 |
| | at UNLV | 20 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0.33 | 39% | 28.17 | 1.057 | ±0.132 | 35.17 | 1.459 | ±0.960 |
 | | Fla. Atlantic | 26 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0.00 | 18% | 18.00 | 0.759 | ±0.281 | 36.00 | 1.287 | ±0.299 |
 | at North Texas | 30 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0.20 | 29% | 22.40 | 0.872 | ±0.318 | 33.80 | 1.484 | ±0.661 |
 |  | Arkansas St. | 45 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0.25 | 36% | 29.50 | 1.792 | ±1.048 | 23.00 | 0.876 | ±0.556 |
| | at La.-Monroe | 30 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0.60 | 55% | 33.40 | 1.308 | ±0.472 | 31.40 | 1.148 | ±0.581 |
 |  | Southern California | 27 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0.80 | 72% | 28.80 | 1.283 | ±0.631 | 8.60 | 0.323 | ±0.178 |
| | at Notre Dame | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0.80 | 71% | 32.60 | 1.305 | ±0.292 | 23.80 | 0.805 | ±0.437 |
 | | Miami (OH) | 11 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0.00 | 16% | 10.67 | 0.479 | ±0.421 | 36.67 | 1.401 | ±0.594 |
 | at Ohio | 39 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0.67 | 59% | 26.83 | 1.092 | ±0.295 | 23.50 | 0.962 | ±0.497 |
 |  | Missouri | 31 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0.80 | 72% | 31.80 | 1.576 | ±0.682 | 17.80 | 0.604 | ±0.153 |
| | at Oklahoma St. | 23 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0.80 | 72% | 38.40 | 1.309 | ±0.535 | 23.20 | 0.816 | ±0.521 |
 | | Texas | 14 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1.00 | 87% | 47.20 | 1.916 | ±0.365 | 15.00 | 0.449 | ±0.113 |
 | at Oklahoma | 22 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0.60 | 60% | 35.00 | 1.923 | ±1.597 | 8.40 | 0.236 | ±0.247 |
 | | Minnesota | 12 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0.67 | 63% | 27.00 | 1.209 | ±0.344 | 23.83 | 0.814 | ±0.251 |
 | at Penn St. | 31 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0.83 | 75% | 31.17 | 1.529 | ±0.916 | 10.17 | 0.448 | ±0.328 |
 |  | Ohio St. | 36 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0.83 | 77% | 29.67 | 1.385 | ±0.421 | 12.00 | 0.392 | ±0.307 |
| | at Purdue | 14 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0.17 | 29% | 28.50 | 1.330 | ±0.727 | 30.50 | 1.006 | ±0.227 |
 |  | Pittsburgh | 26 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0.83 | 76% | 34.83 | 1.842 | ±0.504 | 18.83 | 0.679 | ±0.420 |
| | at Rutgers | 22 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0.80 | 71% | 31.80 | 1.149 | ±0.398 | 16.40 | 0.608 | ±0.395 |
| Confidence | Pick | Team | Expected Score | W | L | T | % | Rank | SPG | Factor | Std. Dev. | APG | Factor | Std. Dev. |
|---|
 |  | BYU | 43 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0.83 | 72% | 38.67 | 1.621 | ±0.410 | 21.83 | 0.803 | ±0.655 |
| | at San Diego St. | 21 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0.40 | 44% | 23.40 | 1.052 | ±0.288 | 25.80 | 1.124 | ±0.474 |
 |  | Cincinnati | 21 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1.00 | 85% | 42.00 | 2.437 | ±1.719 | 13.80 | 0.577 | ±0.384 |
| | at South Fla. | 19 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1.00 | 81% | 37.00 | 1.195 | ±0.511 | 9.40 | 0.461 | ±0.365 |
 |  | Navy | 42 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0.67 | 61% | 31.67 | 1.460 | ±0.742 | 20.17 | 0.906 | ±0.479 |
| | at SMU | 24 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0.60 | 59% | 27.00 | 1.121 | ±0.317 | 29.20 | 1.300 | ±0.692 |
 | | Memphis | 21 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0.33 | 38% | 22.33 | 0.904 | ±0.358 | 28.17 | 1.255 | ±0.495 |
 | at Southern Miss. | 39 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0.50 | 50% | 30.50 | 1.379 | ±0.579 | 23.83 | 0.906 | ±0.471 |
 | | Army | 14 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0.50 | 45% | 18.67 | 0.659 | ±0.217 | 21.17 | 0.949 | ±0.183 |
 | at Temple | 22 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0.60 | 55% | 23.00 | 1.034 | ±0.487 | 20.40 | 0.813 | ±0.156 |
 | | Colorado St. | 14 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0.50 | 52% | 25.17 | 1.034 | ±0.184 | 26.17 | 0.857 | ±0.184 |
 | at TCU | 32 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1.00 | 87% | 31.80 | 1.419 | ±0.344 | 15.20 | 0.473 | ±0.059 |
 |  | Northern Ill. | 53 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0.60 | 58% | 31.60 | 1.166 | ±0.313 | 18.60 | 0.639 | ±0.407 |
| | at Toledo | 21 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0.50 | 45% | 31.50 | 1.136 | ±0.657 | 41.17 | 1.866 | ±0.553 |
 |  | Houston | 50 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0.80 | 71% | 40.20 | 1.544 | ±0.505 | 30.40 | 1.233 | ±1.021 |
| | at Tulane | 24 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0.40 | 47% | 17.00 | 0.858 | ±0.734 | 34.00 | 1.195 | ±0.285 |
 |  | Boise St. | 27 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1.00 | 85% | 40.20 | 1.655 | ±0.504 | 14.40 | 0.539 | ±0.397 |
| | at Tulsa | 16 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0.80 | 68% | 32.80 | 1.020 | ±0.738 | 16.20 | 0.679 | ±0.419 |
 | | Wyoming | 11 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0.67 | 58% | 22.67 | 0.756 | ±0.403 | 25.83 | 1.054 | ±0.395 |
 | at Air Force | 29 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0.50 | 50% | 29.67 | 1.008 | ±0.426 | 13.83 | 0.527 | ±0.271 |
| Confidence | Pick | Team | Expected Score | W | L | T | % | Rank | SPG | Factor | Std. Dev. | APG | Factor | Std. Dev. |
|---|
 |  | Nevada | 35 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0.40 | 44% | 28.20 | 1.155 | ±0.741 | 28.60 | 1.023 | ±0.306 |
| | at Utah St. | 30 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0.20 | 31% | 26.80 | 1.107 | ±0.529 | 32.40 | 1.128 | ±0.185 |
 |  | Georgia | 21 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0.50 | 55% | 25.83 | 1.490 | ±0.904 | 30.67 | 1.007 | ±0.397 |
| | at Vanderbilt | 20 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0.33 | 34% | 18.83 | 0.709 | ±0.508 | 15.67 | 0.701 | ±0.358 |
 | | Marshall | 22 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0.67 | 63% | 22.17 | 1.025 | ±0.741 | 22.83 | 0.903 | ±0.444 |
 | at West Virginia | 32 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0.80 | 72% | 33.40 | 1.503 | ±0.492 | 23.60 | 0.861 | ±0.208 |
 |  | La.-Lafayette | 30 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0.60 | 60% | 20.00 | 0.808 | ±0.750 | 30.80 | 1.208 | ±0.531 |
| | at Western Ky. | 21 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0.00 | 16% | 13.80 | 0.821 | ±0.439 | 40.20 | 1.419 | ±0.564 |
 |  | Central Mich. | 39 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0.83 | 70% | 34.50 | 1.269 | ±0.649 | 14.67 | 0.605 | ±0.344 |
| | at Western Mich. | 14 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0.50 | 49% | 26.50 | 0.833 | ±0.536 | 25.67 | 1.329 | ±0.962 |
 |  | Iowa | 32 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1.00 | 90% | 25.67 | 1.596 | ±0.524 | 15.83 | 0.457 | ±0.243 |
| | at Wisconsin | 19 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0.83 | 76% | 31.33 | 1.506 | ±0.260 | 25.67 | 0.871 | ±0.178 |
 |  | Grambling | 30 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0.50 | 51% | 29.17 | 1.476 | ±0.806 | 29.83 | 1.435 | ±0.341 |
| | at Alabama St. | 26 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0.60 | 52% | 21.80 | 0.716 | ±0.470 | 18.00 | 1.140 | ±0.483 |
 | | Bryant | 13 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0.60 | 55% | 15.20 | 0.697 | ±0.456 | 20.00 | 1.116 | ±1.074 |
 | at Albany (NY) | 26 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0.67 | 60% | 26.17 | 1.130 | ±0.833 | 19.00 | 0.878 | ±0.529 |
 |  | Alabama A&M | 46 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0.67 | 65% | 25.17 | 1.420 | ±0.597 | 23.17 | 0.859 | ±0.443 |
| | at Alcorn St. | 18 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0.25 | 33% | 18.50 | 0.848 | ±0.889 | 39.50 | 1.395 | ±0.541 |
 | | Princeton | 10 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0.25 | 32% | 9.50 | 0.437 | ±0.342 | 27.75 | 1.171 | ±0.489 |
 | at Brown | 32 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.50 | 51% | 25.75 | 1.187 | ±0.491 | 24.00 | 0.908 | ±0.025 |
| Confidence | Pick | Team | Expected Score | W | L | T | % | Rank | SPG | Factor | Std. Dev. | APG | Factor | Std. Dev. |
|---|
 | | Valparaiso | 10 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0.20 | 30% | 14.20 | 0.594 | ±0.283 | 32.80 | 1.544 | ±0.502 |
 | at Butler | 63 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1.00 | 86% | 37.20 | 2.069 | ±0.808 | 17.60 | 0.727 | ±0.272 |
 | | Southern Utah | 28 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0.40 | 40% | 33.20 | 1.120 | ±0.280 | 30.60 | 1.311 | ±0.871 |
 | at Cal Poly | 30 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0.40 | 45% | 20.20 | 1.089 | ±0.698 | 23.00 | 0.886 | ±0.307 |
 | | Winston-Salem | 10 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0.00 | 16% | 8.60 | 0.440 | ±0.182 | 20.60 | 1.195 | ±0.229 |
 | at UC Davis | 18 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0.40 | 47% | 15.80 | 0.822 | ±0.511 | 27.60 | 0.844 | ±0.403 |
 | | Penn | 14 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.50 | 51% | 17.75 | 0.790 | ±0.392 | 15.25 | 0.854 | ±0.703 |
 | at Columbia | 22 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.50 | 52% | 28.00 | 1.348 | ±0.435 | 18.50 | 0.721 | ±0.426 |
 |  | Fordham | 30 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0.40 | 45% | 27.40 | 1.389 | ±0.580 | 27.40 | 1.189 | ±0.745 |
| | at Cornell | 28 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.50 | 55% | 20.00 | 1.171 | ±0.525 | 23.50 | 0.965 | ±0.502 |
 | | Davidson | 9 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0.40 | 41% | 12.20 | 0.439 | ±0.358 | 28.40 | 1.197 | ±0.707 |
 | at Dayton | 28 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0.80 | 67% | 24.00 | 0.989 | ±0.371 | 15.20 | 0.888 | ±0.205 |
 |  | Central Conn. St. | 33 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0.80 | 69% | 26.00 | 1.214 | ±0.380 | 20.00 | 0.947 | ±0.349 |
| | at Duquesne | 16 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0.33 | 36% | 17.00 | 0.784 | ±0.481 | 24.83 | 1.375 | ±0.628 |
 | | Tennessee Tech | 21 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0.60 | 54% | 26.20 | 0.784 | ±0.414 | 25.40 | 1.393 | ±0.791 |
 | at Eastern Ill. | 30 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0.67 | 59% | 24.83 | 0.998 | ±0.555 | 21.33 | 0.949 | ±0.790 |
 | | Tenn.-Martin | 17 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0.33 | 34% | 24.67 | 0.761 | ±0.294 | 29.00 | 1.414 | ±0.419 |
 | at Eastern Ky. | 28 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0.60 | 57% | 21.20 | 0.890 | ±0.551 | 18.00 | 0.863 | ±0.436 |
 |  | Samford | 23 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0.50 | 49% | 18.67 | 0.846 | ±0.521 | 12.83 | 0.551 | ±0.386 |
| | at Furman | 17 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0.60 | 57% | 28.00 | 1.491 | ±1.080 | 25.20 | 1.368 | ±0.642 |
| Confidence | Pick | Team | Expected Score | W | L | T | % | Rank | SPG | Factor | Std. Dev. | APG | Factor | Std. Dev. |
|---|
 |  | Colgate | 34 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1.00 | 83% | 29.67 | 1.256 | ±0.733 | 16.67 | 0.984 | ±0.449 |
| | at Georgetown | 5 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0.00 | 13% | 6.17 | 0.271 | ±0.174 | 22.33 | 1.361 | ±0.564 |
 |  | Chattanooga | 29 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0.80 | 68% | 26.20 | 0.985 | ±0.229 | 16.00 | 0.733 | ±0.413 |
| | at Ga. Southern | 15 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0.50 | 51% | 19.00 | 0.961 | ±0.393 | 27.33 | 1.182 | ±0.598 |
 |  | Lafayette | 22 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0.80 | 71% | 23.20 | 1.585 | ±0.760 | 14.80 | 0.657 | ±0.174 |
| | at Harvard | 17 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0.75 | 69% | 25.00 | 1.146 | ±0.167 | 18.00 | 0.663 | ±0.137 |
 | | Dartmouth | 21 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0.00 | 19% | 15.00 | 1.032 | ±0.569 | 36.50 | 1.677 | ±0.429 |
 | at Holy Cross | 57 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0.80 | 67% | 34.40 | 1.528 | ±0.571 | 20.60 | 1.379 | ±0.455 |
 |  | Northern Colo. | 28 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0.17 | 28% | 14.33 | 0.688 | ±0.774 | 26.67 | 1.032 | ±0.419 |
| | at Idaho St. | 17 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0.00 | 15% | 10.33 | 0.851 | ±1.281 | 44.50 | 1.794 | ±0.299 |
 | | Indiana St. | 8 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0.00 | 16% | 6.17 | 0.203 | ±0.226 | 36.33 | 2.627 | ±2.705 |
 | at Illinois St. | 47 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0.33 | 37% | 21.33 | 1.028 | ±0.538 | 31.33 | 1.696 | ±1.371 |
 | | Texas Southern | 14 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0.20 | 28% | 20.00 | 0.346 | ±0.360 | 35.00 | 1.553 | ±0.517 |
 | at Jackson St. | 19 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0.20 | 28% | 13.20 | 0.501 | ±0.224 | 24.00 | 1.002 | ±0.489 |
 |  | Morehead St. | 25 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0.33 | 35% | 20.00 | 0.736 | ±0.557 | 20.83 | 1.257 | ±0.496 |
| | at Jacksonville | 22 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0.25 | 32% | 20.25 | 0.881 | ±0.541 | 26.75 | 1.520 | ±0.467 |
 |  | Villanova | 33 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0.83 | 76% | 31.17 | 1.605 | ±0.386 | 16.00 | 0.660 | ±0.294 |
| | at James Madison | 19 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0.40 | 43% | 27.40 | 1.228 | ±0.390 | 21.80 | 1.014 | ±0.501 |
 |  | Yale | 25 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.50 | 46% | 23.75 | 0.983 | ±0.379 | 15.50 | 1.086 | ±0.592 |
| | at Lehigh | 17 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0.20 | 28% | 18.60 | 0.912 | ±0.296 | 22.20 | 1.194 | ±0.770 |
| Confidence | Pick | Team | Expected Score | W | L | T | % | Rank | SPG | Factor | Std. Dev. | APG | Factor | Std. Dev. |
|---|
 | | Coastal Caro. | 13 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0.60 | 54% | 17.80 | 0.812 | ±0.658 | 13.80 | 0.726 | ±0.345 |
 | at Liberty | 18 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0.60 | 57% | 25.80 | 1.315 | ±0.877 | 17.40 | 0.672 | ±0.210 |
 |  | Richmond | 30 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1.00 | 86% | 29.20 | 1.348 | ±0.655 | 15.20 | 0.683 | ±0.639 |
| | at Maine | 14 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0.50 | 49% | 20.67 | 0.852 | ±0.351 | 22.67 | 1.025 | ±0.510 |
 |  | New Hampshire | 28 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1.00 | 82% | 35.20 | 1.423 | ±0.606 | 15.00 | 0.703 | ±0.188 |
| | at Massachusetts | 24 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0.60 | 57% | 32.40 | 1.677 | ±0.910 | 19.60 | 0.805 | ±0.525 |
 | | Northwestern St. | 11 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0.00 | 16% | 11.40 | 0.364 | ±0.227 | 44.40 | 1.671 | ±0.800 |
 | at McNeese St. | 57 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0.60 | 57% | 33.60 | 1.285 | ±0.614 | 23.40 | 1.185 | ±1.408 |
 |  | South Dakota | 41 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0.50 | 51% | 31.50 | 2.382 | ±3.511 | 25.17 | 1.112 | ±0.520 |
| | at Montana St. | 18 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0.60 | 56% | 17.40 | 0.668 | ±0.400 | 23.00 | 0.886 | ±0.400 |
 | | Eastern Wash. | 19 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0.67 | 59% | 27.50 | 1.028 | ±0.708 | 22.83 | 0.987 | ±0.825 |
 | at Montana | 34 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1.00 | 86% | 36.00 | 1.435 | ±0.465 | 16.80 | 0.743 | ±0.435 |
 | | Howard | 8 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0.40 | 41% | 7.60 | 0.347 | ±0.200 | 28.80 | 1.524 | ±0.637 |
 | at Morgan St. | 16 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0.80 | 67% | 11.80 | 0.499 | ±0.363 | 15.80 | 1.320 | ±0.930 |
 |  | Texas St. | 82 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0.40 | 45% | 37.40 | 1.935 | ±1.294 | 38.20 | 1.360 | ±0.474 |
| | at Nicholls St. | 16 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0.20 | 28% | 11.60 | 0.441 | ±0.227 | 46.20 | 1.977 | ±1.058 |
 |  | Hampton | 25 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0.60 | 54% | 24.40 | 1.046 | ±0.443 | 18.00 | 1.136 | ±0.632 |
| | at Norfolk St. | 23 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0.40 | 45% | 21.20 | 1.224 | ±0.665 | 21.00 | 1.187 | ±0.467 |
 |  | Delaware St. | 14 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0.25 | 33% | 14.25 | 0.755 | ±0.360 | 15.75 | 0.706 | ±0.318 |
| | at N.C. A&T | 10 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0.50 | 48% | 14.33 | 0.637 | ±0.196 | 16.50 | 1.034 | ±0.438 |
| Confidence | Pick | Team | Expected Score | W | L | T | % | Rank | SPG | Factor | Std. Dev. | APG | Factor | Std. Dev. |
|---|
 | | Southern Ill. | 11 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0.70 | 62% | 25.00 | 0.859 | ±0.518 | 15.60 | 0.690 | ±0.543 |
 | at UNI | 29 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0.83 | 72% | 41.83 | 1.831 | ±0.977 | 10.83 | 0.528 | ±0.397 |
 | | Campbell | 24 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0.20 | 27% | 22.60 | 0.939 | ±0.462 | 31.20 | 1.769 | ±0.448 |
 | at Old Dominion | 54 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0.67 | 57% | 34.00 | 1.524 | ±1.125 | 24.33 | 1.153 | ±0.320 |
 |  | Northern Ariz. | 64 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0.60 | 59% | 30.20 | 1.461 | ±0.696 | 30.20 | 1.300 | ±0.567 |
| | at Portland St. | 27 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0.33 | 36% | 20.67 | 0.884 | ±0.449 | 29.67 | 2.783 | ±3.229 |
 | | Mississippi Val. | 10 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0.40 | 39% | 17.60 | 0.344 | ±0.251 | 25.80 | 1.810 | ±1.024 |
 | at Prairie View | 34 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0.75 | 68% | 23.50 | 0.952 | ±0.404 | 17.50 | 0.806 | ±0.466 |
 |  | Hofstra | 30 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0.50 | 51% | 17.50 | 0.894 | ±0.862 | 23.00 | 1.056 | ±0.597 |
| | at Rhode Island | 21 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0.20 | 28% | 21.80 | 0.867 | ±0.445 | 34.80 | 1.671 | ±0.809 |
 |  | St. Francis (PA) | 24 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0.17 | 27% | 17.67 | 0.788 | ±0.675 | 27.67 | 1.083 | ±0.766 |
| | at Robert Morris | 21 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0.00 | 13% | 17.33 | 0.815 | ±0.258 | 26.17 | 1.592 | ±0.638 |
 |  | Monmouth | 27 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0.40 | 46% | 22.40 | 1.101 | ±0.351 | 24.80 | 0.968 | ±0.336 |
| | at Sacred Heart | 17 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0.20 | 30% | 16.60 | 0.722 | ±0.264 | 27.20 | 1.081 | ±0.515 |
 |  | Drake | 22 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0.80 | 66% | 26.00 | 1.057 | ±0.504 | 14.20 | 0.815 | ±0.651 |
| | at San Diego | 17 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0.60 | 54% | 25.00 | 0.983 | ±0.507 | 17.00 | 1.001 | ±0.915 |
 | | Bethune-Cookman | 17 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0.20 | 30% | 9.00 | 0.456 | ±0.239 | 23.00 | 1.387 | ±0.993 |
 | at Savannah St. | 17 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0.25 | 29% | 15.25 | 0.525 | ±0.412 | 33.75 | 1.974 | ±1.064 |
 | | Florida A&M | 28 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0.80 | 70% | 30.00 | 1.580 | ±0.508 | 18.40 | 1.224 | ±0.440 |
 | at South Carolina St. | 29 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0.80 | 70% | 27.20 | 1.311 | ±0.487 | 18.40 | 0.900 | ±0.471 |
| Confidence | Pick | Team | Expected Score | W | L | T | % | Rank | SPG | Factor | Std. Dev. | APG | Factor | Std. Dev. |
|---|
 | | North Dakota St. | 19 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0.17 | 27% | 31.00 | 1.612 | ±1.025 | 33.83 | 1.187 | ±0.282 |
 | at South Dakota St. | 39 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0.80 | 69% | 32.20 | 1.173 | ±0.410 | 12.20 | 0.602 | ±0.398 |
 | | Sam Houston St. | 40 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0.60 | 54% | 32.80 | 1.022 | ±0.552 | 31.40 | 1.600 | ±0.830 |
 | at Southeastern La. | 44 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0.60 | 54% | 36.00 | 0.991 | ±0.495 | 34.60 | 1.373 | ±0.735 |
 | | Murray St. | 16 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0.20 | 28% | 20.60 | 0.816 | ±0.774 | 34.80 | 1.510 | ±0.703 |
 | at Tennessee St. | 23 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0.50 | 50% | 15.50 | 0.658 | ±0.265 | 19.50 | 0.745 | ±0.199 |
 |  | Delaware | 49 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0.67 | 66% | 27.83 | 1.799 | ±0.751 | 17.83 | 0.743 | ±0.414 |
| | at Towson | 14 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0.40 | 46% | 17.40 | 0.858 | ±0.496 | 32.20 | 1.420 | ±0.401 |
 |  | Stony Brook | 26 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0.33 | 38% | 22.83 | 0.810 | ±0.278 | 24.83 | 1.014 | ±0.279 |
| | at VMI | 20 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0.20 | 28% | 17.40 | 0.933 | ±0.714 | 28.40 | 1.246 | ±0.392 |
 | | Sacramento St. | 25 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0.40 | 39% | 24.20 | 0.830 | ±0.437 | 32.60 | 1.791 | ±0.700 |
 | at Weber St. | 44 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0.50 | 49% | 29.50 | 1.049 | ±0.235 | 23.00 | 1.308 | ±0.492 |
 |  | Citadel | 34 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0.40 | 42% | 24.80 | 0.943 | ±0.437 | 28.20 | 1.316 | ±0.499 |
| | at Western Caro. | 9 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0.00 | 13% | 8.00 | 0.290 | ±0.248 | 29.60 | 1.597 | ±0.887 |
 |  | Missouri St. | 25 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0.50 | 52% | 18.33 | 0.851 | ±0.379 | 23.00 | 0.683 | ±0.360 |
| | at Western Ill. | 18 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0.20 | 32% | 20.60 | 0.949 | ±0.447 | 34.00 | 1.133 | ±0.259 |
 | | Stephen F. Austin | 20 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0.80 | 70% | 47.20 | 1.346 | ±0.761 | 21.00 | 0.887 | ±0.616 |
 | at Central Ark. | 22 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0.80 | 64% | 30.20 | 0.831 | ±0.222 | 10.40 | 0.533 | ±0.349 |
 | | Charleston So. | 29 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0.40 | 42% | 19.60 | 0.678 | ±0.561 | 34.60 | 1.524 | ±1.146 |
 | at Gardner-Webb | 41 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0.60 | 53% | 25.80 | 1.215 | ±1.220 | 28.40 | 1.958 | ±1.110 |
| Confidence | Pick | Team | Expected Score | W | L | T | % | Rank | SPG | Factor | Std. Dev. | APG | Factor | Std. Dev. |
|---|
 |  | Appalachian St. | 45 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0.60 | 55% | 32.80 | 1.465 | ±0.367 | 24.80 | 1.115 | ±0.411 |
| | at Wofford | 20 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0.20 | 33% | 18.60 | 0.745 | ±0.286 | 32.40 | 1.282 | ±0.356 |
 | | West Tex. A&M | 15 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0.21 | 31% | 18.14 | 1.288 | ±0.923 | 23.43 | 1.112 | ±0.582 |
 | at Abilene Christian | 31 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0.93 | 80% | 31.00 | 1.198 | ±0.608 | 13.00 | 0.684 | ±0.429 |
 | | Upper Iowa | 22 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0.36 | 38% | 27.57 | 1.108 | ±0.704 | 31.71 | 1.622 | ±0.946 |
 | at Augustana (SD) | 39 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0.64 | 60% | 25.14 | 1.194 | ±0.770 | 19.71 | 0.801 | ±0.571 |
 | | Cheyney | 4 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0.07 | 18% | 9.29 | 0.452 | ±0.460 | 34.14 | 2.126 | ±1.109 |
 | at Bloomsburg | 39 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0.93 | 81% | 21.14 | 0.968 | ±0.566 | 8.57 | 0.397 | ±0.231 |
 | | St. Paul's | 12 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0.50 | 50% | 12.50 | 0.570 | ±0.420 | 19.17 | 1.897 | ±2.358 |
 | at Bowie St. | 47 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0.71 | 67% | 34.29 | 1.512 | ±0.459 | 22.71 | 0.929 | ±0.507 |
 | | Edinboro | 24 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0.79 | 71% | 25.43 | 1.417 | ±1.059 | 18.14 | 1.017 | ±0.593 |
 | at California (PA) | 28 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0.64 | 63% | 26.43 | 1.631 | ±1.107 | 18.86 | 0.866 | ±0.555 |
 | | Mercyhurst | 17 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0.50 | 50% | 17.14 | 0.811 | ±0.465 | 14.71 | 1.155 | ±0.794 |
 | at Clarion | 22 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0.50 | 49% | 23.86 | 1.134 | ±0.756 | 21.00 | 1.031 | ±0.716 |
 |  | Albany St. (GA) | 24 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0.92 | 77% | 28.83 | 1.215 | ±0.775 | 5.83 | 0.240 | ±0.286 |
| | at Clark Atlanta | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0.40 | 42% | 19.40 | 1.006 | ±0.747 | 18.40 | 0.920 | ±0.705 |
 |  | Tarleton St. | 45 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0.79 | 68% | 30.43 | 1.130 | ±0.664 | 10.29 | 0.518 | ±0.441 |
| | at Eastern N.M. | 19 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0.36 | 41% | 35.29 | 1.923 | ±1.266 | 33.00 | 1.720 | ±1.182 |
 | | Lincoln (PA) | 18 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0.50 | 46% | 16.57 | 0.510 | ±0.393 | 25.71 | 1.377 | ±0.989 |
 | at Elizabeth City St. | 43 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0.57 | 53% | 33.86 | 1.500 | ±0.700 | 30.00 | 1.247 | ±0.371 |
| Confidence | Pick | Team | Expected Score | W | L | T | % | Rank | SPG | Factor | Std. Dev. | APG | Factor | Std. Dev. |
|---|
 | | Southern U. | 35 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0.60 | 53% | 34.00 | 1.252 | ±0.814 | 24.60 | 1.990 | ±1.366 |
 | at Fort Valley St. | 46 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0.58 | 56% | 27.33 | 1.539 | ±0.952 | 16.17 | 1.460 | ±1.576 |
 |  | Slippery Rock | 26 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0.79 | 72% | 19.57 | 0.975 | ±0.534 | 16.00 | 0.771 | ±0.472 |
| | at Gannon | 14 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0.36 | 40% | 19.57 | 0.820 | ±0.410 | 28.14 | 1.269 | ±0.739 |
 |  | Findlay | 29 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0.86 | 74% | 30.14 | 2.108 | ±2.633 | 14.00 | 0.959 | ±1.004 |
| | at Grand Valley St. | 27 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0.86 | 72% | 34.86 | 1.424 | ±0.492 | 15.00 | 0.876 | ±0.509 |
 | | Southern Ore. | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.00 | 10% | 5.00 | 0.149 | ±0.149 | 28.50 | 1.629 | ±0.260 |
 | at Humboldt St. | 34 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0.50 | 48% | 23.20 | 1.029 | ±0.772 | 16.20 | 0.911 | ±0.491 |
 |  | Michigan Tech | 17 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0.17 | 29% | 21.50 | 1.040 | ±0.498 | 32.33 | 1.051 | ±0.464 |
| | at Indianapolis | 15 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0.21 | 31% | 12.71 | 0.492 | ±0.350 | 18.57 | 0.671 | ±0.436 |
 |  | Fayetteville St. | 39 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0.57 | 57% | 27.71 | 1.689 | ±0.869 | 21.71 | 0.806 | ±0.472 |
| | at Johnson C. Smith | 13 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0.50 | 48% | 15.60 | 0.639 | ±0.454 | 24.00 | 1.373 | ±0.689 |
 |  | Benedict | 25 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0.50 | 51% | 19.86 | 1.205 | ±1.063 | 23.43 | 1.322 | ±0.788 |
| | at Kentucky St. | 24 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0.50 | 51% | 19.14 | 0.984 | ±0.725 | 22.86 | 1.156 | ±0.687 |
 | | Grand View | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | 20% | 0.00 | 0.000 | ±0.000 | 22.00 | 0.815 | ±0.000 |
 | at Ky. Wesleyan | 12 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0.25 | 27% | 14.83 | 0.536 | ±0.427 | 34.50 | 3.412 | ±2.399 |
 |  | East Stroudsburg | 25 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0.79 | 70% | 24.86 | 1.152 | ±0.742 | 16.57 | 0.649 | ±0.545 |
| | at Kutztown | 14 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0.50 | 51% | 18.57 | 0.984 | ±0.515 | 19.29 | 1.142 | ±0.901 |
 |  | Morehouse | 37 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0.75 | 66% | 25.33 | 1.106 | ±0.606 | 16.17 | 0.805 | ±0.654 |
| | at Lane | 6 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0.08 | 22% | 6.83 | 0.398 | ±0.509 | 30.67 | 1.546 | ±0.921 |
| Confidence | Pick | Team | Expected Score | W | L | T | % | Rank | SPG | Factor | Std. Dev. | APG | Factor | Std. Dev. |
|---|
 |  | Ark.-Monticello | 37 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0.43 | 45% | 23.00 | 1.283 | ±0.931 | 31.29 | 1.185 | ±0.744 |
| | at West Ala. | 31 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0.42 | 45% | 24.00 | 1.051 | ±0.731 | 30.00 | 1.578 | ±1.208 |
 |  | Indiana (PA) | 24 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0.50 | 50% | 17.00 | 0.955 | ±0.738 | 15.14 | 0.683 | ±0.559 |
| | at Lock Haven | 2 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0.08 | 21% | 3.33 | 0.178 | ±0.183 | 29.33 | 1.183 | ±0.600 |
 | | Minn. St. Moorhead | 9 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0.36 | 38% | 13.57 | 0.576 | ±0.405 | 31.29 | 1.741 | ±1.219 |
 | at Minn. St. Mankato | 51 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0.93 | 84% | 30.00 | 1.567 | ±0.754 | 16.29 | 0.655 | ±0.430 |
 | | New Haven | 20 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0.42 | 45% | 17.83 | 1.006 | ±0.665 | 22.33 | 1.063 | ±0.831 |
 | at Merrimack | 31 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0.75 | 69% | 25.67 | 1.560 | ±0.767 | 20.33 | 1.146 | ±1.200 |
 |  | C.W. Post | 45 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0.29 | 36% | 24.86 | 1.425 | ±0.658 | 23.57 | 1.023 | ±0.520 |
| | at Millersville | 16 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0.21 | 32% | 13.14 | 0.802 | ±0.562 | 35.29 | 1.609 | ±0.889 |
 | | St. Cloud St. | 11 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0.50 | 51% | 26.57 | 1.153 | ±0.685 | 23.86 | 1.020 | ±0.651 |
 | at Minn. Duluth | 40 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0.79 | 72% | 36.14 | 1.787 | ±0.945 | 10.71 | 0.401 | ±0.296 |
 | | Northwestern Okla. | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | 16% | 9.00 | 0.333 | ±0.000 | 29.00 | 1.115 | ±0.000 |
 | at Missouri S&T | 18 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0.00 | 19% | 13.50 | 0.706 | ±0.581 | 37.83 | 1.540 | ±0.581 |
 | | Delta St. | 13 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0.58 | 59% | 25.33 | 1.244 | ±0.654 | 17.00 | 0.653 | ±0.503 |
 | at North Ala. | 28 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1.00 | 84% | 42.86 | 1.678 | ±0.303 | 10.86 | 0.484 | ±0.214 |
 | | Hillsdale | 18 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0.71 | 67% | 30.86 | 1.504 | ±0.286 | 23.57 | 1.003 | ±0.778 |
 | at Northern Mich. | 36 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0.83 | 72% | 38.83 | 1.428 | ±0.427 | 13.17 | 0.538 | ±0.411 |
 | | Tiffin | 14 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0.00 | 17% | 13.00 | 0.665 | ±0.461 | 42.43 | 1.905 | ±1.054 |
 | at Northwood (MI) | 44 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0.50 | 54% | 20.83 | 1.133 | ±0.683 | 24.83 | 0.915 | ±0.345 |
| Confidence | Pick | Team | Expected Score | W | L | T | % | Rank | SPG | Factor | Std. Dev. | APG | Factor | Std. Dev. |
|---|
 |  | Bentley | 30 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0.75 | 70% | 22.00 | 1.791 | ±2.041 | 11.00 | 0.531 | ±0.405 |
| | at Pace | 9 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0.08 | 21% | 13.83 | 0.948 | ±0.820 | 23.00 | 0.851 | ±0.423 |
 | | Ashland | 29 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0.57 | 54% | 31.14 | 1.237 | ±0.419 | 25.71 | 1.327 | ±0.579 |
 | at Saginaw Valley | 33 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0.71 | 67% | 25.29 | 1.237 | ±0.524 | 21.71 | 0.980 | ±0.466 |
 |  | Assumption | 28 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0.58 | 51% | 26.17 | 1.112 | ±0.646 | 21.33 | 1.522 | ±1.054 |
| | at St. Anselm | 26 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0.33 | 40% | 19.33 | 1.059 | ±0.814 | 24.50 | 1.088 | ±0.349 |
 | | Livingstone | 8 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0.00 | 12% | 9.57 | 0.309 | ±0.323 | 36.43 | 2.216 | ±0.988 |
 | at St. Augustine's | 50 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0.21 | 32% | 21.14 | 1.435 | ±1.468 | 24.71 | 0.911 | ±0.440 |
 |  | West Chester | 34 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0.57 | 54% | 31.43 | 1.430 | ±0.681 | 19.86 | 0.857 | ±0.397 |
| | at Shippensburg | 28 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0.64 | 60% | 31.57 | 1.490 | ±0.859 | 19.00 | 1.301 | ±0.909 |
 | | Stonehill | 14 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0.25 | 32% | 18.83 | 0.792 | ±0.480 | 27.17 | 1.217 | ±0.607 |
 | at Southern Conn. St. | 35 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0.64 | 60% | 24.86 | 1.463 | ±1.112 | 15.00 | 0.897 | ±0.647 |
 |  | Miles | 25 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0.50 | 49% | 17.00 | 0.826 | ±0.490 | 20.14 | 1.485 | ±1.306 |
| | at Stillman | 24 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0.30 | 36% | 18.20 | 1.079 | ±0.684 | 24.80 | 1.730 | ±1.429 |
 |  | Virginia Union | 19 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0.50 | 49% | 22.29 | 0.837 | ±0.591 | 17.43 | 0.755 | ±0.535 |
| | at Virginia St. | 14 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0.57 | 51% | 21.00 | 0.722 | ±0.405 | 16.57 | 1.056 | ±0.462 |
 | | Ferris St. | 11 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0.21 | 30% | 11.43 | 0.415 | ±0.339 | 27.14 | 1.076 | ±0.658 |
 | at Wayne St. (MI) | 41 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0.71 | 67% | 30.14 | 1.821 | ±0.887 | 24.43 | 1.059 | ±0.497 |
 |  | Wayne St. (NE) | 28 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0.79 | 73% | 29.00 | 1.497 | ±0.812 | 19.00 | 0.622 | ±0.457 |
| | at Winona St. | 18 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0.56 | 56% | 25.75 | 1.103 | ±0.605 | 21.00 | 0.816 | ±0.440 |
| Confidence | Pick | Team | Expected Score | W | L | T | % | Rank | SPG | Factor | Std. Dev. | APG | Factor | Std. Dev. |
|---|
 |  | Colorado Mines | 33 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0.64 | 61% | 27.43 | 1.131 | ±0.611 | 18.57 | 0.715 | ±0.410 |
| | at Adams St. | 18 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0.36 | 38% | 25.00 | 1.011 | ±0.668 | 27.14 | 1.295 | ±0.669 |
 | | West Ga. | 13 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0.00 | 18% | 10.17 | 0.524 | ±0.387 | 42.67 | 1.462 | ±0.490 |
 | at Arkansas Tech | 53 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0.58 | 56% | 31.67 | 1.419 | ±0.758 | 22.17 | 1.332 | ±1.358 |
 | | Southwestern Okla. | 11 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0.07 | 18% | 8.86 | 0.375 | ±0.221 | 41.14 | 1.963 | ±1.058 |
 | at Central Okla. | 36 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0.21 | 29% | 16.71 | 0.938 | ±0.537 | 28.29 | 1.249 | ±0.607 |
 | | Western Ore. | 8 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0.50 | 48% | 17.83 | 0.699 | ±0.209 | 21.17 | 1.128 | ±0.756 |
 | at Central Wash. | 24 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0.93 | 78% | 24.14 | 0.963 | ±0.528 | 8.29 | 0.619 | ±0.893 |
 | | Fort Lewis | 9 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0.21 | 29% | 11.00 | 0.481 | ±0.353 | 32.71 | 1.662 | ±0.842 |
 | at Chadron St. | 32 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0.50 | 49% | 21.14 | 0.885 | ±0.455 | 18.43 | 0.916 | ±0.612 |
 | | Seton Hill | 31 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0.25 | 28% | 23.50 | 0.988 | ±0.502 | 29.17 | 2.182 | ±1.475 |
 | at Concord | 55 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0.58 | 58% | 26.17 | 1.830 | ±1.589 | 28.50 | 1.475 | ±0.725 |
 |  | Northwest Mo. St. | 46 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0.79 | 73% | 35.57 | 1.816 | ±0.918 | 15.00 | 0.471 | ±0.344 |
| | at Emporia St. | 11 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0.21 | 29% | 19.43 | 0.803 | ±0.427 | 25.86 | 1.259 | ±0.669 |
 |  | Valdosta St. | 33 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0.50 | 50% | 26.83 | 1.211 | ±0.204 | 19.83 | 0.797 | ±0.461 |
| | at Harding | 14 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0.50 | 50% | 17.29 | 0.695 | ±0.700 | 27.29 | 1.207 | ±0.736 |
 | | Western N.M. | 19 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0.25 | 31% | 30.67 | 1.634 | ±0.991 | 39.17 | 2.037 | ±1.226 |
 | at Neb.-Kearney | 59 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0.79 | 73% | 28.29 | 1.527 | ±0.940 | 13.29 | 0.527 | ±0.287 |
 |  | Carson-Newman | 30 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0.64 | 63% | 25.29 | 1.647 | ±1.337 | 18.29 | 0.828 | ±0.508 |
| | at Lenoir-Rhyne | 21 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0.64 | 56% | 26.71 | 1.035 | ±0.572 | 16.14 | 1.298 | ±1.345 |
| Confidence | Pick | Team | Expected Score | W | L | T | % | Rank | SPG | Factor | Std. Dev. | APG | Factor | Std. Dev. |
|---|
 | | Tex. A&M-Kingsville | 12 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0.93 | 79% | 28.71 | 1.820 | ±1.562 | 13.14 | 0.894 | ±0.517 |
 | at Midwestern St. | 23 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0.79 | 69% | 32.00 | 1.382 | ±0.778 | 7.86 | 0.372 | ±0.355 |
 |  | Angelo St. | 29 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0.79 | 68% | 28.57 | 1.246 | ±1.008 | 16.29 | 0.917 | ±0.766 |
| | at Southeastern Okla. | 21 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0.64 | 59% | 26.43 | 1.048 | ±0.626 | 24.43 | 0.971 | ±0.415 |
 |  | Ouachita Baptist | 35 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0.70 | 63% | 28.40 | 1.282 | ±0.956 | 15.20 | 0.816 | ±0.625 |
| | at Southern Ark. | 10 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0.25 | 33% | 14.50 | 0.590 | ±0.415 | 30.00 | 1.117 | ±0.547 |
 |  | Glenville St. | 20 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0.36 | 39% | 20.71 | 0.966 | ±0.531 | 26.29 | 1.346 | ±1.192 |
| | at West Virginia St. | 12 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0.42 | 43% | 10.67 | 0.374 | ±0.350 | 21.00 | 0.998 | ±1.099 |
 |  | Newberry | 29 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0.58 | 54% | 22.33 | 1.585 | ±1.562 | 17.50 | 0.921 | ±0.519 |
| | at Wingate | 22 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0.75 | 65% | 25.67 | 1.182 | ±0.841 | 16.33 | 1.432 | ±1.069 |
 |  | Texas Lutheran | 24 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0.00 | 15% | 15.80 | 0.699 | ±0.278 | 38.60 | 1.424 | ±0.417 |
| | at Incarnate Word | 23 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0.38 | 40% | 13.75 | 0.686 | ±0.544 | 31.00 | 1.607 | ±1.218 |
 |  | Salisbury | 53 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0.60 | 53% | 37.40 | 1.288 | ±0.426 | 18.40 | 1.080 | ±0.676 |
| | at Lake Erie | 31 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0.50 | 52% | 33.00 | 1.455 | ±0.352 | 37.00 | 1.560 | ±0.659 |
 | | Northeastern St. | 16 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0.21 | 30% | 11.14 | 0.559 | ±0.537 | 23.86 | 1.114 | ±0.686 |
 | at Southwest Baptist | 27 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0.43 | 45% | 23.43 | 1.171 | ±0.590 | 25.71 | 1.567 | ±1.143 |
 |  | Mesa St. | 28 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0.50 | 50% | 23.29 | 0.728 | ±0.526 | 17.00 | 0.681 | ±0.376 |
| | at Western St. | 11 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0.50 | 50% | 17.14 | 0.575 | ±0.399 | 27.57 | 1.584 | ±1.060 |
 | | Pittsburg St. | 24 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0.50 | 51% | 24.00 | 1.198 | ±0.845 | 19.57 | 0.682 | ±0.352 |
 | at Washburn | 30 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0.79 | 72% | 37.29 | 1.749 | ±0.959 | 19.71 | 1.053 | ±0.971 |
| Confidence | Pick | Team | Expected Score | W | L | T | % | Rank | SPG | Factor | Std. Dev. | APG | Factor | Std. Dev. |
|---|
 |  | Colorado St.-Pueblo | 33 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0.58 | 56% | 18.83 | 0.819 | ±0.541 | 19.17 | 0.711 | ±0.609 |
| | at N.M. Highlands | 7 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0.07 | 19% | 8.71 | 0.383 | ±0.353 | 39.00 | 1.764 | ±1.057 |
 | | Concordia-St. Paul | 17 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0.25 | 33% | 16.50 | 0.701 | ±0.625 | 32.17 | 1.624 | ±1.041 |
 | at Southwest Minn. St. | 57 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0.50 | 48% | 36.29 | 1.725 | ±0.987 | 23.00 | 1.032 | ±0.522 |
 |  | Shaw | 70 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0.71 | 63% | 37.71 | 1.687 | ±0.915 | 22.00 | 0.897 | ±0.379 |
| | at Chowan | 35 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0.14 | 25% | 26.00 | 2.167 | ±2.228 | 35.57 | 2.098 | ±1.582 |
 |  | Tex. A&M-Commerce | 25 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0.36 | 40% | 19.71 | 0.811 | ±0.620 | 27.57 | 1.103 | ±0.775 |
| | at East Central | 6 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0.07 | 22% | 4.43 | 0.267 | ±0.203 | 31.00 | 1.247 | ±0.549 |
 |  | Neb.-Omaha | 37 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0.64 | 58% | 31.29 | 1.581 | ±0.775 | 16.71 | 0.676 | ±0.685 |
| | at Fort Hays St. | 20 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0.64 | 61% | 28.86 | 1.236 | ±0.635 | 25.00 | 1.124 | ±0.786 |
 | | Truman | 15 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0.21 | 32% | 14.43 | 0.668 | ±0.861 | 32.14 | 1.147 | ±0.714 |
 | at Mo. Southern St. | 31 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0.25 | 32% | 21.50 | 1.156 | ±0.885 | 24.83 | 0.924 | ±0.532 |
 | | Central Mo. | 27 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0.79 | 68% | 27.86 | 1.071 | ±0.489 | 16.43 | 0.711 | ±0.440 |
 | at Mo. Western St. | 31 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0.79 | 73% | 37.00 | 2.176 | ±1.003 | 26.00 | 0.940 | ±0.569 |
 |  | Charleston (WV) | 47 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0.93 | 79% | 32.57 | 1.425 | ±0.696 | 13.29 | 0.647 | ±0.725 |
| | at North Greenville | 5 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0.00 | 18% | 6.00 | 0.396 | ±0.385 | 34.17 | 1.408 | ±0.467 |
 |  | Fairmont St. | 17 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0.21 | 31% | 17.86 | 0.783 | ±0.654 | 28.00 | 1.120 | ±0.584 |
| | at West Va. Wesleyan | 15 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0.40 | 42% | 14.20 | 0.527 | ±0.541 | 21.20 | 0.942 | ±0.836 |
 |  | West Liberty St. | 22 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0.71 | 64% | 29.14 | 1.031 | ±0.728 | 16.14 | 0.706 | ±0.595 |
| | at Shepherd | 18 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0.64 | 62% | 24.71 | 1.142 | ±0.585 | 21.14 | 0.773 | ±0.382 |
| Confidence | Pick | Team | Expected Score | W | L | T | % | Rank | SPG | Factor | Std. Dev. | APG | Factor | Std. Dev. |
|---|
 |  | Catawba | 27 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0.58 | 54% | 21.67 | 0.866 | ±0.498 | 13.50 | 0.649 | ±0.727 |
| | at Tusculum | 13 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0.10 | 24% | 18.20 | 1.080 | ±0.735 | 32.00 | 1.183 | ±0.663 |
 | | Bacone | 31 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.00 | 11% | 14.00 | 0.397 | ±0.166 | 57.50 | 2.211 | ±0.122 |
 | at Okla. Panhandle | 37 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0.10 | 17% | 15.20 | 0.711 | ±0.376 | 28.40 | 3.608 | ±2.673 |
 |  | Bemidji St. | 43 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0.69 | 63% | 29.50 | 1.205 | ±0.645 | 20.75 | 0.903 | ±0.428 |
| | at Minn.-Crookston | 7 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0.08 | 18% | 9.00 | 0.311 | ±0.232 | 32.00 | 1.623 | ±0.776 |
 | | Lincoln (MO) | 7 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0.07 | 19% | 4.57 | 0.166 | ±0.116 | 33.29 | 1.678 | ±0.873 |
 | at Central St. (OH) | 13 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0.08 | 17% | 9.33 | 0.318 | ±0.454 | 31.83 | 1.928 | ±1.217 |
 | | Northern St. | 18 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0.21 | 28% | 19.57 | 0.732 | ±0.362 | 32.86 | 1.473 | ±0.742 |
 | at Mary | 29 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0.50 | 50% | 21.00 | 0.836 | ±0.472 | 21.71 | 0.995 | ±0.571 |
 | | Mars Hill | 11 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0.58 | 54% | 17.33 | 0.790 | ±0.517 | 23.17 | 1.185 | ±1.305 |
 | at Brevard | 19 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0.70 | 63% | 19.00 | 0.638 | ±0.328 | 13.60 | 0.640 | ±0.418 |
 | | Azusa Pacific | 29 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0.00 | 20% | 15.33 | 1.478 | ±0.780 | 38.33 | 1.583 | ±0.453 |
 | at Dixie St. | 36 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0.43 | 46% | 20.14 | 1.028 | ±0.520 | 26.29 | 1.217 | ±0.274 |
 | | Albion | 7 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0.30 | 36% | 9.20 | 0.323 | ±0.240 | 18.40 | 0.726 | ±0.602 |
 | at Adrian | 26 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0.60 | 57% | 36.60 | 1.419 | ±0.592 | 19.60 | 0.785 | ±0.302 |
 | | Denison | 15 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0.40 | 46% | 21.60 | 0.924 | ±0.313 | 28.00 | 0.839 | ±0.537 |
 | at Allegheny | 22 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0.80 | 69% | 20.60 | 0.981 | ±0.660 | 17.20 | 0.608 | ±0.514 |
 |  | Castleton St. | 38 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0.30 | 33% | 15.40 | 0.550 | ±0.407 | 35.60 | 2.031 | ±1.219 |
| | at Anna Maria | 28 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0.00 | 15% | 15.00 | 0.704 | ±0.258 | 53.67 | 3.011 | ±1.864 |
| Confidence | Pick | Team | Expected Score | W | L | T | % | Rank | SPG | Factor | Std. Dev. | APG | Factor | Std. Dev. |
|---|
 |  | Ill. Wesleyan | 23 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0.90 | 80% | 33.00 | 1.807 | ±1.341 | 10.80 | 0.396 | ±0.353 |
| | at Augustana (IL) | 13 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0.60 | 63% | 23.60 | 1.611 | ±0.968 | 13.60 | 0.649 | ±0.371 |
 |  | Muskingum | 31 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0.20 | 29% | 20.00 | 1.366 | ±0.851 | 28.00 | 1.233 | ±0.575 |
| | at Baldwin-Wallace | 26 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0.30 | 38% | 18.80 | 1.010 | ±0.845 | 24.80 | 1.358 | ±1.085 |
 | | Westminster (PA) | 19 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0.10 | 22% | 15.40 | 0.676 | ±0.370 | 25.40 | 1.182 | ±0.694 |
 | at Bethany (WV) | 21 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0.25 | 36% | 18.75 | 0.771 | ±0.488 | 31.00 | 1.077 | ±0.137 |
 | | Hamline | 12 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0.50 | 51% | 21.20 | 1.085 | ±0.770 | 24.20 | 0.904 | ±0.800 |
 | at Bethel (MN) | 33 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0.58 | 59% | 27.17 | 1.689 | ±0.957 | 12.00 | 0.511 | ±0.286 |
 | | Hamilton | 14 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.50 | 53% | 12.67 | 1.276 | ±1.125 | 11.67 | 0.891 | ±0.632 |
 | at Bowdoin | 21 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.50 | 53% | 20.67 | 2.030 | ±2.147 | 16.00 | 0.636 | ±0.520 |
 | | Guilford | 17 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0.20 | 27% | 16.60 | 0.499 | ±0.313 | 19.40 | 0.955 | ±0.266 |
 | at Bridgewater (VA) | 32 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0.60 | 59% | 26.20 | 1.977 | ±2.026 | 26.40 | 1.198 | ±0.563 |
 |  | Kean | 33 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0.70 | 66% | 20.00 | 0.852 | ±0.524 | 14.20 | 0.635 | ±0.587 |
| | at Brockport | 21 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0.40 | 45% | 30.40 | 1.567 | ±0.508 | 39.20 | 1.632 | ±0.584 |
 | | Cornell College | 28 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0.25 | 33% | 12.50 | 0.557 | ±0.486 | 29.17 | 1.220 | ±0.686 |
 | at Buena Vista | 72 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0.60 | 55% | 21.60 | 4.002 | ±6.006 | 17.40 | 3.671 | ±5.182 |
 |  | Montclair St. | 44 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0.80 | 71% | 28.60 | 1.143 | ±0.396 | 20.00 | 1.039 | ±0.888 |
| | at Buffalo St. | 15 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0.30 | 35% | 17.60 | 0.560 | ±0.381 | 34.00 | 1.723 | ±1.167 |
 | | Claremont-M-S | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0.75 | 61% | 18.50 | 0.966 | ±0.637 | 15.50 | 1.160 | ±0.989 |
 | at Cal Lutheran | 26 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0.62 | 58% | 26.75 | 1.289 | ±0.867 | 10.25 | 0.434 | ±0.321 |
| Confidence | Pick | Team | Expected Score | W | L | T | % | Rank | SPG | Factor | Std. Dev. | APG | Factor | Std. Dev. |
|---|
 | | John Carroll | 15 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0.50 | 49% | 19.20 | 0.818 | ±0.726 | 18.80 | 0.947 | ±0.672 |
 | at Capital | 28 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0.90 | 78% | 30.20 | 1.481 | ±0.763 | 17.40 | 0.817 | ±0.512 |
 |  | St. Norbert | 40 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0.83 | 71% | 36.00 | 1.994 | ±1.326 | 21.33 | 0.864 | ±0.338 |
| | at Carroll (WI) | 11 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0.25 | 34% | 10.33 | 0.580 | ±0.508 | 22.50 | 0.961 | ±0.511 |
 |  | North Central (IL) | 71 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0.70 | 64% | 40.20 | 2.543 | ±1.867 | 9.20 | 0.770 | ±1.011 |
| | at Carthage | 22 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0.80 | 71% | 34.20 | 1.879 | ±0.982 | 31.40 | 1.541 | ±0.475 |
 | | Ohio Wesleyan | 6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0.30 | 37% | 8.80 | 0.505 | ±0.576 | 18.00 | 1.233 | ±1.316 |
 | at Case | 33 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0.90 | 75% | 31.40 | 1.465 | ±0.873 | 10.80 | 0.655 | ±0.364 |
 | | Luther | 9 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0.50 | 51% | 17.00 | 0.853 | ±0.668 | 17.20 | 0.835 | ±0.541 |
 | at Central (IA) | 26 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0.92 | 82% | 30.33 | 1.581 | ±0.814 | 11.83 | 0.462 | ±0.403 |
 |  | N.C. Wesleyan | 27 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0.50 | 55% | 23.00 | 1.628 | ±1.180 | 26.40 | 0.936 | ±0.741 |
| | at Chris. Newport | 19 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0.50 | 53% | 14.80 | 0.922 | ±0.804 | 21.20 | 0.861 | ±0.575 |
 |  | Amherst | 37 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1.00 | 86% | 18.00 | 1.514 | ±1.051 | 11.33 | 0.551 | ±0.279 |
| | at Colby | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.33 | 35% | 11.67 | 0.855 | ±0.622 | 27.00 | 1.810 | ±0.411 |
 | | Augsburg | 23 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0.40 | 44% | 27.60 | 1.298 | ±0.258 | 27.40 | 1.244 | ±0.598 |
 | at Concordia-M'head | 25 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0.38 | 45% | 13.25 | 1.246 | ±1.062 | 19.25 | 0.751 | ±0.507 |
 | | Western Conn. St. | 14 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0.00 | 14% | 17.60 | 0.937 | ±0.573 | 42.60 | 2.110 | ±0.453 |
 | at Cortland St. | 43 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0.60 | 59% | 21.80 | 0.940 | ±0.531 | 16.80 | 0.750 | ±0.342 |
 | | Endicott | 16 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0.50 | 52% | 24.83 | 1.223 | ±0.648 | 24.50 | 1.135 | ±0.721 |
 | at Curry | 21 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0.58 | 56% | 16.83 | 0.926 | ±0.599 | 13.00 | 0.637 | ±0.835 |
| Confidence | Pick | Team | Expected Score | W | L | T | % | Rank | SPG | Factor | Std. Dev. | APG | Factor | Std. Dev. |
|---|
 | | Wilkes | 16 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0.70 | 68% | 19.20 | 1.431 | ±1.019 | 16.40 | 0.793 | ±0.605 |
 | at Delaware Valley | 25 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0.80 | 77% | 27.00 | 1.775 | ±0.638 | 15.80 | 0.533 | ±0.242 |
 | | LaGrange | 14 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0.50 | 51% | 12.60 | 0.598 | ±0.484 | 22.60 | 1.088 | ±0.606 |
 | at Eureka | 22 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0.42 | 45% | 18.17 | 1.050 | ±0.963 | 23.50 | 1.121 | ±0.645 |
 |  | Lebanon Valley | 42 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0.70 | 64% | 22.60 | 0.984 | ±0.698 | 18.60 | 0.799 | ±0.507 |
| | at FDU-Florham | 20 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0.20 | 31% | 27.20 | 0.960 | ±0.409 | 40.60 | 1.976 | ±1.201 |
 | | Greensboro | 24 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0.50 | 50% | 13.80 | 0.882 | ±0.571 | 17.20 | 0.897 | ±0.599 |
 | at Ferrum | 27 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.50 | 51% | 32.75 | 1.398 | ±0.299 | 31.75 | 1.455 | ±0.285 |
 |  | Westfield St. | 14 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0.50 | 49% | 15.17 | 0.633 | ±0.455 | 10.33 | 0.466 | ±0.220 |
| | at Framingham St. | 10 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0.67 | 61% | 22.33 | 0.936 | ±0.360 | 21.67 | 0.971 | ±0.177 |
 | | Moravian | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0.25 | 36% | 4.50 | 0.199 | ±0.325 | 20.00 | 0.867 | ±0.517 |
 | at Frank. & Marsh. | 35 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0.80 | 68% | 33.80 | 1.988 | ±0.952 | 22.80 | 1.651 | ±0.595 |
 |  | Ithaca | 32 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0.75 | 70% | 26.33 | 1.321 | ±0.640 | 14.17 | 0.573 | ±0.572 |
| | at Frostburg St. | 13 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0.10 | 25% | 15.80 | 1.150 | ±1.132 | 30.00 | 0.944 | ±0.496 |
 | | Catholic | 10 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0.10 | 21% | 12.40 | 0.618 | ±0.497 | 23.00 | 1.047 | ±0.645 |
 | at Gallaudet | 17 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0.58 | 54% | 18.83 | 0.631 | ±0.471 | 15.50 | 0.873 | ±0.624 |
 | | Juniata | 7 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0.00 | 15% | 3.83 | 0.214 | ±0.327 | 27.50 | 1.333 | ±0.728 |
 | at Gettysburg | 53 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0.25 | 34% | 29.67 | 2.438 | ±1.893 | 32.00 | 1.602 | ±1.220 |
 | | Lake Forest | 18 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0.17 | 27% | 14.17 | 0.560 | ±0.206 | 24.67 | 1.252 | ±0.501 |
 | at Grinnell | 20 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0.33 | 35% | 20.33 | 0.621 | ±0.333 | 23.50 | 1.597 | ±1.470 |
| Confidence | Pick | Team | Expected Score | W | L | T | % | Rank | SPG | Factor | Std. Dev. | APG | Factor | Std. Dev. |
|---|
 |  | Carleton | 35 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0.60 | 56% | 23.40 | 1.052 | ±0.320 | 21.40 | 1.077 | ±0.726 |
| | at Gust. Adolphus | 25 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0.40 | 47% | 22.00 | 1.246 | ±0.530 | 33.40 | 1.481 | ±0.236 |
 | | Wash. & Lee | 13 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0.25 | 32% | 16.83 | 0.918 | ±0.535 | 17.17 | 2.080 | ±2.502 |
 | at Hampden-Sydney | 50 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0.92 | 78% | 33.67 | 1.794 | ±1.265 | 13.17 | 0.843 | ±0.817 |
 |  | Howard Payne | 27 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.50 | 42% | 32.00 | 0.747 | ±0.351 | 24.50 | 1.147 | ±0.517 |
| | at Hardin-Simmons | 26 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0.33 | 41% | 21.83 | 1.123 | ±0.909 | 28.00 | 1.042 | ±0.590 |
 |  | Mount Union | 45 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0.90 | 78% | 31.40 | 1.431 | ±0.875 | 6.80 | 0.282 | ±0.251 |
| | at Heidelberg | 8 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0.30 | 37% | 24.20 | 1.433 | ±0.802 | 30.20 | 1.499 | ±0.755 |
 |  | Earlham | 38 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0.50 | 49% | 19.00 | 0.665 | ±0.490 | 33.00 | 1.965 | ±1.720 |
| | at Hiram | 29 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0.00 | 14% | 8.80 | 1.220 | ±1.751 | 47.00 | 2.316 | ±0.426 |
 |  | Beloit | 27 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0.67 | 60% | 23.50 | 0.992 | ±0.637 | 23.83 | 1.117 | ±0.375 |
| | at Illinois Col. | 20 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0.58 | 53% | 21.00 | 0.689 | ±0.528 | 18.00 | 1.578 | ±1.367 |
 | | Ursinus | 21 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0.40 | 43% | 24.60 | 1.014 | ±0.601 | 25.20 | 0.947 | ±0.656 |
 | at Johns Hopkins | 32 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0.75 | 68% | 25.00 | 1.639 | ±1.335 | 17.33 | 0.979 | ±0.898 |
 |  | Alma | 37 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0.50 | 48% | 22.60 | 0.886 | ±0.610 | 20.40 | 1.196 | ±0.975 |
| | at Kalamazoo | 32 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0.67 | 56% | 33.00 | 1.189 | ±0.623 | 31.00 | 2.064 | ±0.277 |
 |  | Albright | 38 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0.90 | 76% | 29.00 | 1.575 | ±1.486 | 10.20 | 0.631 | ±0.619 |
| | at King's (PA) | 12 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0.40 | 44% | 21.60 | 1.107 | ±0.491 | 27.00 | 1.146 | ±0.447 |
 |  | Knox | 24 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0.00 | 15% | 12.67 | 0.585 | ±0.424 | 40.33 | 1.924 | ±0.342 |
| | at Lawrence | 16 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0.00 | 15% | 7.80 | 0.406 | ±0.376 | 41.20 | 1.889 | ±0.596 |
| Confidence | Pick | Team | Expected Score | W | L | T | % | Rank | SPG | Factor | Std. Dev. | APG | Factor | Std. Dev. |
|---|
 | | Chicago | 21 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0.38 | 42% | 13.25 | 0.694 | ±0.570 | 28.75 | 1.120 | ±0.670 |
 | at Macalester | 24 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0.33 | 38% | 20.83 | 0.866 | ±0.613 | 29.17 | 1.591 | ±0.944 |
 |  | Ohio Northern | 38 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0.50 | 54% | 22.20 | 2.465 | ±2.106 | 24.20 | 0.949 | ±0.715 |
| | at Marietta | 13 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0.50 | 49% | 14.00 | 0.543 | ±0.309 | 21.00 | 1.080 | ±0.745 |
 |  | Averett | 22 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0.70 | 63% | 20.80 | 1.146 | ±0.685 | 14.80 | 0.806 | ±0.759 |
| | at Maryville (TN) | 16 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0.60 | 58% | 22.20 | 0.996 | ±0.256 | 22.00 | 0.941 | ±0.312 |
 | | Maine Maritime | 42 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0.80 | 67% | 35.80 | 1.522 | ±0.613 | 26.60 | 3.301 | ±3.782 |
 | at Mass. Maritime | 58 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0.33 | 35% | 24.33 | 1.311 | ±1.142 | 24.67 | 1.281 | ±0.304 |
 |  | Shenandoah | 33 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0.20 | 27% | 18.80 | 0.871 | ±0.296 | 18.60 | 1.119 | ±0.850 |
| | at Methodist | 22 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0.20 | 27% | 23.20 | 0.946 | ±0.437 | 36.00 | 1.817 | ±0.639 |
 | | Williams | 38 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.50 | 51% | 14.67 | 1.264 | ±1.269 | 15.00 | 1.287 | ±0.980 |
 | at Middlebury | 41 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.33 | 40% | 30.00 | 2.906 | ±1.880 | 23.33 | 3.170 | ±3.683 |
 |  | Wheaton (IL) | 42 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1.00 | 84% | 36.00 | 2.273 | ±0.766 | 14.40 | 0.619 | ±0.264 |
| | at Millikin | 18 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0.70 | 64% | 23.20 | 1.440 | ±1.306 | 21.20 | 1.006 | ±0.672 |
 | | Rhodes | 21 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0.20 | 30% | 17.60 | 0.906 | ±0.551 | 36.00 | 1.713 | ±0.710 |
 | at Millsaps | 53 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0.50 | 53% | 31.50 | 1.450 | ±0.334 | 28.17 | 0.989 | ±0.423 |
 |  | Mary Hardin-Baylor | 55 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1.00 | 82% | 44.25 | 1.433 | ±0.423 | 10.50 | 0.366 | ±0.103 |
| | at Mississippi Col. | 17 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0.80 | 73% | 45.40 | 1.709 | ±0.424 | 38.20 | 1.227 | ±0.442 |
 | | McDaniel | 16 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0.60 | 51% | 25.20 | 0.909 | ±0.347 | 22.60 | 4.658 | ±6.441 |
 | at Muhlenberg | 43 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0.40 | 42% | 14.60 | 0.827 | ±0.579 | 16.20 | 0.704 | ±0.607 |
| Confidence | Pick | Team | Expected Score | W | L | T | % | Rank | SPG | Factor | Std. Dev. | APG | Factor | Std. Dev. |
|---|
 |  | Elmhurst | 26 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0.60 | 56% | 22.60 | 0.842 | ±0.417 | 19.00 | 0.969 | ±0.348 |
| | at North Park | 10 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0.30 | 36% | 11.40 | 0.479 | ±0.274 | 25.20 | 1.320 | ±1.001 |
 |  | Kenyon | 34 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0.25 | 33% | 23.33 | 1.714 | ±1.584 | 29.33 | 2.776 | ±2.792 |
| | at Oberlin | 14 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0.10 | 25% | 5.80 | 0.397 | ±0.336 | 23.00 | 1.192 | ±0.813 |
 | | Chapman | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0.62 | 59% | 13.00 | 0.709 | ±0.625 | 12.50 | 0.741 | ±0.512 |
 | at Occidental | 23 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0.62 | 62% | 21.50 | 2.446 | ±2.451 | 13.00 | 0.639 | ±0.642 |
 |  | Trine | 31 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0.70 | 62% | 24.60 | 0.957 | ±0.594 | 17.60 | 0.796 | ±0.560 |
| | at Olivet | 14 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0.00 | 17% | 9.00 | 1.199 | ±1.305 | 29.83 | 1.335 | ±0.951 |
 | | Nichols | 16 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0.42 | 42% | 14.00 | 0.754 | ±0.621 | 22.83 | 1.420 | ±0.867 |
 | at Plymouth St. | 40 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0.83 | 71% | 33.33 | 1.470 | ±0.250 | 20.50 | 1.199 | ±0.894 |
 | | La Verne | 21 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0.00 | 17% | 11.75 | 0.991 | ±0.971 | 35.25 | 1.759 | ±0.747 |
 | at Pomona-Pitzer | 35 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0.62 | 55% | 18.25 | 1.095 | ±0.751 | 16.25 | 2.251 | ±1.439 |
 | | Whitworth | 25 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0.42 | 44% | 18.67 | 1.343 | ±0.980 | 22.67 | 1.173 | ±0.955 |
 | at Puget Sound | 28 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0.00 | 16% | 7.50 | 2.064 | ±2.862 | 22.50 | 1.098 | ±0.244 |
 |  | Emory & Henry | 20 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0.90 | 79% | 23.80 | 1.038 | ±0.772 | 14.40 | 0.675 | ±0.619 |
| | at Randolph-Macon | 14 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0.58 | 53% | 18.33 | 1.016 | ±0.712 | 16.50 | 0.951 | ±0.659 |
 | | Whittier | 16 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0.38 | 40% | 17.25 | 0.951 | ±0.580 | 25.25 | 1.575 | ±1.207 |
 | at Redlands | 37 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0.88 | 73% | 29.00 | 1.118 | ±0.658 | 12.75 | 1.158 | ±1.256 |
 |  | Monmouth (IL) | 32 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1.00 | 85% | 50.83 | 2.626 | ±0.878 | 8.33 | 0.427 | ±0.465 |
| | at Ripon | 10 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0.83 | 72% | 27.17 | 1.107 | ±0.326 | 11.17 | 0.669 | ±0.735 |
| Confidence | Pick | Team | Expected Score | W | L | T | % | Rank | SPG | Factor | Std. Dev. | APG | Factor | Std. Dev. |
|---|
 |  | Wis. Lutheran | 54 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0.40 | 44% | 22.20 | 1.197 | ±0.541 | 26.00 | 1.526 | ±1.408 |
| | at Rockford | 7 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0.00 | 14% | 5.60 | 0.228 | ±0.163 | 47.80 | 2.295 | ±0.762 |
 | | Defiance | 17 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0.20 | 28% | 14.20 | 0.568 | ±0.140 | 27.80 | 1.160 | ±0.641 |
 | at Rose-Hulman | 45 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0.50 | 50% | 37.17 | 1.705 | ±0.846 | 27.17 | 1.325 | ±0.312 |
 |  | Utica | 39 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0.50 | 48% | 37.17 | 1.313 | ±0.569 | 18.50 | 0.769 | ±0.274 |
| | at St. John Fisher | 21 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0.50 | 51% | 24.00 | 1.276 | ±0.690 | 26.00 | 1.187 | ±0.973 |
 |  | St. Thomas (MN) | 32 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0.90 | 79% | 37.80 | 2.140 | ±1.425 | 10.40 | 0.445 | ±0.243 |
| | at St. John's (MN) | 12 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0.92 | 81% | 24.67 | 1.332 | ±0.669 | 15.67 | 0.816 | ±0.578 |
 |  | Union (NY) | 30 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0.70 | 65% | 16.00 | 1.057 | ±0.755 | 15.20 | 0.781 | ±0.477 |
| | at St. Lawrence | 16 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0.40 | 46% | 17.60 | 1.152 | ±0.919 | 31.00 | 1.656 | ±1.045 |
 | | Mass.-Dartmouth | 2 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0.08 | 23% | 3.17 | 0.124 | ±0.126 | 26.67 | 0.957 | ±0.535 |
 | at Salve Regina | 25 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0.42 | 46% | 20.67 | 1.153 | ±0.696 | 20.17 | 0.782 | ±0.428 |
 |  | Dubuque | 37 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0.42 | 44% | 26.00 | 1.250 | ±0.970 | 22.00 | 1.774 | ±1.134 |
| | at Simpson | 32 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0.42 | 45% | 19.83 | 1.279 | ±1.076 | 25.17 | 1.667 | ±1.432 |
 |  | Rensselaer | 35 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0.75 | 68% | 24.25 | 1.893 | ±1.887 | 15.75 | 0.641 | ±0.504 |
| | at Susquehanna | 14 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0.58 | 53% | 19.67 | 1.006 | ±0.626 | 14.00 | 1.781 | ±2.268 |
 | | Sewanee | 4 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0.10 | 24% | 4.00 | 0.242 | ±0.305 | 21.00 | 0.954 | ±0.876 |
 | at Trinity (TX) | 24 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0.80 | 68% | 28.00 | 0.992 | ±0.683 | 20.80 | 0.953 | ±0.325 |
 |  | Trinity (CT) | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0.83 | 72% | 20.33 | 2.468 | ±1.915 | 11.67 | 1.942 | ±1.635 |
| | at Tufts | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.50 | 46% | 6.00 | 0.333 | ±0.375 | 4.67 | 0.506 | ±0.408 |
| Confidence | Pick | Team | Expected Score | W | L | T | % | Rank | SPG | Factor | Std. Dev. | APG | Factor | Std. Dev. |
|---|
 |  | Bridgewater St. | 34 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0.67 | 63% | 31.50 | 1.486 | ±0.579 | 20.17 | 1.196 | ±0.620 |
| | at Coast Guard | 25 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0.40 | 45% | 23.00 | 1.101 | ±0.284 | 25.00 | 0.977 | ±0.442 |
 | | Rochester (NY) | 20 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0.30 | 39% | 16.80 | 1.062 | ±0.557 | 23.60 | 1.151 | ±0.829 |
 | at Merchant Marine | 30 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0.58 | 56% | 23.00 | 1.416 | ±1.102 | 19.67 | 1.147 | ±1.127 |
 |  | Wittenberg | 14 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0.90 | 74% | 34.60 | 1.536 | ±1.149 | 2.60 | 0.276 | ±0.341 |
| | at Wabash | 8 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0.90 | 79% | 40.60 | 2.111 | ±1.092 | 8.80 | 0.426 | ±0.385 |
 |  | Coe | 19 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0.80 | 74% | 19.60 | 0.985 | ±0.531 | 13.60 | 0.533 | ±0.350 |
| | at Wartburg | 16 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0.60 | 57% | 28.40 | 1.231 | ±0.360 | 21.20 | 0.860 | ±0.344 |
 |  | Wooster | 26 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0.70 | 65% | 30.20 | 1.469 | ±0.949 | 14.40 | 1.065 | ±1.268 |
| | at Washington-St. Louis | 13 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0.50 | 51% | 14.20 | 0.790 | ±1.163 | 19.60 | 0.786 | ±0.688 |
 | | Bates | 16 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.17 | 28% | 7.00 | 1.111 | ±0.831 | 16.67 | 4.231 | ±4.225 |
 | at Wesleyan (CT) | 34 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.33 | 36% | 11.33 | 1.239 | ±0.664 | 15.00 | 2.139 | ±1.638 |
 |  | MIT | 23 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0.30 | 33% | 17.60 | 0.719 | ±0.386 | 20.00 | 1.265 | ±1.241 |
| | at Western New Eng. | 16 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0.25 | 34% | 12.67 | 0.795 | ±0.831 | 28.00 | 1.452 | ±1.010 |
 |  | Lycoming | 27 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0.50 | 52% | 19.40 | 1.264 | ±1.391 | 21.00 | 0.830 | ±0.467 |
| | at Widener | 25 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0.60 | 55% | 27.80 | 1.262 | ±0.378 | 24.60 | 1.231 | ±0.535 |
 | | Pacific Lutheran | 16 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0.25 | 30% | 22.50 | 1.110 | ±0.736 | 35.75 | 2.050 | ±0.595 |
 | at Willamette | 54 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0.70 | 62% | 26.20 | 1.539 | ±1.011 | 11.40 | 0.816 | ±0.862 |
 | | TCNJ | 23 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0.80 | 69% | 45.40 | 1.397 | ±0.550 | 31.00 | 1.677 | ±0.560 |
 | at Wm. Paterson | 23 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0.40 | 43% | 16.60 | 0.615 | ±0.199 | 16.40 | 0.495 | ±0.276 |
| Confidence | Pick | Team | Expected Score | W | L | T | % | Rank | SPG | Factor | Std. Dev. | APG | Factor | Std. Dev. |
|---|
 | | Wis.-Platteville | 21 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0.50 | 52% | 11.60 | 0.864 | ±0.481 | 19.20 | 0.724 | ±0.494 |
 | at Wis.-Eau Claire | 24 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0.50 | 49% | 26.60 | 1.462 | ±0.849 | 27.00 | 1.552 | ±1.015 |
 | | Wis.-Stevens Point | 19 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0.75 | 70% | 24.25 | 1.414 | ±0.749 | 19.50 | 0.885 | ±0.471 |
 | at Wis.-Oshkosh | 35 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0.50 | 58% | 25.00 | 2.443 | ±2.645 | 18.40 | 0.499 | ±0.336 |
 |  | Wis.-La Crosse | 21 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0.90 | 74% | 31.40 | 1.199 | ±0.698 | 12.40 | 0.768 | ±0.806 |
| | at Wis.-River Falls | 16 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0.50 | 54% | 19.20 | 1.415 | ±0.870 | 17.00 | 0.705 | ±0.463 |
 |  | Wis.-Whitewater | 12 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0.88 | 72% | 33.75 | 1.480 | ±1.048 | 2.50 | 0.533 | ±0.432 |
| | at Wis.-Stout | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0.75 | 69% | 23.50 | 1.115 | ±0.672 | 8.00 | 0.352 | ±0.130 |
 |  | Fitchburg St. | 38 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0.67 | 60% | 29.50 | 1.164 | ±0.565 | 28.17 | 1.639 | ±0.781 |
| | at Worcester St. | 19 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0.00 | 14% | 13.83 | 0.559 | ±0.273 | 30.67 | 1.360 | ±0.569 |
 | | Birmingham-So. | 21 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0.50 | 49% | 25.40 | 0.923 | ±0.555 | 23.20 | 1.514 | ±1.197 |
 | at Austin | 30 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0.50 | 49% | 24.20 | 1.038 | ±0.704 | 19.80 | 0.907 | ±0.495 |
 |  | Aurora | 24 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0.60 | 53% | 20.20 | 0.793 | ±0.376 | 21.60 | 1.249 | ±0.852 |
| | at Concordia (WI) | 13 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0.30 | 34% | 12.80 | 0.454 | ±0.332 | 26.40 | 1.365 | ±0.776 |
 | | MacMurray | 17 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0.12 | 27% | 18.00 | 0.827 | ±0.512 | 24.00 | 1.192 | ±0.777 |
 | at Greenville | 23 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0.75 | 69% | 19.00 | 0.998 | ±0.392 | 20.00 | 0.941 | ±0.739 |
 | | Norwich | 11 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0.42 | 41% | 20.17 | 0.681 | ±0.489 | 14.17 | 0.904 | ±0.996 |
 | at Husson | 14 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0.50 | 50% | 21.00 | 0.685 | ±0.714 | 14.20 | 0.627 | ±0.356 |
 |  | Concordia Chicago | 29 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0.80 | 67% | 29.20 | 1.036 | ±0.556 | 16.60 | 1.187 | ±0.410 |
| | at Lakeland | 23 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0.40 | 45% | 24.80 | 0.999 | ±0.360 | 28.20 | 0.988 | ±0.677 |
| Confidence | Pick | Team | Expected Score | W | L | T | % | Rank | SPG | Factor | Std. Dev. | APG | Factor | Std. Dev. |
|---|
 | | Lewis & Clark | 10 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0.12 | 23% | 12.25 | 0.744 | ±0.893 | 24.50 | 1.622 | ±1.089 |
 | at Linfield | 42 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0.88 | 77% | 24.75 | 1.816 | ±1.616 | 14.00 | 0.730 | ±0.515 |
 | | East Tex. Baptist | 25 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0.33 | 37% | 18.67 | 0.713 | ±0.397 | 27.17 | 1.143 | ±0.512 |
 | at Louisiana Col. | 38 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0.40 | 45% | 34.40 | 1.378 | ±0.681 | 34.00 | 1.370 | ±0.894 |
 | | Bluffton | 16 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0.10 | 23% | 13.60 | 0.572 | ±0.362 | 30.80 | 1.072 | ±0.551 |
 | at Manchester | 24 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0.40 | 43% | 22.40 | 0.791 | ±0.232 | 26.20 | 1.202 | ±0.592 |
 |  | Benedictine (IL) | 28 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0.50 | 51% | 12.40 | 0.550 | ±0.467 | 22.00 | 0.986 | ±0.613 |
| | at Maranatha Baptist | 4 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0.00 | 12% | 5.20 | 0.167 | ±0.147 | 39.60 | 2.698 | ±1.158 |
 | | Grove City | 26 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0.40 | 44% | 34.60 | 1.904 | ±1.261 | 31.80 | 1.203 | ±0.575 |
 | at Thomas More | 45 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1.00 | 85% | 33.75 | 1.551 | ±0.684 | 14.75 | 0.677 | ±0.269 |
 | | Geneva | 14 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | 25% | 10.00 | 0.851 | ±0.000 | 31.00 | 0.810 | ±0.000 |
 | at Waynesburg | 43 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0.70 | 65% | 29.60 | 1.975 | ±1.943 | 23.80 | 0.812 | ±0.600 |
 |  | Huntingdon | 45 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0.80 | 70% | 34.00 | 1.231 | ±0.454 | 22.60 | 0.917 | ±0.321 |
| | at Westminster (MO) | 23 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0.38 | 36% | 25.00 | 0.978 | ±0.874 | 20.25 | 1.940 | ±2.122 |
 |  | Otterbein | 35 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0.90 | 76% | 30.60 | 1.224 | ±0.714 | 16.80 | 0.817 | ±0.664 |
| | at Wilmington (OH) | 15 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0.20 | 30% | 18.00 | 0.951 | ±0.407 | 25.60 | 1.262 | ±0.459 |
 | | Anderson (IN) | 13 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0.12 | 22% | 13.50 | 0.418 | ±0.381 | 35.75 | 1.657 | ±0.979 |
 | at Franklin | 45 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0.70 | 66% | 25.60 | 1.322 | ±0.732 | 24.60 | 1.123 | ±0.648 |
 | | Sul Ross St. | 32 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0.40 | 37% | 29.40 | 0.988 | ±0.249 | 26.60 | 1.412 | ±0.871 |
 | at McMurry | 35 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0.33 | 41% | 26.17 | 1.264 | ±0.576 | 32.83 | 1.054 | ±0.364 |
| Confidence | Pick | Team | Expected Score | W | L | T | % | Rank | SPG | Factor | Std. Dev. | APG | Factor | Std. Dev. |
|---|
 | | Hanover | 25 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0.20 | 31% | 30.20 | 1.353 | ±0.281 | 35.80 | 1.348 | ±0.365 |
 | at Mt. St. Joseph | 42 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0.90 | 76% | 30.40 | 1.197 | ±0.666 | 18.60 | 0.838 | ±0.477 |
 |  | Maritime (NY) | 53 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0.58 | 54% | 26.00 | 1.106 | ±0.777 | 22.00 | 1.045 | ±0.658 |
| | at Becker | 10 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0.00 | 14% | 9.50 | 0.416 | ±0.566 | 48.67 | 1.977 | ±0.599 |
 |  | Springfield | 36 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0.70 | 68% | 36.60 | 2.034 | ±1.138 | 20.40 | 0.691 | ±0.620 |
| | at Mount Ida | 17 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0.50 | 49% | 21.67 | 0.963 | ±0.529 | 20.17 | 0.857 | ±0.465 |
 | | St. Scholastica | 20 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0.50 | 46% | 22.50 | 0.745 | ±0.334 | 25.50 | 1.341 | ±0.458 |
 | at Northwestern (MN) | 31 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0.58 | 55% | 25.67 | 1.061 | ±0.628 | 20.33 | 1.097 | ±1.109 |
 |  | Martin Luther | 35 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0.58 | 50% | 29.50 | 0.787 | ±0.596 | 18.17 | 1.145 | ±1.059 |
| | at Crown (MN) | 27 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0.50 | 45% | 32.67 | 0.953 | ±0.256 | 30.67 | 1.534 | ±0.460 |
 |  | Rowan | 59 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0.80 | 70% | 39.80 | 1.609 | ±0.462 | 15.60 | 0.709 | ±0.264 |
| | at Morrisville St. | 11 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0.17 | 26% | 17.17 | 0.664 | ±0.485 | 37.50 | 1.440 | ±0.497 |
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