The Rimbot's NCAA Week of 10-18-2009 Predictions
| Confidence | Pick | Team | Expected Score | W | L | T | % | Rank | SPG | Factor | Std. Dev. | APG | Factor | Std. Dev. |
|---|
 | | Tennessee | 14 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0.50 | 52% | 32.00 | 1.434 | ±0.504 | 19.50 | 0.684 | ±0.154 |
 | at Alabama | 27 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1.00 | 87% | 34.57 | 1.572 | ±0.349 | 11.57 | 0.382 | ±0.255 |
 | | UCLA | 22 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0.50 | 52% | 21.17 | 0.920 | ±0.243 | 21.83 | 0.693 | ±0.383 |
 | at Arizona | 27 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0.67 | 67% | 30.50 | 1.464 | ±0.370 | 26.00 | 0.938 | ±0.470 |
 | | FIU | 22 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0.17 | 27% | 27.50 | 1.062 | ±0.213 | 35.67 | 1.422 | ±0.388 |
 | at Arkansas St. | 41 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0.20 | 32% | 25.60 | 1.276 | ±0.887 | 21.60 | 0.781 | ±0.478 |
 |  | Oklahoma St. | 33 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0.83 | 76% | 37.50 | 1.417 | ±0.584 | 22.17 | 0.790 | ±0.497 |
| | at Baylor | 23 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0.50 | 49% | 27.00 | 1.078 | ±0.426 | 22.67 | 0.909 | ±0.134 |
 |  | Central Mich. | 39 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0.86 | 74% | 34.43 | 1.332 | ±0.615 | 15.86 | 0.655 | ±0.336 |
| | at Bowling Green | 18 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0.43 | 47% | 25.57 | 1.166 | ±0.500 | 29.00 | 1.166 | ±0.494 |
 |  | TCU | 33 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1.00 | 88% | 33.83 | 1.563 | ±0.346 | 13.67 | 0.447 | ±0.123 |
| | at BYU | 19 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0.86 | 73% | 38.57 | 1.472 | ±0.301 | 22.71 | 0.893 | ±0.616 |
 | | Washington St. | 14 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0.17 | 28% | 14.83 | 0.628 | ±0.224 | 35.00 | 1.281 | ±0.403 |
 | at California | 48 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0.67 | 65% | 32.83 | 1.552 | ±1.072 | 23.17 | 0.886 | ±0.405 |
 | | Louisville | 13 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0.33 | 39% | 21.83 | 0.961 | ±0.320 | 27.83 | 1.134 | ±0.231 |
 | at Cincinnati | 57 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1.00 | 87% | 40.67 | 2.416 | ±1.273 | 14.33 | 0.577 | ±0.374 |
 |  | San Diego St. | 26 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0.33 | 40% | 24.17 | 1.068 | ±0.278 | 27.83 | 1.104 | ±0.358 |
| | at Colorado St. | 26 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0.43 | 50% | 22.43 | 0.953 | ±0.280 | 28.71 | 0.902 | ±0.266 |
| Confidence | Pick | Team | Expected Score | W | L | T | % | Rank | SPG | Factor | Std. Dev. | APG | Factor | Std. Dev. |
|---|
 | | Maryland | 26 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0.29 | 35% | 22.86 | 1.136 | ±0.558 | 33.71 | 1.399 | ±0.436 |
 | at Duke | 47 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0.50 | 52% | 31.83 | 1.469 | ±0.472 | 27.17 | 0.922 | ±0.191 |
 |  | Ball St. | 27 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0.00 | 14% | 19.86 | 0.777 | ±0.286 | 30.43 | 1.161 | ±0.340 |
| | at Eastern Mich. | 17 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0.00 | 15% | 13.50 | 0.614 | ±0.251 | 34.50 | 1.360 | ±0.305 |
 |  | Boise St. | 47 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1.00 | 87% | 38.17 | 1.712 | ±0.438 | 15.50 | 0.504 | ±0.312 |
| | at Hawaii | 14 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0.33 | 37% | 23.67 | 0.982 | ±0.564 | 29.67 | 1.141 | ±0.271 |
 | | SMU | 34 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0.50 | 53% | 28.33 | 1.211 | ±0.329 | 30.67 | 1.264 | ±0.645 |
 | at Houston | 50 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0.83 | 74% | 40.83 | 1.548 | ±0.467 | 28.00 | 1.183 | ±0.942 |
 | | Colorado | 23 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0.33 | 43% | 25.17 | 1.100 | ±0.402 | 30.00 | 0.978 | ±0.617 |
 | at Kansas St. | 32 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0.57 | 58% | 27.71 | 1.205 | ±0.766 | 23.86 | 0.802 | ±0.478 |
 |  | Oklahoma | 28 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0.50 | 54% | 31.33 | 1.520 | ±0.977 | 9.67 | 0.263 | ±0.234 |
| | at Kansas | 13 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0.83 | 73% | 38.83 | 1.707 | ±0.571 | 20.67 | 0.775 | ±0.529 |
 | | La.-Monroe | 28 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0.67 | 61% | 30.50 | 1.220 | ±0.532 | 27.83 | 0.953 | ±0.577 |
 | at Kentucky | 29 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0.50 | 53% | 24.50 | 1.230 | ±0.416 | 24.67 | 0.854 | ±0.489 |
 | | Auburn | 21 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0.71 | 65% | 34.86 | 1.668 | ±0.710 | 26.29 | 0.958 | ±0.383 |
 | at LSU | 24 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0.83 | 77% | 23.00 | 0.970 | ±0.362 | 14.50 | 0.530 | ±0.295 |
 | | UAB | 21 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0.33 | 37% | 25.50 | 0.907 | ±0.326 | 34.50 | 1.383 | ±0.489 |
 | at Marshall | 28 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0.57 | 57% | 20.00 | 0.841 | ±0.548 | 23.00 | 0.813 | ±0.418 |
 |  | Northern Ill. | 39 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0.50 | 50% | 29.50 | 1.070 | ±0.371 | 18.83 | 0.655 | ±0.368 |
| | at Miami (OH) | 8 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0.00 | 17% | 10.14 | 0.456 | ±0.389 | 35.43 | 1.351 | ±0.537 |
| Confidence | Pick | Team | Expected Score | W | L | T | % | Rank | SPG | Factor | Std. Dev. | APG | Factor | Std. Dev. |
|---|
 | | Clemson | 21 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0.50 | 54% | 26.33 | 1.135 | ±0.410 | 15.33 | 0.544 | ±0.354 |
 | at Miami (FL) | 21 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0.83 | 77% | 29.00 | 1.723 | ±0.938 | 20.83 | 0.670 | ±0.296 |
 |  | Iowa | 26 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1.00 | 91% | 24.86 | 1.536 | ±0.725 | 15.00 | 0.445 | ±0.226 |
| | at Michigan St. | 17 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0.57 | 58% | 29.29 | 1.402 | ±0.487 | 21.57 | 0.747 | ±0.392 |
 |  | Penn St. | 30 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0.86 | 77% | 29.57 | 1.459 | ±0.882 | 8.71 | 0.397 | ±0.356 |
| | at Michigan | 15 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0.71 | 66% | 37.29 | 1.828 | ±0.959 | 21.86 | 0.964 | ±0.447 |
 | | Western Ky. | 17 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0.00 | 15% | 15.17 | 0.656 | ±0.251 | 38.50 | 1.425 | ±0.499 |
 | at Middle Tenn. | 29 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0.50 | 47% | 21.17 | 0.733 | ±0.368 | 26.83 | 1.112 | ±0.336 |
 |  | Florida | 34 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1.00 | 89% | 36.33 | 1.599 | ±0.657 | 8.67 | 0.266 | ±0.146 |
| | at Mississippi St. | 9 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0.43 | 47% | 27.43 | 1.328 | ±0.610 | 24.00 | 0.835 | ±0.535 |
 | | Arkansas | 20 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0.50 | 56% | 34.50 | 1.907 | ±0.833 | 27.00 | 0.924 | ±0.628 |
 | at Mississippi | 30 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0.67 | 64% | 30.17 | 1.179 | ±0.602 | 13.00 | 0.468 | ±0.174 |
 |  | Texas | 35 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1.00 | 88% | 42.00 | 2.021 | ±0.413 | 14.67 | 0.461 | ±0.119 |
| | at Missouri | 16 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0.67 | 64% | 29.33 | 1.298 | ±0.637 | 20.33 | 0.665 | ±0.168 |
 | | Florida St. | 19 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0.33 | 45% | 29.83 | 1.607 | ±0.825 | 28.17 | 0.884 | ±0.504 |
 | at North Carolina | 24 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0.67 | 65% | 22.50 | 0.988 | ±0.682 | 14.17 | 0.509 | ±0.177 |
 | | Iowa St. | 11 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0.57 | 57% | 26.43 | 1.203 | ±0.553 | 21.57 | 0.782 | ±0.370 |
 | at Nebraska | 28 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0.67 | 63% | 32.33 | 1.424 | ±0.663 | 11.83 | 0.324 | ±0.233 |
 |  | Idaho | 33 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0.86 | 74% | 29.57 | 1.163 | ±0.448 | 25.14 | 1.157 | ±0.478 |
| | at Nevada | 31 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0.50 | 49% | 29.33 | 1.133 | ±0.713 | 29.17 | 1.111 | ±0.362 |
| Confidence | Pick | Team | Expected Score | W | L | T | % | Rank | SPG | Factor | Std. Dev. | APG | Factor | Std. Dev. |
|---|
 |  | Fresno St. | 47 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0.50 | 53% | 36.50 | 1.841 | ±0.626 | 25.17 | 0.892 | ±0.504 |
| | at New Mexico St. | 14 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0.43 | 43% | 14.71 | 0.589 | ±0.478 | 27.14 | 1.187 | ±0.527 |
 |  | UNLV | 39 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0.29 | 36% | 26.29 | 1.002 | ±0.136 | 35.14 | 1.405 | ±0.771 |
| | at New Mexico | 23 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0.00 | 14% | 14.50 | 0.734 | ±0.453 | 37.83 | 1.534 | ±0.339 |
 | | Indiana | 26 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0.57 | 55% | 23.00 | 1.050 | ±0.420 | 26.14 | 1.107 | ±0.572 |
 | at Northwestern | 27 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0.57 | 50% | 27.00 | 0.911 | ±0.324 | 23.00 | 1.200 | ±0.591 |
 |  | Boston College | 29 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0.71 | 64% | 30.86 | 1.224 | ±0.570 | 20.71 | 0.718 | ±0.475 |
| | at Notre Dame | 29 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0.67 | 64% | 31.67 | 1.667 | ±0.724 | 25.50 | 0.861 | ±0.417 |
 | | Minnesota | 13 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0.57 | 57% | 23.14 | 1.089 | ±0.583 | 23.29 | 0.811 | ±0.223 |
 | at Ohio St. | 25 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0.71 | 67% | 28.00 | 1.162 | ±0.281 | 14.00 | 0.468 | ±0.332 |
 | | Kent St. | 17 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0.43 | 42% | 20.86 | 0.741 | ±0.265 | 22.86 | 1.108 | ±0.669 |
 | at Ohio | 27 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0.71 | 62% | 27.00 | 1.046 | ±0.325 | 21.14 | 0.864 | ±0.413 |
 |  | South Fla. | 22 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0.83 | 72% | 33.67 | 1.195 | ±0.466 | 13.50 | 0.498 | ±0.344 |
| | at Pittsburgh | 20 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0.86 | 78% | 33.29 | 1.682 | ±0.580 | 18.57 | 0.663 | ±0.408 |
 | | Illinois | 22 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0.17 | 28% | 16.50 | 0.912 | ±0.804 | 28.33 | 1.054 | ±0.235 |
 | at Purdue | 35 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0.29 | 37% | 28.14 | 1.458 | ±0.739 | 28.71 | 1.025 | ±0.317 |
 |  | UCF | 41 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0.50 | 50% | 20.50 | 0.993 | ±0.615 | 21.17 | 0.850 | ±0.215 |
| | at Rice | 14 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0.00 | 15% | 16.00 | 0.681 | ±0.221 | 45.00 | 1.783 | ±0.602 |
 | | Vanderbilt | 12 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0.29 | 32% | 17.57 | 0.689 | ±0.566 | 18.29 | 0.787 | ±0.399 |
 | at South Carolina | 20 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0.71 | 69% | 24.29 | 1.170 | ±0.697 | 18.57 | 0.677 | ±0.493 |
| Confidence | Pick | Team | Expected Score | W | L | T | % | Rank | SPG | Factor | Std. Dev. | APG | Factor | Std. Dev. |
|---|
 | | Oregon St. | 14 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0.67 | 64% | 28.83 | 1.362 | ±0.467 | 23.00 | 0.733 | ±0.299 |
 | at Southern California | 25 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0.83 | 74% | 29.67 | 1.209 | ±0.491 | 11.67 | 0.419 | ±0.256 |
 | | Tulane | 16 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0.33 | 42% | 16.83 | 0.767 | ±0.648 | 35.67 | 1.215 | ±0.311 |
 | at Southern Miss. | 43 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0.57 | 54% | 31.29 | 1.349 | ±0.599 | 22.71 | 0.921 | ±0.450 |
 | | Fla. Atlantic | 27 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0.20 | 29% | 23.20 | 0.894 | ±0.383 | 36.80 | 1.553 | ±0.346 |
 | at La.-Lafayette | 31 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0.67 | 62% | 21.67 | 0.785 | ±0.660 | 29.33 | 1.238 | ±0.563 |
 |  | Arizona St. | 25 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0.67 | 60% | 28.83 | 0.924 | ±0.315 | 16.00 | 0.655 | ±0.252 |
| | at Stanford | 20 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0.57 | 54% | 31.71 | 1.201 | ±0.262 | 23.57 | 1.000 | ±0.337 |
 |  | Akron | 31 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0.17 | 30% | 19.00 | 1.412 | ±1.443 | 26.17 | 1.003 | ±0.590 |
| | at Syracuse | 28 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0.33 | 42% | 23.00 | 1.246 | ±0.523 | 29.50 | 1.089 | ±0.129 |
 | | Texas A&M | 25 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0.50 | 48% | 33.17 | 1.147 | ±0.453 | 33.33 | 1.237 | ±0.783 |
 | at Texas Tech | 60 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0.71 | 66% | 41.43 | 2.079 | ±1.175 | 19.71 | 0.808 | ±0.656 |
 |  | Tulsa | 37 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0.67 | 60% | 30.83 | 1.050 | ±0.644 | 18.17 | 0.721 | ±0.439 |
| | at UTEP | 18 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0.33 | 41% | 24.50 | 1.030 | ±0.814 | 34.83 | 1.205 | ±0.406 |
 |  | Temple | 42 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0.67 | 61% | 23.67 | 1.167 | ±0.522 | 19.17 | 0.832 | ±0.165 |
| | at Toledo | 23 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0.57 | 52% | 29.86 | 1.103 | ±0.579 | 38.00 | 1.642 | ±0.652 |
 | | North Texas | 26 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0.17 | 25% | 25.33 | 0.962 | ±0.344 | 35.50 | 1.648 | ±0.658 |
 | at Troy | 38 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0.67 | 61% | 25.00 | 0.966 | ±0.379 | 28.00 | 1.017 | ±0.485 |
 |  | Rutgers | 28 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0.67 | 62% | 29.33 | 1.160 | ±0.440 | 17.67 | 0.639 | ±0.372 |
| | at Army | 11 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0.43 | 41% | 17.86 | 0.642 | ±0.159 | 22.00 | 1.015 | ±0.169 |
| Confidence | Pick | Team | Expected Score | W | L | T | % | Rank | SPG | Factor | Std. Dev. | APG | Factor | Std. Dev. |
|---|
 | | Wake Forest | 28 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0.57 | 57% | 25.57 | 1.442 | ±1.246 | 24.14 | 0.888 | ±0.468 |
 | at Navy | 31 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0.71 | 65% | 32.57 | 1.403 | ±0.458 | 22.29 | 0.940 | ±0.393 |
 |  | Louisiana Tech | 31 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0.50 | 49% | 26.83 | 0.891 | ±0.496 | 22.00 | 0.822 | ±0.379 |
| | at Utah St. | 23 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0.17 | 27% | 27.67 | 1.063 | ±0.508 | 32.83 | 1.189 | ±0.169 |
 |  | Air Force | 18 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0.57 | 55% | 26.86 | 0.932 | ±0.483 | 11.86 | 0.465 | ±0.329 |
| | at Utah | 13 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0.83 | 72% | 28.67 | 1.047 | ±0.296 | 18.00 | 0.700 | ±0.148 |
 |  | Georgia Tech | 29 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0.86 | 79% | 32.43 | 2.015 | ±0.709 | 26.00 | 0.906 | ±0.443 |
| | at Virginia | 27 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0.50 | 54% | 24.17 | 1.203 | ±0.513 | 18.67 | 0.625 | ±0.400 |
 |  | Oregon | 36 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0.83 | 77% | 32.50 | 1.469 | ±0.568 | 16.33 | 0.578 | ±0.403 |
| | at Washington | 18 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0.43 | 50% | 25.43 | 1.359 | ±0.421 | 27.86 | 0.970 | ±0.322 |
 | | Connecticut | 24 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0.67 | 63% | 29.00 | 1.258 | ±0.337 | 18.17 | 0.689 | ±0.249 |
 | at West Virginia | 24 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0.83 | 76% | 31.83 | 1.455 | ±0.489 | 20.83 | 0.727 | ±0.292 |
 |  | Buffalo | 27 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0.43 | 47% | 22.00 | 0.973 | ±0.406 | 24.43 | 0.985 | ±0.587 |
| | at Western Mich. | 25 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0.43 | 46% | 26.00 | 0.987 | ±0.576 | 26.86 | 1.281 | ±0.925 |
 | | Alcorn St. | 20 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0.40 | 45% | 21.60 | 0.934 | ±0.809 | 34.80 | 1.199 | ±0.487 |
 | at Alabama St. | 24 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0.50 | 45% | 20.17 | 0.693 | ±0.439 | 18.83 | 1.053 | ±0.441 |
 | | Ga. Southern | 26 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0.57 | 57% | 20.57 | 1.106 | ±0.482 | 26.29 | 1.100 | ±0.581 |
 | at Appalachian St. | 38 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0.67 | 60% | 34.67 | 1.467 | ±0.339 | 26.33 | 1.118 | ±0.442 |
 |  | Eastern Ky. | 29 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0.67 | 62% | 22.83 | 0.976 | ±0.506 | 19.17 | 0.927 | ±0.420 |
| | at Austin Peay | 19 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0.33 | 37% | 21.50 | 0.988 | ±0.511 | 29.00 | 1.285 | ±0.432 |
| Confidence | Pick | Team | Expected Score | W | L | T | % | Rank | SPG | Factor | Std. Dev. | APG | Factor | Std. Dev. |
|---|
 |  | Liberty | 47 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0.67 | 62% | 31.17 | 1.581 | ±1.220 | 16.67 | 0.684 | ±0.284 |
| | at Charleston So. | 12 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0.33 | 37% | 19.67 | 0.685 | ±0.533 | 33.33 | 1.350 | ±0.890 |
 | | Winston-Salem | 11 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0.00 | 15% | 9.50 | 0.457 | ±0.176 | 24.67 | 1.463 | ±0.651 |
 | at Bethune-Cookman | 17 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0.33 | 39% | 13.17 | 0.558 | ±0.330 | 23.17 | 1.283 | ±0.711 |
 |  | Central Conn. St. | 25 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0.83 | 71% | 26.83 | 1.276 | ±0.491 | 20.67 | 1.060 | ±0.373 |
| | at Bryant | 16 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0.50 | 50% | 15.50 | 0.759 | ±0.425 | 20.00 | 0.948 | ±0.815 |
 |  | Lehigh | 17 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0.17 | 25% | 15.50 | 0.752 | ±0.453 | 19.67 | 0.946 | ±0.613 |
| | at Bucknell | 13 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0.50 | 46% | 14.67 | 0.623 | ±0.340 | 20.50 | 1.178 | ±0.364 |
 | | Dixie St. | 18 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0.44 | 46% | 17.62 | 0.903 | ±0.620 | 23.00 | 1.083 | ±0.476 |
 | at Cal Poly | 22 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0.50 | 52% | 20.83 | 0.956 | ±0.571 | 23.00 | 0.852 | ±0.254 |
 |  | Montana | 58 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1.00 | 87% | 36.83 | 1.475 | ±0.392 | 19.67 | 0.774 | ±0.434 |
| | at Sacramento St. | 16 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0.33 | 34% | 21.83 | 0.730 | ±0.374 | 35.33 | 1.725 | ±0.560 |
 |  | Butler | 58 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1.00 | 85% | 34.83 | 1.748 | ±0.756 | 17.00 | 0.838 | ±0.329 |
| | at Campbell | 18 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0.17 | 26% | 21.67 | 0.999 | ±0.514 | 30.67 | 1.765 | ±0.738 |
 |  | Furman | 37 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0.67 | 62% | 27.67 | 1.433 | ±0.700 | 25.00 | 1.320 | ±0.537 |
| | at Citadel | 25 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0.33 | 36% | 22.33 | 0.805 | ±0.414 | 25.83 | 1.364 | ±0.516 |
 |  | Brown | 30 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0.60 | 56% | 27.40 | 1.172 | ±0.464 | 22.60 | 1.106 | ±0.346 |
| | at Cornell | 25 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0.40 | 46% | 21.40 | 1.183 | ±0.483 | 26.60 | 1.083 | ±0.453 |
 |  | Columbia | 41 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0.40 | 45% | 25.00 | 1.190 | ±0.399 | 20.20 | 0.841 | ±0.489 |
| | at Dartmouth | 16 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0.00 | 19% | 14.80 | 0.970 | ±0.494 | 36.00 | 1.554 | ±0.489 |
| Confidence | Pick | Team | Expected Score | W | L | T | % | Rank | SPG | Factor | Std. Dev. | APG | Factor | Std. Dev. |
|---|
 |  | Drake | 74 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0.83 | 70% | 25.17 | 4.609 | ±7.790 | 14.17 | 0.613 | ±0.665 |
| | at Davidson | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0.33 | 38% | 10.17 | 0.396 | ±0.408 | 26.50 | 1.041 | ±0.598 |
 |  | Morgan St. | 11 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0.83 | 69% | 12.17 | 0.470 | ±0.317 | 14.33 | 1.101 | ±0.807 |
| | at Delaware St. | 11 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0.20 | 30% | 12.60 | 0.573 | ±0.297 | 25.20 | 0.872 | ±0.556 |
 | | Montana St. | 20 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0.67 | 62% | 19.67 | 0.832 | ±0.451 | 23.17 | 0.871 | ±0.414 |
 | at Eastern Wash. | 26 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0.57 | 55% | 28.43 | 1.209 | ±0.745 | 25.43 | 0.985 | ±0.664 |
 |  | Norfolk St. | 30 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0.50 | 52% | 25.33 | 1.384 | ±0.746 | 18.50 | 0.900 | ±0.401 |
| | at Florida A&M | 25 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0.67 | 61% | 28.33 | 1.375 | ±0.552 | 21.17 | 1.242 | ±0.358 |
 |  | South Carolina St. | 34 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0.83 | 74% | 28.50 | 1.431 | ±0.596 | 18.67 | 0.854 | ±0.515 |
| | at Hampton | 18 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0.50 | 47% | 21.33 | 0.934 | ±0.542 | 22.67 | 1.278 | ±0.715 |
 | | Princeton | 10 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0.20 | 28% | 11.00 | 0.525 | ±0.344 | 29.00 | 1.321 | ±0.495 |
 | at Harvard | 33 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0.60 | 59% | 23.60 | 1.190 | ±0.194 | 21.40 | 0.857 | ±0.361 |
 |  | New Hampshire | 31 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0.83 | 71% | 32.17 | 1.345 | ±0.632 | 16.33 | 0.740 | ±0.194 |
| | at Hofstra | 14 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0.57 | 55% | 19.00 | 0.844 | ±0.746 | 22.00 | 0.992 | ±0.487 |
 |  | Colgate | 30 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1.00 | 82% | 29.86 | 1.184 | ±0.475 | 16.29 | 1.073 | ±0.582 |
| | at Holy Cross | 29 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0.83 | 68% | 34.33 | 1.290 | ±0.418 | 19.50 | 1.241 | ±0.443 |
 |  | N.C. A&T | 18 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0.50 | 48% | 14.33 | 0.601 | ±0.214 | 16.50 | 0.981 | ±0.479 |
| | at Howard | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0.33 | 36% | 7.50 | 0.338 | ±0.178 | 26.33 | 1.472 | ±0.600 |
 |  | Western Ill. | 41 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0.17 | 29% | 19.83 | 0.861 | ±0.376 | 31.17 | 1.065 | ±0.266 |
| | at Indiana St. | 8 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0.00 | 15% | 8.29 | 0.252 | ±0.248 | 36.57 | 2.516 | ±2.519 |
| Confidence | Pick | Team | Expected Score | W | L | T | % | Rank | SPG | Factor | Std. Dev. | APG | Factor | Std. Dev. |
|---|
 | | Eastern Ill. | 15 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0.71 | 64% | 24.57 | 0.964 | ±0.427 | 20.43 | 0.865 | ±0.708 |
 | at Jacksonville St. | 30 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0.67 | 61% | 37.33 | 1.331 | ±0.678 | 15.50 | 0.585 | ±0.296 |
 | | Fordham | 20 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0.50 | 51% | 29.33 | 1.391 | ±0.481 | 27.33 | 1.262 | ±0.715 |
 | at Lafayette | 40 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0.83 | 74% | 25.17 | 1.774 | ±1.057 | 15.33 | 0.657 | ±0.157 |
 | | Southeastern La. | 35 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0.67 | 60% | 36.17 | 1.018 | ±0.450 | 32.33 | 1.163 | ±0.581 |
 | at McNeese St. | 40 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0.67 | 60% | 36.50 | 1.190 | ±0.500 | 23.33 | 1.258 | ±1.210 |
 |  | Jackson St. | 19 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0.17 | 25% | 13.83 | 0.523 | ±0.199 | 23.17 | 1.005 | ±0.438 |
| | at Mississippi Val. | 11 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0.33 | 35% | 14.67 | 0.291 | ±0.259 | 27.83 | 1.752 | ±1.032 |
 |  | Albany (NY) | 26 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0.71 | 63% | 25.29 | 1.058 | ±0.682 | 18.71 | 0.899 | ±0.463 |
| | at Monmouth | 22 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0.50 | 51% | 25.67 | 1.097 | ±0.397 | 24.00 | 1.015 | ±0.336 |
 |  | Marist | 26 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0.50 | 48% | 21.33 | 0.911 | ±0.418 | 20.00 | 0.954 | ±0.332 |
| | at Morehead St. | 15 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0.29 | 32% | 17.14 | 0.684 | ±0.603 | 23.43 | 1.460 | ±0.642 |
 | | Missouri St. | 23 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0.57 | 55% | 18.14 | 0.808 | ±0.387 | 22.00 | 0.739 | ±0.370 |
 | at North Dakota St. | 26 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0.14 | 26% | 28.43 | 1.371 | ±0.673 | 33.00 | 1.102 | ±0.344 |
 |  | Towson | 30 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0.33 | 40% | 18.00 | 0.799 | ±0.297 | 35.00 | 1.545 | ±0.441 |
| | at Northeastern | 20 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0.00 | 18% | 11.67 | 0.611 | ±0.409 | 40.17 | 1.543 | ±0.465 |
 | | Idaho St. | 14 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0.00 | 14% | 9.86 | 0.598 | ±0.791 | 42.43 | 1.854 | ±0.423 |
 | at Northern Ariz. | 59 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0.67 | 63% | 32.50 | 1.376 | ±0.455 | 29.00 | 1.163 | ±0.397 |
 |  | Weber St. | 28 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0.57 | 53% | 32.29 | 1.080 | ±0.231 | 21.14 | 1.199 | ±0.551 |
| | at Northern Colo. | 17 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0.29 | 34% | 16.57 | 0.654 | ±0.648 | 23.86 | 0.937 | ±0.344 |
| Confidence | Pick | Team | Expected Score | W | L | T | % | Rank | SPG | Factor | Std. Dev. | APG | Factor | Std. Dev. |
|---|
 |  | Texas St. | 69 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0.50 | 51% | 36.83 | 1.630 | ±0.887 | 36.50 | 1.510 | ±0.521 |
| | at Northwestern St. | 19 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0.00 | 16% | 13.33 | 0.486 | ±0.311 | 45.50 | 1.723 | ±0.858 |
 |  | Yale | 14 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0.60 | 52% | 20.40 | 0.814 | ±0.406 | 12.40 | 0.755 | ±0.547 |
| | at Penn | 13 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0.60 | 58% | 19.60 | 0.923 | ±0.422 | 14.80 | 0.749 | ±0.615 |
 |  | UC Davis | 58 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0.50 | 52% | 20.67 | 1.062 | ±0.739 | 25.33 | 0.998 | ±0.433 |
| | at Portland St. | 24 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0.29 | 35% | 21.00 | 1.086 | ±0.848 | 31.71 | 3.985 | ±6.540 |
 |  | Massachusetts | 25 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0.67 | 64% | 30.83 | 1.639 | ±0.784 | 19.17 | 0.680 | ±0.397 |
| | at Richmond | 24 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1.00 | 86% | 30.67 | 1.399 | ±0.636 | 16.17 | 0.734 | ±0.556 |
 |  | Duquesne | 23 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0.29 | 35% | 18.00 | 0.931 | ±0.544 | 25.71 | 1.286 | ±0.617 |
| | at St. Francis (PA) | 18 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0.14 | 23% | 15.14 | 0.627 | ±0.632 | 27.71 | 1.159 | ±0.684 |
 | | Jacksonville | 21 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0.40 | 41% | 24.00 | 1.108 | ±0.623 | 21.40 | 1.307 | ±0.871 |
 | at San Diego | 26 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0.50 | 50% | 23.17 | 1.055 | ±0.440 | 17.67 | 0.934 | ±0.601 |
 |  | Old Dominion | 63 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0.71 | 62% | 33.14 | 1.537 | ±1.097 | 23.29 | 0.988 | ±0.233 |
| | at Savannah St. | 16 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0.20 | 24% | 17.00 | 0.627 | ±0.416 | 33.80 | 2.230 | ±1.107 |
 |  | UNI | 21 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0.71 | 65% | 38.71 | 1.683 | ±0.769 | 13.14 | 0.529 | ±0.323 |
| | at South Dakota St. | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0.83 | 72% | 31.50 | 1.144 | ±0.413 | 12.33 | 0.550 | ±0.359 |
 | | Youngstown St. | 15 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0.67 | 58% | 24.17 | 0.748 | ±0.428 | 19.67 | 1.047 | ±0.624 |
 | at Southern Ill. | 33 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0.83 | 73% | 35.17 | 1.522 | ±0.637 | 17.50 | 0.712 | ±0.498 |
 |  | Prairie View | 32 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0.80 | 71% | 26.40 | 1.056 | ±0.413 | 14.00 | 0.691 | ±0.568 |
| | at Southern U. | 24 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0.67 | 60% | 37.50 | 1.624 | ±0.980 | 24.33 | 1.447 | ±0.904 |
| Confidence | Pick | Team | Expected Score | W | L | T | % | Rank | SPG | Factor | Std. Dev. | APG | Factor | Std. Dev. |
|---|
 | | North Dakota | 29 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0.50 | 52% | 23.67 | 1.009 | ±0.343 | 31.17 | 1.092 | ±0.441 |
 | at Southern Utah | 35 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0.33 | 36% | 31.50 | 1.147 | ±0.340 | 29.50 | 1.209 | ±0.689 |
 | | Sam Houston St. | 25 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0.50 | 47% | 30.83 | 0.980 | ±0.532 | 32.33 | 1.442 | ±0.744 |
 | at Stephen F. Austin | 59 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0.83 | 73% | 44.83 | 1.652 | ±0.949 | 22.50 | 0.918 | ±0.587 |
 | | Coastal Caro. | 19 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0.50 | 48% | 17.00 | 0.805 | ±0.606 | 21.17 | 0.943 | ±0.652 |
 | at Stony Brook | 20 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0.43 | 45% | 23.43 | 0.856 | ±0.255 | 24.14 | 1.044 | ±0.310 |
 |  | Southeast Mo. St. | 27 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0.17 | 26% | 23.67 | 1.088 | ±1.148 | 28.67 | 1.203 | ±0.618 |
| | at Tennessee Tech | 26 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0.50 | 48% | 24.33 | 0.768 | ±0.372 | 25.00 | 1.151 | ±0.417 |
 | | Murray St. | 25 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0.33 | 37% | 18.67 | 0.759 | ±0.744 | 30.00 | 1.316 | ±0.788 |
 | at Tenn.-Martin | 29 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0.29 | 32% | 24.71 | 0.857 | ±0.349 | 29.29 | 1.446 | ±0.407 |
 |  | Dayton | 30 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0.83 | 70% | 22.83 | 0.885 | ±0.334 | 12.67 | 0.639 | ±0.307 |
| | at Valparaiso | 9 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0.17 | 29% | 14.17 | 0.664 | ±0.291 | 31.17 | 1.420 | ±0.607 |
 | | Rhode Island | 12 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0.17 | 26% | 20.83 | 0.829 | ±0.399 | 33.67 | 1.529 | ±0.608 |
 | at Villanova | 50 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0.86 | 77% | 30.57 | 1.576 | ±0.419 | 13.71 | 0.605 | ±0.395 |
 | | Sacred Heart | 29 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0.17 | 27% | 17.17 | 0.748 | ±0.256 | 29.67 | 1.219 | ±0.529 |
 | at Wagner | 41 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0.50 | 47% | 32.67 | 1.431 | ±0.823 | 32.00 | 1.951 | ±1.648 |
 |  | Wofford | 25 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0.17 | 28% | 21.17 | 0.819 | ±0.390 | 34.33 | 1.328 | ±0.344 |
| | at Western Caro. | 12 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0.17 | 25% | 9.00 | 0.332 | ±0.254 | 26.33 | 1.389 | ±0.979 |
 | | James Madison | 17 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0.33 | 40% | 22.83 | 1.032 | ±0.574 | 22.67 | 0.977 | ±0.505 |
 | at William & Mary | 30 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0.83 | 77% | 27.83 | 1.480 | ±0.348 | 17.50 | 0.721 | ±0.274 |
| Confidence | Pick | Team | Expected Score | W | L | T | % | Rank | SPG | Factor | Std. Dev. | APG | Factor | Std. Dev. |
|---|
 | | Nicholls St. | 8 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0.17 | 25% | 14.33 | 0.499 | ±0.234 | 44.17 | 1.750 | ±1.060 |
 | at Central Ark. | 48 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0.67 | 57% | 30.17 | 0.974 | ±0.351 | 14.17 | 0.576 | ±0.344 |
 | | Chattanooga | 12 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0.67 | 59% | 25.17 | 0.900 | ±0.193 | 18.33 | 0.860 | ±0.501 |
 | at Elon | 26 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0.83 | 73% | 32.33 | 1.282 | ±0.811 | 12.50 | 0.530 | ±0.457 |
 | | Southern Va. | 11 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0.00 | 10% | 7.75 | 0.336 | ±0.076 | 45.00 | 4.379 | ±2.182 |
 | at Gardner-Webb | 81 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0.67 | 59% | 26.00 | 1.090 | ±0.990 | 27.00 | 1.605 | ±0.742 |
 |  | VMI | 34 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0.17 | 25% | 17.83 | 0.861 | ±0.556 | 28.17 | 1.295 | ±0.522 |
| | at Presbyterian | 19 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0.00 | 15% | 15.33 | 0.663 | ±0.111 | 41.17 | 1.803 | ±0.685 |
 | | Edward Waters | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | 13% | 6.00 | 0.280 | ±0.000 | 38.00 | 2.289 | ±0.000 |
 | at Ark.-Pine Bluff | 44 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0.60 | 56% | 20.40 | 1.095 | ±1.168 | 21.00 | 1.003 | ±0.329 |
 | | Tuskegee | 8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0.71 | 67% | 25.14 | 1.373 | ±0.659 | 20.71 | 1.069 | ±0.534 |
 | at Albany St. (GA) | 29 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0.93 | 79% | 29.14 | 1.299 | ±0.740 | 6.00 | 0.288 | ±0.310 |
 | | Merrimack | 29 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0.64 | 61% | 27.14 | 1.470 | ±0.684 | 23.00 | 1.135 | ±0.984 |
 | at American Int'l | 32 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0.57 | 55% | 26.43 | 1.477 | ±0.890 | 20.86 | 0.992 | ±0.450 |
 |  | Grand Valley St. | 46 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0.88 | 76% | 35.25 | 1.577 | ±0.636 | 14.75 | 0.799 | ±0.576 |
| | at Ashland | 20 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0.50 | 50% | 29.00 | 1.182 | ±0.457 | 27.75 | 1.378 | ±0.487 |
 |  | Minn. Duluth | 31 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0.81 | 73% | 36.88 | 1.645 | ±0.903 | 9.38 | 0.356 | ±0.320 |
| | at Bemidji St. | 11 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0.72 | 66% | 28.56 | 1.251 | ±0.688 | 19.56 | 0.799 | ±0.399 |
 |  | Fort Valley St. | 38 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0.57 | 54% | 31.29 | 1.574 | ±0.574 | 23.57 | 1.429 | ±0.963 |
| | at Benedict | 26 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0.56 | 54% | 19.88 | 0.971 | ±0.764 | 22.38 | 1.335 | ±0.741 |
| Confidence | Pick | Team | Expected Score | W | L | T | % | Rank | SPG | Factor | Std. Dev. | APG | Factor | Std. Dev. |
|---|
 | | Assumption | 14 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0.64 | 58% | 28.00 | 1.251 | ±0.718 | 23.43 | 1.389 | ±0.798 |
 | at Bentley | 32 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0.79 | 73% | 21.29 | 1.488 | ±1.532 | 11.43 | 0.463 | ±0.307 |
 | | Shippensburg | 13 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0.69 | 64% | 30.88 | 1.414 | ±0.686 | 19.38 | 1.079 | ±0.636 |
 | at Bloomsburg | 22 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0.94 | 83% | 21.88 | 1.058 | ±0.569 | 9.12 | 0.395 | ±0.201 |
 |  | West Chester | 53 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0.56 | 54% | 27.50 | 1.223 | ±0.771 | 17.38 | 0.717 | ±0.457 |
| | at Cheyney | 9 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 0.06 | 16% | 12.62 | 0.491 | ±0.450 | 35.75 | 2.247 | ±1.059 |
 | | Indiana (PA) | 19 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0.44 | 47% | 17.88 | 1.015 | ±0.696 | 18.00 | 0.761 | ±0.541 |
 | at Clarion | 20 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0.56 | 53% | 24.25 | 1.158 | ±0.703 | 19.62 | 0.972 | ±0.710 |
 | | Chadron St. | 17 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0.56 | 54% | 23.75 | 0.933 | ±0.436 | 17.00 | 0.801 | ±0.581 |
 | at Colorado Mines | 20 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0.69 | 63% | 27.00 | 1.076 | ±0.581 | 17.12 | 0.723 | ±0.452 |
 | | Southern Ark. | 17 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0.29 | 36% | 18.00 | 0.774 | ±0.355 | 32.00 | 1.080 | ±0.393 |
 | at Delta St. | 37 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0.43 | 48% | 27.14 | 1.371 | ±0.600 | 24.29 | 0.851 | ±0.438 |
 | | C.W. Post | 19 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0.31 | 38% | 21.75 | 1.187 | ±0.753 | 20.62 | 0.867 | ±0.569 |
 | at East Stroudsburg | 23 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0.69 | 65% | 23.38 | 1.241 | ±0.747 | 17.88 | 0.735 | ±0.553 |
 | | St. Augustine's | 23 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0.38 | 41% | 25.75 | 1.255 | ±0.809 | 23.62 | 0.926 | ±0.269 |
 | at Fayetteville St. | 31 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0.62 | 60% | 28.00 | 1.561 | ±0.706 | 20.50 | 0.801 | ±0.401 |
 | | Lock Haven | 7 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0.07 | 21% | 4.86 | 0.257 | ±0.260 | 32.00 | 1.274 | ±0.607 |
 | at Gannon | 26 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0.31 | 37% | 19.25 | 0.866 | ±0.389 | 28.00 | 1.231 | ±0.667 |
 |  | Wayne St. (MI) | 34 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0.75 | 68% | 32.00 | 1.576 | ±0.603 | 22.25 | 0.916 | ±0.321 |
| | at Hillsdale | 31 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0.75 | 70% | 30.50 | 1.555 | ±0.419 | 22.75 | 1.006 | ±0.855 |
| Confidence | Pick | Team | Expected Score | W | L | T | % | Rank | SPG | Factor | Std. Dev. | APG | Factor | Std. Dev. |
|---|
 | | Tiffin | 10 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 0.06 | 20% | 11.38 | 0.557 | ±0.484 | 37.12 | 1.616 | ±1.036 |
 | at Indianapolis | 30 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0.38 | 41% | 20.12 | 0.741 | ±0.356 | 19.62 | 0.771 | ±0.301 |
 | | Miles | 18 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0.44 | 46% | 15.75 | 0.831 | ±0.481 | 21.50 | 1.228 | ±0.975 |
 | at Kentucky St. | 22 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0.56 | 54% | 19.25 | 0.950 | ±0.770 | 21.75 | 1.166 | ±0.572 |
 |  | Virginia St. | 26 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0.50 | 48% | 18.75 | 0.696 | ±0.446 | 18.38 | 0.992 | ±0.444 |
| | at Lincoln (PA) | 14 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0.38 | 38% | 17.50 | 0.579 | ±0.320 | 33.62 | 1.476 | ±0.678 |
 | | Southwest Minn. St. | 21 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0.44 | 44% | 32.62 | 1.570 | ±1.153 | 23.75 | 1.057 | ±0.483 |
 | at Minn. St. Mankato | 37 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0.94 | 83% | 33.00 | 1.632 | ±0.736 | 14.62 | 0.605 | ±0.463 |
 |  | Edinboro | 22 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0.81 | 73% | 27.00 | 1.376 | ±0.799 | 18.88 | 0.961 | ±0.432 |
| | at Mercyhurst | 16 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0.56 | 54% | 18.38 | 0.770 | ±0.381 | 15.00 | 0.895 | ±0.414 |
 |  | Saginaw Valley | 38 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0.75 | 70% | 27.38 | 1.296 | ±0.440 | 20.75 | 0.930 | ±0.592 |
| | at Michigan Tech | 20 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0.14 | 25% | 21.29 | 0.945 | ±0.431 | 33.14 | 1.240 | ±0.570 |
 |  | Kutztown | 36 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0.44 | 46% | 19.00 | 1.007 | ±0.438 | 20.12 | 1.017 | ±0.628 |
| | at Millersville | 17 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0.31 | 38% | 17.38 | 0.831 | ±0.518 | 35.38 | 1.915 | ±1.150 |
 | | Clark Atlanta | 13 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0.42 | 43% | 16.17 | 0.679 | ±0.533 | 15.33 | 0.689 | ±0.655 |
 | at Morehouse | 16 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0.64 | 60% | 24.00 | 1.024 | ±0.584 | 18.14 | 0.842 | ±0.613 |
 | | Central Mo. | 20 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0.81 | 71% | 30.38 | 1.148 | ±0.544 | 14.75 | 0.628 | ±0.455 |
 | at Neb.-Omaha | 21 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0.69 | 62% | 31.25 | 1.555 | ±0.784 | 17.25 | 0.673 | ±0.693 |
 | | Pace | 16 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0.07 | 19% | 13.86 | 0.766 | ±0.538 | 24.57 | 1.008 | ±0.511 |
 | at New Haven | 22 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0.50 | 51% | 19.29 | 0.996 | ±0.599 | 22.71 | 1.036 | ±0.812 |
| Confidence | Pick | Team | Expected Score | W | L | T | % | Rank | SPG | Factor | Std. Dev. | APG | Factor | Std. Dev. |
|---|
 |  | Emporia St. | 24 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0.19 | 27% | 18.75 | 0.822 | ±0.467 | 28.12 | 1.381 | ±0.706 |
| | at Truman | 19 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0.19 | 31% | 14.38 | 0.672 | ±0.849 | 32.88 | 1.090 | ±0.648 |
 | | Washburn | 19 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0.69 | 65% | 35.25 | 1.636 | ±0.878 | 21.12 | 1.107 | ±1.000 |
 | at Northwest Mo. St. | 39 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0.81 | 74% | 37.62 | 1.757 | ±0.811 | 13.88 | 0.426 | ±0.325 |
 | | Ferris St. | 9 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0.12 | 22% | 11.75 | 0.439 | ±0.298 | 33.62 | 1.424 | ±0.489 |
 | at Northwood (MI) | 28 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0.50 | 53% | 17.86 | 0.913 | ±0.689 | 21.29 | 0.742 | ±0.437 |
 | | Mary | 21 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0.56 | 54% | 23.25 | 0.874 | ±0.419 | 20.62 | 0.973 | ±0.513 |
 | at St. Cloud St. | 28 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0.56 | 53% | 31.38 | 1.243 | ±0.698 | 21.75 | 1.022 | ±0.608 |
 | | Ky. Wesleyan | 22 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0.21 | 27% | 15.00 | 0.552 | ±0.409 | 33.00 | 2.614 | ±2.234 |
 | at St. Joseph's (IN) | 44 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0.50 | 46% | 24.00 | 0.784 | ±0.537 | 27.17 | 1.902 | ±1.929 |
 |  | Elizabeth City St. | 43 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0.62 | 57% | 36.38 | 1.501 | ±0.464 | 28.50 | 1.247 | ±0.366 |
| | at St. Paul's | 13 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0.43 | 45% | 10.71 | 0.455 | ±0.405 | 18.43 | 1.609 | ±2.257 |
 | | Livingstone | 6 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0.00 | 10% | 9.25 | 0.307 | ±0.334 | 35.75 | 1.944 | ±0.701 |
 | at Shaw | 57 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0.69 | 63% | 33.00 | 1.371 | ±0.744 | 19.25 | 0.713 | ±0.403 |
 |  | California (PA) | 25 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0.69 | 64% | 29.12 | 1.548 | ±0.819 | 18.25 | 1.264 | ±1.208 |
| | at Slippery Rock | 20 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0.69 | 65% | 18.38 | 0.910 | ±0.550 | 17.38 | 0.764 | ±0.431 |
 | | Lane | 11 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0.07 | 21% | 8.00 | 0.355 | ±0.363 | 29.14 | 1.456 | ±0.924 |
 | at Stillman | 26 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0.25 | 32% | 17.33 | 0.942 | ±0.590 | 26.00 | 1.490 | ±1.075 |
 |  | St. Anselm | 19 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0.36 | 41% | 16.57 | 0.791 | ±0.728 | 21.00 | 0.887 | ±0.468 |
| | at Stonehill | 18 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0.36 | 38% | 21.00 | 0.838 | ±0.499 | 25.29 | 1.097 | ±0.504 |
| Confidence | Pick | Team | Expected Score | W | L | T | % | Rank | SPG | Factor | Std. Dev. | APG | Factor | Std. Dev. |
|---|
 | | Eastern N.M. | 28 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0.31 | 36% | 33.88 | 1.707 | ±1.106 | 33.12 | 1.642 | ±0.916 |
 | at Tex. A&M-Kingsville | 48 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0.94 | 79% | 29.50 | 1.437 | ±0.947 | 15.75 | 0.889 | ±0.481 |
 | | Concordia-St. Paul | 22 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0.21 | 32% | 14.57 | 0.650 | ±0.619 | 35.29 | 1.561 | ±0.928 |
 | at Upper Iowa | 38 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0.31 | 35% | 25.25 | 1.043 | ±0.732 | 33.50 | 1.545 | ±0.786 |
 |  | North Ala. | 32 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1.00 | 85% | 41.75 | 1.667 | ±0.259 | 12.50 | 0.540 | ±0.249 |
| | at Valdosta St. | 14 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0.57 | 54% | 26.29 | 1.025 | ±0.207 | 19.43 | 0.770 | ±0.413 |
 |  | Bowie St. | 23 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0.75 | 69% | 31.75 | 1.362 | ±0.342 | 19.88 | 0.808 | ±0.577 |
| | at Virginia Union | 22 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0.62 | 57% | 27.75 | 1.092 | ±0.535 | 16.38 | 0.769 | ±0.541 |
 | | Cheyney | 9 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 0.06 | 16% | 12.62 | 0.491 | ±0.450 | 35.75 | 2.247 | ±1.059 |
 | at West Chester | 53 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0.56 | 54% | 27.50 | 1.223 | ±0.771 | 17.38 | 0.717 | ±0.457 |
 |  | West Ala. | 42 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0.57 | 56% | 30.14 | 1.244 | ±0.526 | 27.71 | 1.213 | ±0.844 |
| | at West Ga. | 10 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0.07 | 22% | 8.71 | 0.373 | ±0.313 | 36.57 | 1.284 | ±0.728 |
 |  | Angelo St. | 27 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0.69 | 62% | 26.75 | 1.077 | ±0.608 | 19.00 | 0.847 | ±0.520 |
| | at West Tex. A&M | 18 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0.31 | 38% | 20.12 | 1.047 | ±0.578 | 23.50 | 1.038 | ±0.556 |
 | | Minn.-Crookston | 7 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0.07 | 17% | 8.71 | 0.310 | ±0.221 | 36.71 | 1.753 | ±0.770 |
 | at Winona St. | 45 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0.61 | 59% | 28.00 | 1.113 | ±0.530 | 19.67 | 0.808 | ±0.500 |
 | | Brevard | 15 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0.75 | 65% | 20.33 | 0.633 | ±0.311 | 15.33 | 0.748 | ±0.459 |
 | at Carson-Newman | 23 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0.69 | 66% | 27.25 | 1.674 | ±1.214 | 19.88 | 0.840 | ±0.459 |
 | | Wingate | 23 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0.79 | 69% | 29.14 | 1.412 | ±0.914 | 21.00 | 1.578 | ±1.199 |
 | at Catawba | 28 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0.50 | 49% | 23.00 | 0.977 | ±0.541 | 17.43 | 0.743 | ±0.720 |
| Confidence | Pick | Team | Expected Score | W | L | T | % | Rank | SPG | Factor | Std. Dev. | APG | Factor | Std. Dev. |
|---|
 | | Humboldt St. | 16 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0.42 | 44% | 23.83 | 1.457 | ±1.063 | 19.17 | 1.058 | ±0.507 |
 | at Central Wash. | 25 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0.94 | 80% | 25.38 | 1.240 | ±0.672 | 10.62 | 0.728 | ±0.871 |
 | | West Liberty St. | 26 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0.81 | 71% | 38.12 | 1.426 | ±0.727 | 21.12 | 1.164 | ±0.817 |
 | at Charleston (WV) | 36 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0.94 | 79% | 35.88 | 1.460 | ±0.665 | 17.00 | 0.718 | ±0.660 |
 |  | UNC Pembroke | 43 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0.86 | 74% | 33.57 | 1.607 | ±0.506 | 13.57 | 0.553 | ±0.489 |
| | at Concord | 16 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0.50 | 51% | 26.29 | 1.274 | ±0.949 | 28.43 | 1.226 | ±0.541 |
 |  | Northern Mich. | 25 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0.71 | 65% | 35.71 | 1.375 | ±0.537 | 15.29 | 0.611 | ±0.448 |
| | at Findlay | 19 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0.75 | 68% | 28.00 | 1.301 | ±0.875 | 17.00 | 0.725 | ±0.433 |
 |  | Neb.-Kearney | 48 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0.81 | 73% | 31.25 | 1.479 | ±0.818 | 12.00 | 0.519 | ±0.291 |
| | at Fort Lewis | 6 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0.19 | 28% | 11.75 | 0.521 | ±0.347 | 32.00 | 1.580 | ±0.844 |
 | | West Va. Wesleyan | 20 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0.25 | 33% | 17.17 | 0.666 | ±0.473 | 33.33 | 1.190 | ±0.589 |
 | at Glenville St. | 27 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0.44 | 45% | 21.62 | 0.842 | ±0.427 | 26.38 | 1.273 | ±1.208 |
 |  | Arkansas Tech | 39 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0.64 | 61% | 32.43 | 1.365 | ±0.719 | 22.43 | 1.196 | ±1.157 |
| | at Henderson St. | 38 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0.43 | 45% | 35.43 | 1.532 | ±0.479 | 29.57 | 1.141 | ±0.669 |
 |  | Lenoir-Rhyne | 32 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0.56 | 52% | 29.50 | 1.309 | ±0.846 | 20.38 | 1.453 | ±1.487 |
| | at Mars Hill | 24 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0.64 | 60% | 19.71 | 0.924 | ±0.592 | 23.86 | 1.081 | ±1.084 |
 | | Central Okla. | 8 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0.19 | 28% | 17.62 | 0.836 | ±0.392 | 29.88 | 1.165 | ±0.531 |
 | at Midwestern St. | 41 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0.69 | 64% | 31.50 | 1.527 | ±0.915 | 10.75 | 0.414 | ±0.388 |
 | | Tusculum | 20 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0.08 | 24% | 19.17 | 1.001 | ±0.581 | 31.17 | 1.098 | ±0.539 |
 | at Newberry | 32 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0.50 | 49% | 23.14 | 1.239 | ±0.846 | 19.86 | 1.054 | ±0.607 |
| Confidence | Pick | Team | Expected Score | W | L | T | % | Rank | SPG | Factor | Std. Dev. | APG | Factor | Std. Dev. |
|---|
 | | Minn. St. Moorhead | 19 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0.31 | 35% | 13.50 | 0.571 | ±0.361 | 32.25 | 1.838 | ±1.280 |
 | at Northern St. | 26 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0.19 | 28% | 17.12 | 0.642 | ±0.400 | 34.00 | 1.403 | ±0.690 |
 | | Southwest Baptist | 27 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0.44 | 45% | 29.88 | 1.105 | ±0.661 | 31.12 | 1.442 | ±0.818 |
 | at Ouachita Baptist | 34 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0.50 | 47% | 26.00 | 0.973 | ±0.577 | 18.67 | 1.085 | ±0.564 |
 | | Fort Hays St. | 19 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0.56 | 56% | 25.62 | 1.102 | ±0.703 | 27.88 | 1.211 | ±0.732 |
 | at Pittsburg St. | 34 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0.56 | 55% | 26.50 | 1.293 | ±0.862 | 18.88 | 0.668 | ±0.322 |
 | | Abilene Christian | 17 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0.94 | 81% | 31.88 | 1.343 | ±0.686 | 13.12 | 0.581 | ±0.308 |
 | at Tarleton St. | 18 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0.81 | 71% | 30.50 | 1.443 | ±1.125 | 12.50 | 0.549 | ±0.425 |
 | | Augustana (SD) | 20 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0.69 | 63% | 25.62 | 1.215 | ±0.805 | 18.12 | 0.728 | ±0.607 |
 | at Wayne St. (NE) | 23 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0.69 | 66% | 26.62 | 1.433 | ±0.915 | 19.25 | 0.622 | ±0.430 |
 | | N.M. Highlands | 15 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 0.06 | 19% | 8.00 | 0.363 | ±0.314 | 40.62 | 1.723 | ±0.908 |
 | at Western N.M. | 56 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0.21 | 29% | 27.29 | 1.581 | ±1.127 | 39.57 | 2.058 | ±1.068 |
 | | Western St. | 11 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0.44 | 45% | 15.88 | 0.557 | ±0.399 | 27.12 | 1.482 | ±0.977 |
 | at Colorado St.-Pueblo | 25 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0.50 | 50% | 18.00 | 0.858 | ±0.540 | 19.43 | 0.701 | ±0.518 |
 | | Urbana | 29 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0.67 | 65% | 19.33 | 1.002 | ±0.239 | 22.67 | 1.029 | ±0.500 |
 | at Lake Erie | 32 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0.57 | 56% | 32.29 | 1.375 | ±0.264 | 32.71 | 1.277 | ±0.619 |
 | | Harding | 23 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0.50 | 50% | 19.88 | 0.762 | ±0.482 | 27.62 | 1.025 | ±0.495 |
 | at Ark.-Monticello | 24 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0.38 | 41% | 20.12 | 0.956 | ±0.673 | 31.50 | 1.152 | ±0.634 |
 |  | East Central | 11 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 0.06 | 22% | 6.38 | 0.285 | ±0.200 | 31.88 | 1.249 | ±0.498 |
| | at Southwestern Okla. | 11 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 0.06 | 17% | 8.50 | 0.339 | ±0.197 | 37.62 | 1.808 | ±0.986 |
| Confidence | Pick | Team | Expected Score | W | L | T | % | Rank | SPG | Factor | Std. Dev. | APG | Factor | Std. Dev. |
|---|
 | | Johnson C. Smith | 25 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0.33 | 36% | 16.50 | 0.709 | ±0.359 | 29.50 | 1.476 | ±0.401 |
 | at Chowan | 42 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0.19 | 29% | 22.75 | 1.693 | ±1.714 | 31.12 | 1.696 | ±1.567 |
 | | Mo. Southern St. | 21 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0.21 | 30% | 19.29 | 0.980 | ±0.781 | 28.71 | 0.984 | ±0.545 |
 | at Mo. Western St. | 47 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0.81 | 74% | 37.12 | 1.983 | ±0.988 | 24.50 | 0.942 | ±0.472 |
 | | West Virginia St. | 10 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0.36 | 40% | 13.43 | 0.532 | ±0.511 | 25.43 | 1.012 | ±0.988 |
 | at Shepherd | 28 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0.69 | 64% | 27.25 | 1.109 | ±0.521 | 19.25 | 0.703 | ±0.362 |
 | | Adams St. | 17 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0.44 | 43% | 25.25 | 0.971 | ±0.577 | 25.88 | 1.347 | ±0.686 |
 | at Mesa St. | 26 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0.56 | 54% | 23.00 | 0.781 | ±0.499 | 16.50 | 0.711 | ±0.398 |
 |  | Southeastern Okla. | 63 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0.69 | 62% | 28.25 | 4.577 | ±9.251 | 24.38 | 2.041 | ±2.665 |
| | at Northeastern St. | 18 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0.31 | 36% | 11.38 | 0.484 | ±0.477 | 21.62 | 0.949 | ±0.585 |
 | | Fairmont St. | 26 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0.19 | 31% | 16.50 | 0.739 | ±0.617 | 29.25 | 1.030 | ±0.509 |
 | at Seton Hill | 31 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0.21 | 27% | 26.29 | 1.228 | ±0.950 | 33.43 | 1.695 | ±0.910 |
 | | Widener | 16 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0.50 | 48% | 25.83 | 1.083 | ±0.389 | 25.17 | 1.227 | ±0.541 |
 | at Albright | 39 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1.00 | 83% | 34.17 | 1.407 | ±0.535 | 12.33 | 0.703 | ±0.506 |
 | | Olivet | 22 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0.00 | 17% | 10.14 | 1.106 | ±1.092 | 31.57 | 1.095 | ±0.531 |
 | at Alma | 28 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0.50 | 48% | 26.67 | 0.858 | ±0.213 | 29.33 | 1.131 | ±0.449 |
 | | Wesleyan (CT) | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.50 | 45% | 15.50 | 0.679 | ±0.233 | 16.25 | 1.689 | ±0.978 |
 | at Amherst | 22 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1.00 | 83% | 19.25 | 0.747 | ±0.117 | 11.75 | 0.665 | ±0.344 |
 | | Gust. Adolphus | 30 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0.50 | 54% | 23.00 | 1.146 | ±0.410 | 31.33 | 1.390 | ±0.441 |
 | at Augsburg | 38 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0.50 | 48% | 27.50 | 1.197 | ±0.370 | 26.17 | 1.289 | ±0.629 |
| Confidence | Pick | Team | Expected Score | W | L | T | % | Rank | SPG | Factor | Std. Dev. | APG | Factor | Std. Dev. |
|---|
 | | Carthage | 17 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0.75 | 68% | 28.50 | 1.641 | ±1.249 | 26.17 | 1.261 | ±0.701 |
 | at Augustana (IL) | 27 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0.50 | 57% | 19.67 | 1.150 | ±0.786 | 12.50 | 0.455 | ±0.261 |
 | | Rockford | 6 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0.00 | 13% | 7.00 | 0.290 | ±0.220 | 46.50 | 2.241 | ±0.556 |
 | at Aurora | 32 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0.58 | 52% | 16.83 | 0.563 | ±0.297 | 18.00 | 0.837 | ±0.724 |
 | | Methodist | 25 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0.33 | 35% | 22.17 | 1.112 | ±0.543 | 32.33 | 1.884 | ±0.746 |
 | at Averett | 36 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0.58 | 55% | 19.33 | 1.108 | ±0.708 | 19.50 | 1.239 | ±1.127 |
 |  | Middlebury | 49 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0.25 | 34% | 29.25 | 1.747 | ±0.622 | 26.75 | 1.315 | ±0.977 |
| | at Bates | 21 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0.00 | 17% | 12.00 | 0.949 | ±0.469 | 27.25 | 1.717 | ±0.477 |
 | | Lawrence | 9 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0.17 | 25% | 9.33 | 0.400 | ±0.310 | 36.50 | 1.944 | ±0.840 |
 | at Beloit | 33 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0.64 | 58% | 20.14 | 0.725 | ±0.549 | 20.43 | 0.947 | ±0.619 |
 |  | St. Thomas (MN) | 43 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0.83 | 75% | 39.50 | 1.947 | ±0.781 | 14.83 | 0.656 | ±0.157 |
| | at Carleton | 15 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0.50 | 49% | 23.00 | 0.988 | ±0.364 | 22.50 | 1.059 | ±0.626 |
 | | Hiram | 9 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0.08 | 20% | 7.33 | 0.891 | ±1.378 | 39.17 | 1.891 | ±0.927 |
 | at Case | 82 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1.00 | 83% | 44.17 | 2.053 | ±0.814 | 15.50 | 0.707 | ±0.199 |
 |  | Husson | 38 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0.42 | 44% | 19.83 | 0.691 | ±0.667 | 18.33 | 0.633 | ±0.302 |
| | at Castleton St. | 13 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0.33 | 34% | 20.17 | 0.710 | ±0.312 | 42.83 | 2.386 | ±0.841 |
 |  | Hampden-Sydney | 40 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0.93 | 81% | 32.14 | 1.791 | ±1.037 | 13.00 | 0.566 | ±0.435 |
| | at Catholic | 8 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0.08 | 19% | 12.67 | 0.676 | ±0.460 | 23.83 | 1.151 | ±0.600 |
 |  | Cal Lutheran | 23 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0.70 | 65% | 31.00 | 1.539 | ±1.003 | 11.00 | 0.458 | ±0.268 |
| | at Chapman | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0.50 | 48% | 11.60 | 0.472 | ±0.405 | 14.20 | 0.805 | ±0.476 |
| Confidence | Pick | Team | Expected Score | W | L | T | % | Rank | SPG | Factor | Std. Dev. | APG | Factor | Std. Dev. |
|---|
 |  | Denison | 25 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0.33 | 42% | 20.17 | 0.825 | ±0.305 | 29.17 | 0.922 | ±0.577 |
| | at Chicago | 21 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0.50 | 50% | 18.20 | 0.874 | ±0.624 | 26.40 | 1.400 | ±0.937 |
 |  | Redlands | 27 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0.80 | 69% | 36.80 | 1.647 | ±0.390 | 18.20 | 1.494 | ±1.411 |
| | at Claremont-M-S | 17 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0.70 | 60% | 14.80 | 0.684 | ±0.491 | 12.40 | 0.898 | ±0.804 |
 | | Simpson | 15 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0.36 | 42% | 20.43 | 1.233 | ±0.839 | 29.57 | 1.357 | ±0.818 |
 | at Coe | 30 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0.83 | 76% | 22.17 | 0.995 | ±0.480 | 14.83 | 0.534 | ±0.292 |
 | | Maranatha Baptist | 3 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0.00 | 12% | 5.33 | 0.185 | ±0.152 | 38.33 | 2.568 | ±0.934 |
 | at Concordia Chicago | 46 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0.75 | 64% | 24.33 | 0.795 | ±0.532 | 13.83 | 0.822 | ±0.431 |
 | | Hamline | 21 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0.42 | 48% | 18.83 | 0.971 | ±0.832 | 27.00 | 0.948 | ±0.708 |
 | at Concordia-M'head | 25 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0.20 | 34% | 18.00 | 1.207 | ±0.480 | 27.00 | 0.882 | ±0.248 |
 | | Plymouth St. | 22 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0.86 | 73% | 35.43 | 1.473 | ±0.265 | 21.86 | 1.228 | ±0.954 |
 | at Curry | 26 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0.71 | 65% | 22.57 | 1.079 | ±0.428 | 13.43 | 0.657 | ±0.762 |
 | | Trinity (TX) | 20 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0.75 | 65% | 23.33 | 0.927 | ±0.789 | 17.33 | 0.896 | ±0.496 |
 | at DePauw | 26 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0.80 | 70% | 32.60 | 1.284 | ±0.639 | 18.80 | 0.964 | ±0.736 |
 |  | Wartburg | 34 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0.50 | 51% | 27.17 | 1.261 | ±0.365 | 23.50 | 0.974 | ±0.510 |
| | at Dubuque | 23 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0.36 | 39% | 24.29 | 0.913 | ±0.628 | 25.00 | 1.336 | ±0.694 |
 | | Oberlin | 12 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0.08 | 23% | 7.67 | 0.352 | ±0.280 | 25.50 | 1.174 | ±0.862 |
 | at Earlham | 19 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0.42 | 44% | 16.33 | 0.746 | ±0.522 | 34.50 | 1.466 | ±0.894 |
 |  | Ill. Wesleyan | 29 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0.83 | 76% | 30.83 | 1.659 | ±1.431 | 12.17 | 0.462 | ±0.321 |
| | at Elmhurst | 12 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0.67 | 60% | 26.67 | 0.949 | ±0.463 | 17.50 | 0.917 | ±0.457 |
| Confidence | Pick | Team | Expected Score | W | L | T | % | Rank | SPG | Factor | Std. Dev. | APG | Factor | Std. Dev. |
|---|
 | | Bridgewater (VA) | 17 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0.58 | 57% | 21.83 | 1.175 | ±1.022 | 22.00 | 1.049 | ±0.699 |
 | at Emory & Henry | 23 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0.75 | 70% | 21.83 | 1.010 | ±0.575 | 15.83 | 0.676 | ±0.505 |
 | | MacMurray | 28 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0.00 | 18% | 21.60 | 1.121 | ±0.507 | 36.40 | 2.284 | ±0.901 |
 | at Eureka | 45 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0.36 | 40% | 20.43 | 1.168 | ±0.984 | 25.14 | 1.249 | ±0.831 |
 | | Mass. Maritime | 24 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0.36 | 36% | 20.86 | 0.878 | ±0.533 | 21.14 | 1.107 | ±0.539 |
 | at Fitchburg St. | 25 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0.64 | 59% | 25.29 | 1.014 | ±0.659 | 24.14 | 1.306 | ±0.828 |
 | | Muhlenberg | 18 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0.33 | 38% | 13.67 | 0.670 | ±0.487 | 16.17 | 0.630 | ±0.503 |
 | at Frank. & Marsh. | 24 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0.83 | 70% | 33.00 | 1.622 | ±0.628 | 21.17 | 1.600 | ±0.608 |
 | | Becker | 6 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0.07 | 19% | 8.14 | 0.423 | ±0.686 | 41.71 | 1.791 | ±0.945 |
 | at Gallaudet | 26 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0.50 | 48% | 17.14 | 0.532 | ±0.358 | 15.29 | 0.795 | ±0.489 |
 |  | Dickinson | 53 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0.83 | 76% | 31.83 | 1.652 | ±0.805 | 21.00 | 0.823 | ±0.624 |
| | at Gettysburg | 41 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0.43 | 44% | 38.71 | 2.395 | ±1.344 | 29.86 | 1.806 | ±1.201 |
 | | Buffalo St. | 9 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0.17 | 27% | 15.83 | 0.595 | ±0.429 | 38.33 | 1.758 | ±0.574 |
 | at Rowan | 73 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0.83 | 71% | 44.33 | 1.762 | ±0.551 | 13.00 | 0.640 | ±0.370 |
 |  | Chris. Newport | 22 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0.58 | 57% | 19.50 | 1.169 | ±1.039 | 19.67 | 0.840 | ±0.541 |
| | at Greensboro | 13 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0.42 | 44% | 13.67 | 0.771 | ±0.513 | 20.17 | 1.037 | ±0.608 |
 | | Colby | 16 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0.25 | 34% | 12.00 | 0.769 | ±0.450 | 26.00 | 1.181 | ±0.448 |
 | at Hamilton | 21 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0.25 | 37% | 13.25 | 1.000 | ±0.634 | 23.50 | 1.155 | ±0.434 |
 |  | Springfield | 50 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0.83 | 76% | 44.00 | 2.622 | ±0.666 | 21.83 | 0.832 | ±0.474 |
| | at Hartwick | 29 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0.67 | 61% | 32.83 | 1.433 | ±0.559 | 21.33 | 0.993 | ±0.559 |
| Confidence | Pick | Team | Expected Score | W | L | T | % | Rank | SPG | Factor | Std. Dev. | APG | Factor | Std. Dev. |
|---|
 |  | Baldwin-Wallace | 36 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0.33 | 41% | 23.00 | 1.254 | ±0.713 | 26.50 | 1.329 | ±0.755 |
| | at Heidelberg | 30 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0.25 | 34% | 21.33 | 1.187 | ±0.782 | 31.50 | 1.417 | ±0.665 |
 | | Merchant Marine | 27 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0.57 | 55% | 25.71 | 1.415 | ±0.806 | 27.00 | 1.576 | ±1.342 |
 | at Hobart | 27 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0.40 | 47% | 18.20 | 0.908 | ±0.504 | 20.60 | 0.935 | ±0.513 |
 |  | Adrian | 36 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0.50 | 48% | 33.17 | 1.255 | ±0.531 | 19.17 | 0.909 | ±0.411 |
| | at Hope | 27 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0.17 | 30% | 26.33 | 1.530 | ±0.704 | 30.33 | 1.032 | ±0.474 |
 |  | Lakeland | 22 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0.42 | 47% | 20.67 | 0.794 | ±0.436 | 23.50 | 0.774 | ±0.747 |
| | at Benedictine (IL) | 15 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0.50 | 48% | 19.00 | 0.689 | ±0.360 | 23.33 | 1.235 | ±0.363 |
 |  | Grinnell | 19 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0.36 | 37% | 17.43 | 0.545 | ±0.398 | 20.14 | 0.963 | ±0.837 |
| | at Illinois Col. | 16 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0.50 | 47% | 20.00 | 0.669 | ±0.463 | 20.29 | 1.510 | ±1.023 |
 | | Morrisville St. | 8 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0.14 | 26% | 14.71 | 0.638 | ±0.571 | 41.71 | 1.562 | ±0.470 |
 | at Kean | 39 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0.75 | 68% | 22.83 | 0.994 | ±0.563 | 11.83 | 0.570 | ±0.649 |
 |  | Allegheny | 41 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0.83 | 72% | 23.00 | 0.975 | ±0.625 | 16.50 | 0.571 | ±0.459 |
| | at Kenyon | 18 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0.36 | 40% | 24.71 | 1.379 | ±1.083 | 29.14 | 2.355 | ±2.489 |
 |  | Carroll (WI) | 33 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0.29 | 37% | 16.57 | 0.869 | ±0.599 | 25.29 | 1.083 | ±0.296 |
| | at Knox | 14 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0.00 | 13% | 12.71 | 0.543 | ±0.343 | 37.00 | 2.062 | ±0.394 |
 |  | Monmouth (IL) | 56 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1.00 | 87% | 48.57 | 2.828 | ±1.082 | 9.00 | 0.347 | ±0.305 |
| | at Lake Forest | 4 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0.21 | 30% | 12.14 | 0.507 | ±0.323 | 21.14 | 1.083 | ±0.532 |
 | | King's (PA) | 20 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0.33 | 41% | 20.67 | 1.090 | ±0.405 | 28.17 | 1.079 | ±0.349 |
 | at Lebanon Valley | 31 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0.83 | 73% | 29.00 | 1.113 | ±0.376 | 20.83 | 0.820 | ±0.255 |
| Confidence | Pick | Team | Expected Score | W | L | T | % | Rank | SPG | Factor | Std. Dev. | APG | Factor | Std. Dev. |
|---|
 |  | Central (IA) | 49 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1.00 | 87% | 39.00 | 1.901 | ±0.188 | 16.00 | 0.757 | ±0.434 |
| | at Loras | 19 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0.33 | 40% | 22.83 | 1.283 | ±0.930 | 28.50 | 1.129 | ±0.493 |
 |  | Buena Vista | 19 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0.67 | 60% | 22.00 | 0.887 | ±0.271 | 17.33 | 0.915 | ±0.382 |
| | at Luther | 17 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0.50 | 51% | 20.17 | 0.950 | ±0.570 | 21.83 | 0.889 | ±0.315 |
 |  | Delaware Valley | 33 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0.83 | 79% | 26.33 | 1.715 | ±0.904 | 13.17 | 0.426 | ±0.290 |
| | at Lycoming | 12 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0.50 | 54% | 22.00 | 1.138 | ±0.666 | 24.50 | 0.915 | ±0.353 |
 |  | Martin Luther | 26 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0.64 | 55% | 26.57 | 0.710 | ±0.546 | 16.57 | 0.962 | ±0.922 |
| | at Macalester | 14 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0.36 | 39% | 17.86 | 0.642 | ±0.540 | 25.00 | 1.266 | ±0.908 |
 |  | Eureka | 45 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0.36 | 40% | 20.43 | 1.168 | ±0.984 | 25.14 | 1.249 | ±0.831 |
| | at MacMurray | 28 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0.00 | 18% | 21.60 | 1.121 | ±0.507 | 36.40 | 2.284 | ±0.901 |
 |  | Framingham St. | 38 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0.57 | 54% | 19.43 | 0.807 | ±0.503 | 21.57 | 1.062 | ±0.341 |
| | at Maine Maritime | 31 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0.75 | 66% | 29.83 | 1.430 | ±0.904 | 22.17 | 2.988 | ±4.515 |
 |  | Salve Regina | 33 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0.36 | 41% | 21.14 | 1.034 | ±0.601 | 21.71 | 0.849 | ±0.462 |
| | at MIT | 18 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0.17 | 23% | 19.83 | 0.837 | ±0.247 | 29.83 | 1.646 | ±1.181 |
 | | North Park | 14 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0.17 | 28% | 12.33 | 0.602 | ±0.113 | 42.67 | 1.478 | ±0.526 |
 | at Millikin | 47 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0.67 | 66% | 23.67 | 1.366 | ±0.885 | 26.67 | 0.955 | ±0.463 |
 |  | Centre | 28 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1.00 | 86% | 26.67 | 1.379 | ±0.586 | 16.83 | 0.658 | ±0.343 |
| | at Millsaps | 20 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0.50 | 53% | 27.00 | 1.282 | ±0.567 | 24.14 | 0.851 | ±0.496 |
 | | Juniata | 5 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0.00 | 15% | 5.29 | 0.218 | ±0.243 | 32.00 | 1.295 | ±0.454 |
 | at Moravian | 8 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0.14 | 29% | 6.14 | 0.277 | ±0.360 | 26.14 | 0.871 | ±0.177 |
| Confidence | Pick | Team | Expected Score | W | L | T | % | Rank | SPG | Factor | Std. Dev. | APG | Factor | Std. Dev. |
|---|
 | | Wilmington (OH) | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0.25 | 33% | 15.00 | 0.810 | ±0.568 | 21.33 | 1.137 | ±0.801 |
 | at Mount Union | 33 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0.92 | 81% | 30.83 | 1.481 | ±0.819 | 9.17 | 0.348 | ±0.285 |
 | | Marietta | 13 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0.42 | 43% | 11.67 | 0.476 | ±0.400 | 21.17 | 1.045 | ±0.552 |
 | at Muskingum | 22 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0.17 | 26% | 19.00 | 1.116 | ±0.586 | 27.83 | 1.175 | ±0.449 |
 | | Mount Ida | 21 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0.43 | 46% | 20.71 | 0.921 | ±0.525 | 23.29 | 0.880 | ±0.447 |
 | at Maritime (NY) | 25 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0.64 | 58% | 30.57 | 1.028 | ±0.593 | 21.71 | 1.032 | ±0.610 |
 | | Maryville (TN) | 20 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0.58 | 58% | 18.50 | 0.847 | ±0.456 | 18.33 | 0.750 | ±0.483 |
 | at N.C. Wesleyan | 24 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0.58 | 59% | 25.00 | 1.594 | ±0.864 | 24.17 | 1.026 | ±0.703 |
 | | Wheaton (IL) | 20 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1.00 | 86% | 36.83 | 2.055 | ±0.905 | 13.17 | 0.578 | ±0.309 |
 | at North Central (IL) | 27 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0.75 | 66% | 47.33 | 2.012 | ±1.168 | 8.83 | 0.620 | ±0.760 |
 | | Anna Maria | 9 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0.00 | 14% | 15.86 | 0.642 | ±0.227 | 49.43 | 2.368 | ±1.451 |
 | at Norwich | 41 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0.50 | 48% | 19.29 | 0.715 | ±0.407 | 13.14 | 0.637 | ±0.539 |
 | | La Verne | 7 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0.10 | 23% | 9.40 | 0.548 | ±0.477 | 28.20 | 1.124 | ±0.606 |
 | at Occidental | 49 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0.70 | 69% | 22.60 | 2.597 | ±3.001 | 15.20 | 0.671 | ±0.631 |
 | | John Carroll | 17 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0.58 | 55% | 19.67 | 0.850 | ±0.562 | 15.67 | 0.825 | ±0.707 |
 | at Ohio Northern | 26 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0.58 | 58% | 24.83 | 2.027 | ±1.790 | 21.33 | 0.856 | ±0.732 |
 |  | Washington-St. Louis | 17 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0.42 | 47% | 13.83 | 0.610 | ±0.564 | 21.50 | 0.645 | ±0.504 |
| | at Ohio Wesleyan | 10 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0.17 | 28% | 13.17 | 0.539 | ±0.346 | 29.67 | 1.217 | ±0.556 |
 |  | Capital | 26 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0.75 | 68% | 28.67 | 1.772 | ±0.918 | 19.17 | 0.968 | ±0.564 |
| | at Otterbein | 26 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0.92 | 78% | 29.00 | 1.210 | ±0.688 | 16.83 | 0.794 | ±0.509 |
| Confidence | Pick | Team | Expected Score | W | L | T | % | Rank | SPG | Factor | Std. Dev. | APG | Factor | Std. Dev. |
|---|
 | | St. Lawrence | 13 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0.42 | 46% | 14.67 | 0.780 | ±0.720 | 25.83 | 1.168 | ±0.782 |
 | at Rensselaer | 35 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0.60 | 57% | 25.40 | 1.546 | ±1.035 | 19.60 | 0.735 | ±0.547 |
 |  | Austin | 36 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0.58 | 54% | 25.33 | 1.112 | ±0.566 | 20.00 | 1.670 | ±1.662 |
| | at Rhodes | 19 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0.25 | 32% | 14.67 | 0.689 | ±0.555 | 30.00 | 1.503 | ±0.998 |
 |  | WPI | 32 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0.50 | 48% | 30.00 | 1.289 | ±0.465 | 17.33 | 0.812 | ±0.685 |
| | at Rochester (NY) | 21 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0.33 | 43% | 25.00 | 1.252 | ±0.537 | 26.00 | 0.985 | ±0.451 |
 |  | Alfred | 41 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1.00 | 86% | 39.40 | 1.837 | ±0.785 | 19.00 | 0.992 | ±0.420 |
| | at St. John Fisher | 26 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0.58 | 56% | 26.67 | 1.325 | ±0.839 | 24.50 | 0.938 | ±0.657 |
 | | St. Olaf | 17 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0.50 | 51% | 23.17 | 1.116 | ±0.517 | 15.50 | 0.550 | ±0.121 |
 | at St. John's (MN) | 18 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1.00 | 87% | 29.86 | 1.316 | ±0.230 | 16.86 | 0.625 | ±0.269 |
 |  | Ripon | 25 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0.71 | 65% | 25.14 | 1.202 | ±0.401 | 14.57 | 0.577 | ±0.555 |
| | at St. Norbert | 23 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0.86 | 73% | 34.86 | 1.773 | ±0.903 | 21.14 | 0.970 | ±0.361 |
 | | Union (NY) | 18 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0.75 | 68% | 18.50 | 0.983 | ±0.599 | 16.17 | 0.777 | ±0.434 |
 | at Salisbury | 22 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0.50 | 47% | 32.33 | 1.121 | ±0.547 | 20.00 | 0.877 | ±0.377 |
 |  | Ferrum | 24 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0.50 | 51% | 26.20 | 1.210 | ±0.683 | 25.40 | 1.225 | ±0.658 |
| | at Shenandoah | 22 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0.17 | 24% | 18.00 | 0.855 | ±0.353 | 18.33 | 0.955 | ±0.463 |
 |  | Birmingham-So. | 23 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0.42 | 45% | 23.33 | 1.023 | ±0.622 | 21.67 | 1.162 | ±0.726 |
| | at Sewanee | 8 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0.08 | 24% | 6.83 | 0.385 | ±0.418 | 22.67 | 0.954 | ±0.751 |
 |  | Nichols | 24 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0.43 | 43% | 20.71 | 1.015 | ±0.485 | 29.86 | 1.629 | ±0.529 |
| | at Mass.-Dartmouth | 6 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0.07 | 21% | 4.00 | 0.159 | ±0.138 | 27.29 | 0.991 | ±0.468 |
| Confidence | Pick | Team | Expected Score | W | L | T | % | Rank | SPG | Factor | Std. Dev. | APG | Factor | Std. Dev. |
|---|
 |  | Thomas More | 47 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0.90 | 79% | 27.00 | 1.196 | ±0.721 | 11.80 | 0.505 | ±0.301 |
| | at Thiel | 10 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0.40 | 42% | 19.00 | 0.961 | ±0.321 | 29.80 | 2.138 | ±1.539 |
 |  | Montclair St. | 36 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0.83 | 72% | 27.67 | 1.127 | ±0.543 | 17.83 | 1.012 | ±0.865 |
| | at TCNJ | 29 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0.75 | 65% | 37.83 | 1.134 | ±0.646 | 25.83 | 1.542 | ±0.947 |
 | | Bowdoin | 20 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.50 | 51% | 26.25 | 2.309 | ±1.551 | 20.00 | 1.628 | ±1.498 |
 | at Trinity (CT) | 32 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0.88 | 75% | 24.75 | 1.232 | ±0.751 | 10.75 | 0.615 | ±0.440 |
 | | Webber Int'l | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.00 | 16% | 12.00 | 0.681 | ±0.486 | 27.00 | 1.851 | ±0.973 |
 | at Wesley | 69 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1.00 | 86% | 38.60 | 2.470 | ±1.231 | 8.40 | 0.507 | ±0.394 |
 |  | Brockport | 56 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0.42 | 45% | 25.33 | 1.532 | ±0.847 | 32.67 | 1.370 | ±0.716 |
| | at Western Conn. St. | 26 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0.00 | 15% | 15.67 | 0.922 | ±0.770 | 41.33 | 1.927 | ±0.588 |
 |  | Ursinus | 32 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0.50 | 53% | 23.17 | 0.953 | ±0.591 | 23.33 | 0.691 | ±0.415 |
| | at McDaniel | 18 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0.67 | 56% | 23.67 | 0.842 | ±0.346 | 20.33 | 1.958 | ±1.786 |
 | | Bridgewater St. | 12 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0.71 | 65% | 30.86 | 1.412 | ±0.481 | 18.14 | 1.026 | ±0.485 |
 | at Westfield St. | 14 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0.57 | 56% | 16.00 | 0.644 | ±0.302 | 9.14 | 0.358 | ±0.188 |
 | | Pomona-Pitzer | 29 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0.50 | 47% | 17.40 | 1.012 | ±0.544 | 22.60 | 2.082 | ±1.174 |
 | at Whittier | 36 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0.40 | 44% | 20.60 | 1.253 | ±0.363 | 30.20 | 1.543 | ±0.903 |
 | | FDU-Florham | 21 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0.17 | 29% | 25.00 | 0.987 | ±0.429 | 40.50 | 1.975 | ±1.087 |
 | at Wilkes | 44 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0.50 | 56% | 19.00 | 1.264 | ±0.853 | 21.00 | 0.815 | ±0.297 |
 | | Linfield | 21 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0.90 | 79% | 27.40 | 1.445 | ±0.879 | 15.20 | 0.753 | ±0.445 |
 | at Willamette | 25 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0.75 | 64% | 33.33 | 1.654 | ±1.015 | 13.50 | 0.856 | ±0.660 |
| Confidence | Pick | Team | Expected Score | W | L | T | % | Rank | SPG | Factor | Std. Dev. | APG | Factor | Std. Dev. |
|---|
 |  | Cortland St. | 12 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0.67 | 61% | 24.00 | 0.986 | ±0.601 | 15.00 | 0.699 | ±0.344 |
| | at Wm. Paterson | 9 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0.42 | 44% | 13.83 | 0.576 | ±0.349 | 13.67 | 0.442 | ±0.337 |
 | | Tufts | 11 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0.62 | 56% | 10.75 | 0.497 | ±0.530 | 9.00 | 0.422 | ±0.286 |
 | at Williams | 13 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0.75 | 65% | 28.00 | 1.623 | ±0.762 | 19.75 | 1.112 | ±0.533 |
 |  | Wis.-Stout | 29 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0.70 | 64% | 18.80 | 0.749 | ±0.647 | 6.40 | 0.252 | ±0.131 |
| | at Wis.-Eau Claire | 12 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0.50 | 51% | 30.17 | 2.479 | ±1.511 | 33.17 | 1.798 | ±1.003 |
 | | Wis.-Stevens Point | 24 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0.70 | 66% | 19.40 | 0.941 | ±0.573 | 15.60 | 0.701 | ±0.579 |
 | at Wis.-La Crosse | 25 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0.83 | 70% | 36.50 | 1.533 | ±0.619 | 22.50 | 1.378 | ±1.043 |
 |  | Wis.-Oshkosh | 28 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0.58 | 61% | 26.00 | 1.349 | ±1.214 | 20.17 | 0.563 | ±0.335 |
| | at Wis.-Platteville | 14 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0.50 | 53% | 18.33 | 0.909 | ±0.216 | 23.83 | 0.913 | ±0.491 |
 | | Wis.-River Falls | 12 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0.33 | 42% | 28.67 | 1.752 | ±0.607 | 27.50 | 0.963 | ±0.320 |
 | at Wis.-Whitewater | 37 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0.90 | 76% | 34.60 | 1.460 | ±1.150 | 4.80 | 0.555 | ±0.477 |
 | | Carnegie Mellon | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0.67 | 59% | 29.00 | 1.279 | ±0.810 | 21.00 | 1.036 | ±0.596 |
 | at Wittenberg | 33 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0.92 | 75% | 35.83 | 1.334 | ±0.911 | 2.67 | 0.276 | ±0.358 |
 |  | Wabash | 36 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0.92 | 81% | 39.00 | 1.971 | ±0.977 | 9.33 | 0.454 | ±0.356 |
| | at Wooster | 13 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0.58 | 56% | 30.50 | 1.312 | ±0.788 | 20.83 | 0.805 | ±0.669 |
 |  | Coast Guard | 24 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0.33 | 40% | 20.17 | 0.980 | ±0.418 | 25.33 | 0.983 | ±0.420 |
| | at Worcester St. | 12 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0.07 | 19% | 11.86 | 0.480 | ±0.318 | 26.29 | 1.111 | ±0.640 |
 |  | Defiance | 30 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0.33 | 38% | 16.50 | 0.674 | ±0.225 | 26.67 | 0.934 | ±0.460 |
| | at Anderson (IN) | 16 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0.10 | 22% | 16.40 | 0.640 | ±0.536 | 40.80 | 1.925 | ±1.034 |
| Confidence | Pick | Team | Expected Score | W | L | T | % | Rank | SPG | Factor | Std. Dev. | APG | Factor | Std. Dev. |
|---|
 |  | Rose-Hulman | 43 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0.43 | 44% | 34.86 | 1.323 | ±0.606 | 27.29 | 1.396 | ±0.398 |
| | at Bluffton | 18 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0.00 | 16% | 14.50 | 0.549 | ±0.234 | 34.17 | 1.198 | ±0.208 |
 |  | Mississippi Col. | 44 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0.75 | 70% | 37.83 | 1.557 | ±0.885 | 31.83 | 1.036 | ±0.603 |
| | at East Tex. Baptist | 22 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0.29 | 33% | 20.00 | 0.703 | ±0.449 | 29.29 | 1.144 | ±0.586 |
 |  | Wash. & Lee | 15 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0.36 | 38% | 18.43 | 0.892 | ±0.488 | 16.71 | 1.206 | ±0.788 |
| | at Guilford | 12 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0.25 | 30% | 13.83 | 0.416 | ±0.351 | 16.17 | 0.835 | ±0.466 |
 | | Manchester | 23 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0.50 | 48% | 22.50 | 0.750 | ±0.216 | 23.00 | 1.075 | ±0.724 |
 | at Hanover | 25 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0.25 | 34% | 25.17 | 1.011 | ±0.512 | 29.83 | 1.052 | ±0.551 |
 | | Greenville | 24 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0.80 | 69% | 22.80 | 1.013 | ±0.423 | 22.00 | 1.168 | ±0.892 |
 | at Huntingdon | 38 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0.83 | 73% | 37.17 | 1.459 | ±0.613 | 24.50 | 0.978 | ±0.302 |
 | | Westminster (MO) | 29 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0.40 | 39% | 33.80 | 1.326 | ±0.483 | 33.60 | 2.205 | ±1.430 |
 | at LaGrange | 33 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0.58 | 54% | 18.50 | 0.772 | ±0.551 | 19.83 | 0.938 | ±0.600 |
 | | Southern Ore. | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.17 | 23% | 3.33 | 0.094 | ±0.133 | 19.00 | 1.149 | ±0.815 |
 | at Mary Hardin-Baylor | 31 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0.90 | 76% | 35.40 | 1.163 | ±0.685 | 8.40 | 0.297 | ±0.171 |
 |  | Northwestern (MN) | 51 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0.57 | 54% | 30.86 | 1.289 | ±0.714 | 22.71 | 1.052 | ±0.869 |
| | at Minn.-Morris | 20 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0.00 | 12% | 20.50 | 0.844 | ±0.415 | 41.00 | 1.605 | ±0.392 |
 | | Puget Sound | 12 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0.10 | 22% | 6.00 | 0.550 | ±0.586 | 18.00 | 0.923 | ±0.477 |
 | at Pacific Lutheran | 15 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0.30 | 34% | 18.00 | 0.688 | ±0.489 | 28.60 | 1.381 | ±0.845 |
 |  | Hardin-Simmons | 25 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0.43 | 47% | 24.14 | 1.134 | ±0.686 | 28.43 | 1.020 | ±0.455 |
| | at Sul Ross St. | 23 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0.42 | 39% | 24.50 | 0.730 | ±0.363 | 22.17 | 1.060 | ±0.817 |
| Confidence | Pick | Team | Expected Score | W | L | T | % | Rank | SPG | Factor | Std. Dev. | APG | Factor | Std. Dev. |
|---|
 |  | McMurry | 41 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0.36 | 42% | 22.43 | 1.091 | ±0.618 | 28.14 | 1.016 | ±0.584 |
| | at Texas Lutheran | 18 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0.00 | 14% | 16.17 | 0.724 | ±0.305 | 41.00 | 1.688 | ±0.419 |
 | | Bethany (WV) | 20 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0.30 | 38% | 15.00 | 0.689 | ±0.549 | 24.80 | 1.009 | ±0.558 |
 | at Waynesburg | 36 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0.58 | 54% | 31.67 | 1.587 | ±0.967 | 28.00 | 1.317 | ±1.076 |
 |  | Wash. & Jeff. | 129 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1.00 | 81% | 36.80 | 7.437 | ±11.791 | 11.40 | 2.606 | ±3.708 |
| | at Westminster (PA) | 33 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0.25 | 33% | 21.00 | 0.971 | ±0.651 | 28.17 | 1.296 | ±0.709 |
 | | Menlo | 13 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0.33 | 38% | 12.00 | 0.550 | ±0.308 | 23.33 | 1.338 | ±0.694 |
 | at Whitworth | 25 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0.36 | 41% | 18.86 | 1.077 | ±0.570 | 24.86 | 1.083 | ±0.702 |
 |  | Mt. St. Joseph | 31 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0.92 | 76% | 35.50 | 1.359 | ±0.688 | 20.17 | 1.107 | ±0.614 |
| | at Franklin | 26 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0.75 | 69% | 26.00 | 1.152 | ±0.611 | 22.50 | 0.896 | ±0.507 |
 |  | Louisiana Col. | 50 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0.50 | 52% | 35.67 | 1.767 | ±0.933 | 33.00 | 1.996 | ±1.859 |
| | at Howard Payne | 49 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0.40 | 37% | 31.80 | 1.027 | ±0.516 | 27.20 | 1.429 | ±0.419 |
 | | Concordia (WI) | 17 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0.42 | 43% | 14.67 | 0.578 | ±0.379 | 25.33 | 1.308 | ±0.742 |
 | at Wis. Lutheran | 31 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0.50 | 49% | 25.17 | 1.111 | ±0.638 | 24.00 | 1.427 | ±0.916 |
 | | Western New Eng. | 31 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0.43 | 45% | 23.71 | 1.251 | ±0.887 | 28.29 | 1.639 | ±0.585 |
 | at Endicott | 33 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0.43 | 46% | 22.14 | 1.023 | ±0.582 | 26.29 | 1.207 | ±0.668 |
 |  | Crown (MN) | 43 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0.50 | 46% | 28.00 | 0.806 | ±0.402 | 26.29 | 1.253 | ±0.619 |
| | at Lewis & Clark | 21 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0.10 | 21% | 14.60 | 0.873 | ±0.749 | 33.40 | 2.086 | ±1.217 |
 | | Kalamazoo | 27 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0.57 | 49% | 31.57 | 1.138 | ±0.677 | 31.29 | 1.820 | ±0.402 |
 | at Trine | 55 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0.83 | 72% | 36.00 | 1.410 | ±0.417 | 19.83 | 1.010 | ±0.533 |
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