The Rimbot's NCAA Week of 11-02-2009 Predictions

ConfidencePickTeamExpected ScoreWLT%RankSPGFactorStd. Dev.APGFactorStd. Dev.
win Kent St.225400.5652%21.330.785±0.25420.560.957±0.600
  at Akron181700.1224%17.250.908±0.68826.501.046±0.525
  LSU117100.8878%26.380.952±0.31812.120.446±0.324
win at Alabama158001.0087%31.751.365±0.37811.380.386±0.246
win Fla. Atlantic342500.2935%26.710.975±0.45634.291.493±0.387
  at UAB333500.3841%24.750.847±0.32333.381.363±0.443
win Southern California236200.7570%30.001.327±0.49419.120.649±0.451
  at Arizona St.164400.5048%26.000.840±0.26419.000.717±0.240
  Washington St.141700.1225%15.000.599±0.22237.381.332±0.338
win at Arizona465200.7169%30.001.386±0.37424.140.892±0.444
  La.-Lafayette164400.5048%22.000.762±0.63830.881.231±0.653
win at Arkansas St.302500.2935%24.001.012±0.64219.860.764±0.448
  South Carolina266300.6764%21.891.057±0.72219.000.702±0.469
win at Arkansas284400.5053%35.881.653±0.57927.381.076±0.624
  Furman294400.5050%27.621.227±0.41330.001.298±0.466
win at Auburn456300.6763%31.891.592±0.66526.110.949±0.323
  Bowling Green273500.3844%23.621.146±0.52328.381.114±0.499
win at Buffalo283500.3842%23.121.060±0.44925.621.002±0.505
ConfidencePickTeamExpected ScoreWLT%RankSPGFactorStd. Dev.APGFactorStd. Dev.
  Oregon St.295300.6261%29.381.415±0.44924.880.882±0.347
win at California336200.7569%33.621.435±0.92922.120.897±0.353
win Washington233500.3846%24.621.251±0.47529.750.984±0.279
  at UCLA233500.3844%19.880.874±0.27723.000.728±0.317
  Connecticut154400.5052%27.751.228±0.29920.620.808±0.257
win at Cincinnati358001.0087%39.121.901±0.93912.880.492±0.218
  Florida St.224400.5054%31.751.561±0.65129.750.978±0.406
win at Clemson365300.6263%30.881.439±0.53416.500.577±0.421
win Texas A&M395300.6258%35.751.420±0.62730.001.065±0.707
  at Colorado252600.2534%21.750.884±0.34929.501.031±0.565
win Virginia Tech365300.6265%30.621.929±0.92119.250.659±0.266
  at East Carolina195300.6260%26.751.059±0.18022.620.946±0.268
  Vanderbilt72700.2229%18.220.720±0.50522.000.887±0.474
win at Florida338001.0089%36.001.592±0.57211.000.363±0.215
  Wake Forest274500.4448%24.001.307±1.14723.330.843±0.418
win at Georgia Tech378100.8980%35.221.906±0.67524.670.928±0.498
  Tennessee Tech255300.6257%24.250.864±0.34722.381.076±0.377
win at Georgia304400.5053%25.751.459±0.64129.381.051±0.469
win Utah St.332600.2533%27.001.085±0.46931.121.110±0.326
  at Hawaii252600.2533%21.500.843±0.42132.881.136±0.273
ConfidencePickTeamExpected ScoreWLT%RankSPGFactorStd. Dev.APGFactorStd. Dev.
win Fresno St.495300.6260%35.501.620±0.64922.620.830±0.482
  at Idaho277200.7868%31.891.218±0.45931.111.351±0.564
win Wisconsin376200.7571%29.381.350±0.35221.750.778±0.351
  at Indiana214500.4446%23.671.126±0.37628.221.229±0.609
win Oklahoma St.286200.7571%34.121.386±0.58122.620.762±0.493
  at Iowa St.205400.5655%22.671.023±0.51421.440.780±0.371
  Northwestern155400.5651%25.670.977±0.34224.781.143±0.439
win at Iowa329001.0090%25.671.375±0.55515.780.540±0.289
win Kansas325300.6259%33.381.516±0.57525.120.906±0.559
  at Kansas St.295400.5655%27.111.356±0.97123.890.839±0.498
  Eastern Ky.215300.6257%22.120.930±0.47818.120.876±0.439
win at Kentucky224400.5052%25.881.178±0.39424.000.894±0.493
win Boise St.378001.0086%41.001.636±0.49613.620.486±0.282
  at Louisiana Tech123500.3840%27.000.852±0.37623.750.876±0.302
  Virginia213500.3845%21.381.014±0.46421.750.688±0.348
win at Miami (FL)286200.7572%29.881.658±0.73124.000.803±0.363
  Western Mich.234500.4446%25.560.984±0.53727.221.185±0.419
win at Michigan St.354500.4449%28.001.316±0.42123.110.873±0.517
  Purdue293600.3341%24.561.242±0.79828.001.012±0.300
win at Michigan365400.5654%31.561.409±0.64225.111.090±0.581
ConfidencePickTeamExpected ScoreWLT%RankSPGFactorStd. Dev.APGFactorStd. Dev.
  FIU242600.2532%24.380.905±0.28232.251.241±0.393
win at Middle Tenn.305300.6256%27.000.810±0.38625.621.000±0.298
  Illinois212600.2533%18.880.912±0.71725.880.950±0.299
win at Minnesota265400.5657%23.441.117±0.56926.110.927±0.252
  Northern Ariz.195300.6259%32.381.221±0.44126.621.123±0.320
win at Mississippi315300.6260%28.881.075±0.52316.000.561±0.248
  Baylor193500.3841%22.380.959±0.51823.750.898±0.153
win at Missouri265300.6261%27.381.123±0.42622.500.740±0.223
  Duke195300.6259%29.501.286±0.49124.120.883±0.285
win at North Carolina215300.6261%22.750.949±0.56516.500.569±0.210
win Oklahoma145300.6261%33.121.428±0.64012.620.395±0.342
  at Nebraska135300.6259%27.621.164±0.67711.250.358±0.216
win Colorado St.313600.3341%22.330.963±0.20930.781.059±0.354
  at UNLV263600.3339%24.220.859±0.32433.781.328±0.584
  Maryland272600.2533%21.621.056±0.56331.621.264±0.514
win at North Carolina St.453500.3843%33.121.541±0.81729.381.073±0.630
win La.-Monroe454400.5050%27.121.117±0.57230.621.106±0.570
  at North Texas332600.2531%30.751.063±0.36039.001.705±0.663
  Eastern Mich.130800.0013%16.880.673±0.24637.381.511±0.378
win at Northern Ill.415300.6257%28.881.036±0.33918.120.785±0.461
ConfidencePickTeamExpected ScoreWLT%RankSPGFactorStd. Dev.APGFactorStd. Dev.
win Navy286300.6762%29.441.280±0.60921.440.838±0.318
  at Notre Dame266200.7568%31.251.232±0.22422.880.877±0.402
  Ohio St.127200.7871%31.001.219±0.34311.670.421±0.372
win at Penn St.158100.8980%30.671.443±0.7789.330.383±0.280
  Syracuse163500.3844%21.621.046±0.49927.381.029±0.216
win at Pittsburgh417100.8879%34.251.730±0.63618.000.640±0.350
win TCU418001.0088%35.251.472±0.33711.120.381±0.219
  at San Diego St.104400.5049%26.250.988±0.31726.881.210±0.368
win Nevada425300.6258%34.621.260±0.79730.121.165±0.331
  at San Jose St.191600.1429%15.140.669±0.25035.141.133±0.505
  Rice170800.0014%14.880.615±0.21345.501.906±0.595
win at SMU534400.5053%26.501.199±0.40529.381.105±0.567
win Oregon367100.8880%35.621.679±0.72917.120.645±0.413
  at Stanford215300.6257%31.881.254±0.37322.380.964±0.347
  Miami (OH)121800.1124%13.780.608±0.44833.221.218±0.455
win at Temple356200.7568%26.121.164±0.47820.380.794±0.137
  Memphis152600.2532%21.120.883±0.28430.381.229±0.408
win at Tennessee374400.5053%29.121.279±0.43517.750.653±0.227
  UCF104310.5653%21.500.821±0.54116.750.676±0.349
win at Texas298001.0088%41.751.833±0.34813.620.453±0.164
ConfidencePickTeamExpected ScoreWLT%RankSPGFactorStd. Dev.APGFactorStd. Dev.
win UTEP373500.3842%26.001.019±0.65233.881.252±0.367
  at Tulane182600.2535%13.380.583±0.57237.381.355±0.352
win Houston337100.8877%41.621.568±0.46828.251.097±0.678
  at Tulsa284400.5048%27.750.932±0.60120.500.814±0.377
  Army93500.3838%16.880.619±0.14222.621.031±0.252
win at Air Force255400.5654%26.441.002±0.47013.560.525±0.309
  New Mexico110800.0013%15.500.633±0.30535.501.522±0.439
win at Utah417100.8876%27.121.121±0.36716.750.681±0.133
  Louisville193500.3843%20.250.936±0.22227.621.034±0.292
win at West Virginia356200.7570%29.751.443±0.37622.380.812±0.302
win Troy526200.7568%30.251.100±0.42226.880.998±0.463
  at Western Ky.200800.0013%20.500.754±0.29745.121.821±0.707
win BYU306200.7568%34.621.276±0.38524.620.888±0.492
  at Wyoming164400.5050%18.250.677±0.44923.380.872±0.244
  Robert Morris162600.2529%17.620.784±0.29620.501.143±0.741
win at Albany (NY)276300.6761%26.781.146±0.58619.110.922±0.519
  Chattanooga225300.6257%23.120.859±0.20421.881.022±0.551
win at Appalachian St.376200.7568%39.001.572±0.37325.120.997±0.380
win Hampton194400.5048%19.120.817±0.42821.251.058±0.546
  at Bethune-Cookman153500.3841%15.000.679±0.51121.001.062±0.497
ConfidencePickTeamExpected ScoreWLT%RankSPGFactorStd. Dev.APGFactorStd. Dev.
win Cal Poly284400.5051%23.251.022±0.60222.880.924±0.325
  at UC Davis244400.5051%24.121.093±0.66729.881.107±0.471
  Wofford222600.2534%21.000.848±0.45233.251.426±0.513
win at Citadel354400.5049%25.001.017±0.52424.881.120±0.403
win Gardner-Webb275300.6255%29.381.032±0.76023.251.112±0.587
  at Coastal Caro.163500.3841%14.380.648±0.48124.001.003±0.583
win Harvard295200.7165%28.141.231±0.18118.710.801±0.367
  at Columbia192500.2935%21.861.147±0.54521.711.076±0.567
win Cornell282500.2935%19.140.889±0.35026.291.215±0.443
  at Dartmouth251600.1428%17.571.105±0.64332.571.431±0.704
  Butler188001.0082%30.751.242±0.53915.620.829±0.341
win at Dayton187100.8872%24.500.980±0.29712.120.664±0.275
  Hofstra154400.5051%17.880.836±0.69021.500.947±0.428
win at Delaware285300.6261%28.001.370±0.63518.500.857±0.406
  Campbell192600.2533%22.121.025±0.39228.621.434±0.599
win at Drake397100.8875%27.121.344±0.65017.380.907±0.736
  N.C. A&T174400.5047%16.120.666±0.26418.621.381±0.860
win at Florida A&M346200.7568%29.381.484±0.51521.881.175±0.460
  Bucknell203500.3838%14.750.720±0.33824.121.381±0.477
win at Fordham363500.3842%28.001.354±0.45228.881.305±0.732
ConfidencePickTeamExpected ScoreWLT%RankSPGFactorStd. Dev.APGFactorStd. Dev.
  Ark.-Pine Bluff244300.5753%21.430.975±1.01020.140.904±0.268
win at Grambling305300.6260%31.001.602±0.81524.751.074±0.420
win South Carolina St.447100.8878%30.501.467±0.50816.380.757±0.507
  at Howard72600.2530%8.750.409±0.27328.621.526±0.611
win Montana628001.0087%37.121.450±0.38219.750.746±0.433
  at Idaho St.90900.0015%10.110.503±0.56342.001.714±0.389
  Western Ill.241700.1222%17.500.751±0.41627.251.242±0.547
win at Illinois St.304400.5050%23.751.120±0.47027.881.516±0.943
win Alabama St.164400.5047%19.000.619±0.35618.880.963±0.621
  at Jackson St.132500.2933%15.430.605±0.24222.140.990±0.409
  Valparaiso131700.1226%11.500.522±0.29531.121.338±0.607
win at Jacksonville423400.4345%27.431.495±0.75324.001.247±0.723
  Maine194400.5051%20.500.962±0.36322.880.919±0.539
win at James Madison203500.3844%20.000.949±0.57221.000.873±0.537
  Colgate218100.8976%29.331.243±0.38819.561.092±0.466
win at Lafayette307100.8877%26.501.581±0.71215.880.734±0.207
win Holy Cross327100.8875%36.121.531±0.51121.501.057±0.285
  at Lehigh192600.2533%18.500.901±0.46920.120.927±0.504
  VMI152600.2530%19.880.872±0.49827.501.386±0.554
win at Liberty416200.7566%32.751.321±0.75516.500.787±0.343
ConfidencePickTeamExpected ScoreWLT%RankSPGFactorStd. Dev.APGFactorStd. Dev.
  Georgetown60800.0015%7.620.363±0.23424.501.225±0.458
win at Marist245300.6256%22.000.848±0.34416.750.782±0.378
  Northeastern141700.1226%14.750.728±0.41437.001.444±0.613
win at Massachusetts444400.5053%25.751.356±0.79721.000.795±0.406
  Sam Houston St.294400.5046%27.750.927±0.61233.251.562±0.764
win at McNeese St.486200.7566%36.621.161±0.43724.001.285±1.303
win Texas Southern313400.4344%24.290.626±0.51230.431.509±0.598
  at Mississippi Val.162600.2529%13.880.342±0.26130.251.733±0.839
win Norfolk St.304400.5052%26.621.398±0.69018.880.847±0.321
  at Morgan St.125300.6255%15.380.633±0.42019.001.289±0.964
win Austin Peay273500.3842%20.380.953±0.37827.751.222±0.518
  at Murray St.212600.2531%18.250.691±0.53229.251.250±0.665
  Rhode Island141700.1223%18.250.789±0.33434.621.559±0.557
win at New Hampshire487100.8874%32.381.312±0.60316.120.799±0.308
  Southern Ore.30400.0012%3.250.097±0.11228.001.201±0.448
win at North Dakota284400.5051%22.881.016±0.45429.881.025±0.387
  Sacramento St.213500.3840%23.500.887±0.45335.121.468±0.499
win at Northern Colo.243600.3336%17.440.663±0.48723.560.898±0.343
  Youngstown St.114400.5050%19.500.709±0.44720.250.898±0.434
win at UNI335300.6260%35.621.713±0.69914.500.587±0.336
ConfidencePickTeamExpected ScoreWLT%RankSPGFactorStd. Dev.APGFactorStd. Dev.
win Southeastern La.525300.6259%34.621.197±0.53031.381.114±0.559
  at Northwestern St.170800.0015%15.880.550±0.29740.881.574±1.058
  N.C. Central222600.2530%25.120.891±0.40529.381.389±0.378
win at Old Dominion447200.7866%33.441.391±0.85521.111.012±0.284
  Princeton62500.2934%10.710.478±0.31527.861.214±0.489
win at Penn225200.7167%17.290.808±0.32311.570.512±0.445
win Montana St.415300.6257%22.880.852±0.38423.000.925±0.367
  at Portland St.192700.2230%20.890.822±0.38233.672.309±2.724
  Alabama A&M175300.6260%23.501.212±0.52022.500.957±0.546
win at Prairie View235100.8374%24.670.990±0.39614.000.693±0.654
win Villanova237100.8878%31.251.564±0.36812.880.521±0.326
  at Richmond188001.0086%32.501.473±0.55515.380.707±0.421
win Bryant193500.3842%15.250.696±0.38319.250.889±0.777
  at Sacred Heart151700.1224%17.250.731±0.27129.501.170±0.596
win Monmouth244400.5050%21.750.919±0.41423.121.016±0.450
  at St. Francis (PA)172600.2530%17.120.709±0.63526.001.097±0.621
  Ga. Southern154400.5052%20.000.987±0.39129.501.124±0.543
win at Samford233500.3840%19.000.831±0.47016.380.676±0.428
  Davidson92600.2534%10.500.454±0.38024.250.884±0.516
win at San Diego223500.3842%21.121.008±0.43420.120.883±0.485
ConfidencePickTeamExpected ScoreWLT%RankSPGFactorStd. Dev.APGFactorStd. Dev.
  Southern Ill.167100.8876%33.881.475±0.45714.120.619±0.526
win at South Dakota St.177100.8877%28.751.202±0.38811.380.471±0.321
win Southern Utah364400.5050%35.001.295±0.40427.751.100±0.637
  at South Dakota333500.3841%28.751.232±1.11925.381.134±0.482
win Jacksonville St.385300.6259%34.001.293±0.64316.380.631±0.311
  at Southeast Mo. St.141700.1224%20.500.955±1.02427.501.161±0.544
  Indiana St.61800.1123%8.330.264±0.26733.672.232±2.300
win at Missouri St.335400.5653%18.000.781±0.38521.670.788±0.312
  Nicholls St.121700.1223%14.500.578±0.25743.121.633±0.865
win at Stephen F. Austin626200.7568%39.751.378±0.81320.750.844±0.629
  Tenn.-Martin183500.3838%26.380.952±0.39528.621.472±0.357
win at Tennessee St.193500.3840%14.000.604±0.28018.250.741±0.222
win Central Conn. St.427100.8875%27.001.359±0.49322.001.118±0.335
  at Wagner355300.6256%33.501.445±0.78829.621.644±1.137
win Elon417100.8875%34.121.378±0.85311.380.491±0.436
  at Western Caro.61700.1221%12.500.465±0.33027.121.333±0.758
  Towson102600.2532%16.120.689±0.32734.881.630±0.449
win at William & Mary477100.8878%28.751.344±0.26715.250.628±0.238
win Delaware St.172500.2937%15.430.801±0.59028.571.172±0.687
  at Winston-Salem131700.1223%10.750.481±0.17421.751.084±0.437
ConfidencePickTeamExpected ScoreWLT%RankSPGFactorStd. Dev.APGFactorStd. Dev.
win Brown174300.5756%25.431.111±0.35820.140.992±0.335
  at Yale164300.5752%17.860.741±0.46213.290.732±0.454
  Texas St.215300.6259%33.621.401±0.67330.381.196±0.600
win at Central Ark.325300.6255%30.500.929±0.33915.380.588±0.354
win Charleston So.333500.3841%20.250.757±0.48330.121.182±0.816
  at Presbyterian210800.0015%16.380.735±0.18541.621.716±0.512
  Fort Valley St.155400.5654%28.781.273±0.38622.891.101±0.535
win at Albany St. (GA)348100.8977%31.671.407±0.44711.560.533±0.499
  Assumption235400.5652%30.561.142±0.48224.671.088±0.452
win at American Int'l275400.5654%26.111.033±0.58219.890.742±0.333
  Northern St.132800.2027%18.600.607±0.26132.601.181±0.590
win at Augustana (SD)367300.7065%29.401.116±0.46721.300.669±0.343
  Clark Atlanta232600.2531%19.001.032±0.89820.501.099±0.760
win at Benedict237300.7064%23.600.986±0.54122.901.146±0.453
  Gannon145500.5050%26.101.078±0.53127.501.092±0.644
win at Bloomsburg278200.8072%24.400.994±0.32113.700.498±0.207
win Clarion537300.7064%28.301.282±0.49222.700.947±0.485
  at Cheyney1001000.0013%11.700.415±0.31740.401.907±0.776
  N.M. Highlands101900.1021%14.000.481±0.32844.501.781±0.613
win at Colorado Mines527300.7065%29.501.162±0.42220.200.704±0.288
ConfidencePickTeamExpected ScoreWLT%RankSPGFactorStd. Dev.APGFactorStd. Dev.
  West Ga.111800.1124%13.440.517±0.35039.781.294±0.556
win at Delta St.374500.4448%24.781.054±0.54923.110.745±0.411
  Slippery Rock196400.6057%24.900.959±0.52324.001.054±0.505
win at East Stroudsburg297300.7065%28.201.182±0.40320.800.753±0.475
  Incarnate Word363300.5047%28.000.906±0.37931.001.312±0.299
win at Eastern N.M.462800.2031%33.901.527±0.59738.301.361±0.526
  Wayne St. (MI)196400.6057%29.401.338±0.53226.101.071±0.417
win at Grand Valley St.399100.9079%34.701.594±0.58514.400.648±0.422
  Tiffin1201000.0014%12.900.606±0.42238.101.733±0.767
win at Hillsdale618200.8073%34.801.616±0.34421.000.892±0.608
  Dixie St.224600.4044%19.700.849±0.39127.401.120±0.396
win at Humboldt St.343500.3842%26.501.395±0.74423.381.182±0.257
win Indiana (PA)264600.4043%21.900.929±0.53720.300.736±0.472
  at Kutztown173700.3036%22.400.900±0.15227.101.205±0.647
win Kentucky St.285500.5049%20.200.860±0.47322.801.062±0.488
  at Lane130810.0619%12.110.534±0.48631.221.398±0.757
win Ky. Wesleyan211800.1119%14.560.535±0.31336.334.668±6.963
  at Lincoln (MO)200900.0012%6.670.268±0.24834.001.607±0.512
  Lock Haven40900.0015%4.440.208±0.24338.111.464±0.474
win at C.W. Post465500.5050%29.301.267±0.60120.900.781±0.399
ConfidencePickTeamExpected ScoreWLT%RankSPGFactorStd. Dev.APGFactorStd. Dev.
  Pace251800.1123%19.000.910±0.47128.671.068±0.451
win at Merrimack406300.6763%33.671.517±0.66629.331.175±0.730
win Northwood (MI)356300.6762%26.441.109±0.53720.780.808±0.282
  at Michigan Tech192700.2230%22.000.957±0.45031.561.298±0.548
win Edinboro507300.7066%27.901.267±0.53824.100.988±0.207
  at Millersville183700.3036%18.600.745±0.51139.701.779±0.874
  Miles194600.4041%16.600.727±0.46721.901.037±0.581
win at Morehouse276300.6761%26.561.165±0.34123.331.221±0.897
win Ohio Dominican522001.0090%41.501.704±0.48539.001.389±0.384
  at New Haven415400.5654%27.891.130±0.46830.781.260±0.537
  West Ala.175400.5655%30.221.314±0.80828.111.229±0.823
win at North Ala.5010001.0086%42.301.690±0.56014.000.547±0.290
win Pittsburg St.375500.5052%30.201.192±0.69827.800.837±0.346
  at Truman151900.1023%16.200.569±0.54735.001.066±0.417
  Indianapolis104600.4042%18.500.632±0.35419.300.788±0.321
win at Northern Mich.245400.5655%30.561.200±0.47016.330.546±0.327
  Central Mo.208200.8071%34.001.177±0.43920.200.668±0.320
win at Northwest Mo. St.309100.9080%43.401.582±0.46318.200.552±0.348
  Ferris St.101900.1021%11.500.454±0.28536.101.510±0.475
win at Saginaw Valley458200.8073%28.101.301±0.42421.000.863±0.408
ConfidencePickTeamExpected ScoreWLT%RankSPGFactorStd. Dev.APGFactorStd. Dev.
win Southern Conn. St.365400.5654%30.221.243±0.50320.890.846±0.448
  at St. Anselm192700.2230%22.110.890±0.65430.001.125±0.398
win Minn. St. Mankato3610001.0086%41.301.548±0.30318.000.683±0.362
  at St. Cloud St.226400.6057%34.001.200±0.42622.200.887±0.499
win California (PA)348200.8074%34.301.575±0.50217.401.031±1.139
  at Shippensburg298200.8071%33.001.368±0.47521.100.990±0.396
win Bentley337100.8878%25.121.361±1.28415.880.609±0.400
  at Stonehill144500.4446%23.780.884±0.34829.001.055±0.351
  Angelo St.256400.6057%28.501.067±0.37224.600.862±0.402
win at Tex. A&M-Kingsville308200.8071%31.601.341±0.64524.200.861±0.321
  Stillman183500.3840%22.750.912±0.31424.621.222±0.595
win at Tuskegee276210.7268%21.891.125±0.58518.220.837±0.546
  Edward Waters130300.0011%14.000.514±0.16940.332.339±0.250
win at Valdosta St.535400.5654%26.891.087±0.42424.220.933±0.466
  Mercyhurst134600.4043%20.100.756±0.28020.900.974±0.332
win at West Chester306400.6057%32.801.330±0.62617.700.626±0.374
win Minn. Duluth349100.9079%40.501.520±0.44611.600.396±0.347
  at Winona St.137400.6461%33.641.174±0.31623.000.810±0.348
win Colorado St.-Pueblo266300.6760%27.440.927±0.39419.220.738±0.509
  at Adams St.164510.4545%23.500.808±0.42325.601.035±0.566
ConfidencePickTeamExpected ScoreWLT%RankSPGFactorStd. Dev.APGFactorStd. Dev.
  Tusculum202600.2534%26.751.136±0.30635.881.349±0.272
win at Carson-Newman578200.8075%35.701.860±1.23518.600.694±0.339
  Lenoir-Rhyne234600.4041%27.701.105±0.60922.801.138±0.807
win at Catawba254500.4446%25.000.961±0.47122.000.765±0.502
  Northeastern St.232800.2029%18.300.647±0.43332.601.110±0.625
win at Central Okla.283700.3035%24.000.922±0.27933.001.358±0.508
  West Va. Wesleyan121520.2531%15.500.574±0.45028.251.120±0.737
win at Charleston (WV)408110.8574%36.301.423±0.63719.100.803±0.664
win Washburn477300.7066%39.301.458±0.51120.100.729±0.453
  at Emporia St.142800.2028%19.800.690±0.32032.301.190±0.315
  Ashland185500.5051%25.801.023±0.40925.901.131±0.594
win at Findlay287300.7065%24.901.112±0.73016.600.707±0.470
win Western N.M.532700.2229%30.441.378±0.76446.672.194±0.650
  at Fort Lewis301900.1021%14.900.565±0.28739.201.718±0.744
win Shepherd416300.6763%33.671.403±0.35922.110.860±0.249
  at Glenville St.225410.5553%26.201.015±0.59125.801.331±0.959
win Arkansas Tech447200.7869%40.891.498±0.31424.891.164±0.707
  at Harding215500.5050%20.300.720±0.41328.701.109±0.627
win Wingate316300.6762%31.111.285±0.61827.111.236±0.521
  at Mars Hill286300.6762%24.220.979±0.34125.000.928±0.707
ConfidencePickTeamExpected ScoreWLT%RankSPGFactorStd. Dev.APGFactorStd. Dev.
  Abilene Christian148200.8073%32.901.188±0.49018.500.639±0.286
win at Midwestern St.258200.8072%38.301.415±0.43512.600.415±0.299
  Brevard175300.6258%18.620.555±0.18625.381.007±0.648
win at Newberry295400.5653%28.001.181±0.34424.561.062±0.379
  Henderson St.293600.3339%31.561.230±0.50030.891.101±0.504
win at Ouachita Baptist304400.5048%27.380.988±0.62021.750.978±0.528
win Ark.-Monticello244600.4044%21.800.940±0.55629.601.011±0.543
  at Southern Ark.183600.3339%17.000.648±0.35828.440.945±0.440
  West Tex. A&M175500.5052%30.201.331±0.58724.700.906±0.266
win at Tarleton St.299100.9078%30.801.198±0.73914.000.476±0.320
  Mary165500.5049%23.000.740±0.22323.700.951±0.384
win at Wayne St. (NE)317300.7067%31.101.345±0.64322.700.682±0.306
  Concord224420.5050%24.501.026±0.74626.001.034±0.612
win at West Liberty St.367120.8073%33.501.413±0.94521.500.923±0.711
win Fairmont St.193620.3642%17.000.683±0.56624.000.827±0.457
  at West Virginia St.122610.2834%13.890.545±0.43829.781.088±0.752
win Central Wash.2610001.0085%28.701.169±0.37912.200.648±0.713
  at Western Ore.124400.5049%19.880.891±0.46122.250.909±0.468
  Missouri S&T263600.3336%20.670.771±0.53434.001.636±0.726
win at Southwest Baptist445500.5049%31.901.045±0.38031.301.363±0.697
ConfidencePickTeamExpected ScoreWLT%RankSPGFactorStd. Dev.APGFactorStd. Dev.
win Chadron St.296400.6057%28.601.049±0.33117.900.671±0.372
  at Western St.113610.3539%16.800.579±0.41927.101.063±0.536
  Minn. St. Moorhead132800.2027%12.200.487±0.35338.701.559±0.369
win at Southwest Minn. St.524600.4042%34.401.315±0.69427.101.032±0.259
win Tex. A&M-Commerce374500.4445%25.560.847±0.42830.331.240±0.823
  at Southwestern Okla.141900.1017%12.900.411±0.19838.301.592±0.681
win Southeastern Okla.396400.6054%31.801.072±0.43229.901.139±0.467
  at East Central1201000.0013%11.700.381±0.27034.201.318±0.268
win Fort Hays St.365500.5052%31.701.332±0.60836.801.293±0.556
  at Mo. Southern St.323600.3339%23.000.919±0.48330.890.974±0.283
  Neb.-Omaha336400.6057%33.201.365±0.40124.600.783±0.523
win at Mo. Western St.358200.8072%39.601.619±0.41825.800.905±0.376
win Bemidji St.518300.7367%32.451.386±0.81020.360.763±0.296
  at Concordia-St. Paul173600.3340%23.220.798±0.48638.441.490±0.865
win UNC Pembroke428100.8976%34.891.541±0.57412.330.448±0.340
  at North Greenville41700.1226%7.380.347±0.26530.621.055±0.419
win Neb.-Kearney299100.9079%39.801.484±0.53615.200.580±0.272
  at Mesa St.125500.5050%21.900.687±0.35119.600.727±0.288
win Upper Iowa522800.2028%29.601.090±0.50541.401.658±0.652
  at Minn.-Crookston130900.0014%8.220.286±0.17946.221.800±0.386
ConfidencePickTeamExpected ScoreWLT%RankSPGFactorStd. Dev.APGFactorStd. Dev.
win St. Joseph's (IN)344400.5047%26.000.814±0.47924.751.102±0.553
  at Central St. (OH)141700.1218%14.250.475±0.39233.001.610±0.938
win Urbana282200.5052%16.000.806±0.42322.000.989±0.551
  at Seton Hill251710.1723%25.671.078±0.70335.561.719±0.845
win Hope302600.2533%24.001.193±0.68525.380.942±0.477
  at Alma224400.5048%25.250.811±0.39625.751.193±0.612
  Trinity (CT)145100.8372%29.671.424±0.52218.000.808±0.275
win at Amherst156001.0085%18.830.837±0.2258.330.530±0.474
win St. John's (MN)318001.0088%27.381.149±0.25215.120.538±0.280
  at Augsburg144400.5049%24.500.919±0.29627.501.100±0.392
win North Central (IL)296200.7570%49.502.215±0.61317.000.693±0.582
  at Augustana (IL)175300.6262%25.251.025±0.55013.620.569±0.341
win Concordia Chicago277100.8873%34.121.150±0.49018.751.298±0.743
  at Aurora194400.5046%20.750.634±0.19620.750.909±0.689
  Wilmington (OH)201700.1225%15.500.621±0.34328.621.097±0.397
win at Baldwin-Wallace242600.2533%22.500.837±0.44331.121.274±0.638
win Bowdoin492400.3339%29.171.796±0.55028.001.974±1.311
  at Bates260600.0015%15.500.756±0.29928.501.581±0.595
  Grinnell242700.2228%22.330.826±0.35929.891.403±0.813
win at Beloit305400.5653%25.220.844±0.55827.891.154±0.474
ConfidencePickTeamExpected ScoreWLT%RankSPGFactorStd. Dev.APGFactorStd. Dev.
win Wash. & Jeff.426100.8674%34.291.216±0.59411.140.502±0.240
  at Bethany (WV)91500.1727%19.330.753±0.48134.501.235±0.252
win St. Thomas (MN)257100.8877%40.881.879±0.54015.000.673±0.321
  at Bethel (MN)206200.7570%28.881.397±0.61114.620.575±0.221
  Randolph-Macon245300.6255%20.620.940±0.50217.250.871±0.427
win at Bridgewater (VA)266200.7568%30.501.514±0.72226.121.168±0.474
win Cortland St.386200.7568%23.250.898±0.46513.380.577±0.321
  at Brockport203500.3840%34.621.514±0.52038.621.746±0.582
win Coe207100.8878%27.381.081±0.45314.500.546±0.266
  at Buena Vista104400.5049%17.620.719±0.41517.000.809±0.303
win Ohio Northern336200.7570%34.251.502±0.28519.750.799±0.650
  at Capital306200.7569%33.621.674±0.52922.120.939±0.329
win Concordia-M'head273400.4349%21.141.114±0.29424.290.859±0.244
  at Carleton233500.3840%22.881.081±0.56627.121.137±0.514
win Case388001.0083%45.751.698±0.46916.380.841±0.383
  at Carnegie Mellon215300.6259%25.251.221±0.58820.880.869±0.489
  Lake Forest132700.2230%15.670.655±0.40526.561.093±0.303
win at Carroll (WI)194500.4445%18.890.684±0.34520.780.834±0.357
  North Park201700.1225%11.880.588±0.24741.621.537±0.559
win at Carthage685300.6260%35.001.952±0.89336.251.549±0.497
ConfidencePickTeamExpected ScoreWLT%RankSPGFactorStd. Dev.APGFactorStd. Dev.
win Norwich476300.6760%24.220.809±0.23412.670.575±0.516
  at Castleton St.123500.3836%23.750.741±0.30142.002.456±1.226
  Guilford152600.2532%16.620.581±0.35922.250.955±0.244
win at Catholic181700.1224%16.380.902±0.75023.750.986±0.393
win Redlands376100.8674%39.711.784±0.67918.861.059±0.608
  at Chapman143400.4346%14.000.670±0.30121.290.897±0.329
  Maryville (TN)183500.3843%20.120.864±0.23226.381.075±0.434
win at Chris. Newport255300.6261%20.751.038±0.73821.750.879±0.444
  Tufts92400.3340%9.330.397±0.25314.830.567±0.237
win at Colby123300.5050%16.330.954±0.58321.831.077±0.685
win Loras282600.2535%20.881.061±0.58431.251.151±0.428
  at Cornell College171700.1222%14.750.558±0.31029.381.207±0.308
  Mass.-Dartmouth30900.0014%5.780.226±0.18931.891.273±0.419
win at Curry337200.7871%24.441.086±0.43013.000.577±0.551
  Austin234300.5752%30.141.139±0.30525.141.444±0.797
win at DePauw386100.8675%32.001.222±0.48319.000.775±0.530
  Albright188001.0083%35.621.405±0.60214.880.737±0.414
win at Delaware Valley227100.8881%28.251.505±0.41713.380.485±0.338
  Juniata51800.1122%6.000.263±0.24231.671.296±0.581
win at Dickinson437100.8878%30.751.479±0.68021.250.821±0.530
ConfidencePickTeamExpected ScoreWLT%RankSPGFactorStd. Dev.APGFactorStd. Dev.
win Luther284400.5051%18.120.934±0.63920.500.859±0.415
  at Dubuque233500.3839%27.501.059±0.56131.121.510±0.374
win Millikin205300.6260%25.621.004±0.55226.000.881±0.368
  at Elmhurst194400.5051%21.750.760±0.35420.380.801±0.321
  Wash. & Lee213600.3339%24.671.176±0.48323.441.127±0.356
win at Emory & Henry235300.6261%22.250.914±0.50420.250.752±0.318
  Crown (MN)413600.3333%36.441.146±0.41740.221.909±0.700
win at Eureka495500.5049%30.001.019±0.59132.101.250±0.311
win King's (PA)382600.2536%19.881.092±0.42632.001.177±0.386
  at FDU-Florham301700.1226%23.001.020±0.57437.381.743±1.099
win Averett316200.7566%25.251.057±0.33020.881.012±0.711
  at Ferrum253400.4345%26.861.110±0.29827.861.250±0.357
win Maine Maritime617100.8876%43.121.833±0.69829.621.732±1.195
  at Fitchburg St.394500.4443%26.671.073±0.49230.891.528±0.548
win Coast Guard223500.3842%23.380.928±0.42330.251.099±0.509
  at Framingham St.225400.5653%19.670.736±0.32223.670.950±0.291
  McDaniel294400.5047%21.880.840±0.31026.381.615±1.015
win at Gettysburg583500.3842%37.382.124±0.82830.881.462±0.854
  Montclair St.147100.8875%26.880.933±0.38317.120.806±0.747
win at Rowan316200.7566%42.881.551±0.29213.500.551±0.284
ConfidencePickTeamExpected ScoreWLT%RankSPGFactorStd. Dev.APGFactorStd. Dev.
  Methodist192600.2530%21.500.872±0.41234.251.605±0.565
win at Greensboro274400.5050%17.750.726±0.27021.380.860±0.323
  Westminster (PA)262500.2936%23.430.950±0.34435.141.395±0.254
win at Grove City453400.4347%30.711.339±0.72728.571.070±0.565
win St. Olaf253500.3843%19.500.867±0.54515.000.555±0.171
  at Gust. Adolphus143500.3844%22.501.084±0.38431.121.172±0.205
  Salisbury184400.5051%28.121.073±0.42820.750.753±0.297
win at Hampden-Sydney298001.0085%35.501.478±0.56316.120.648±0.410
  Marietta203500.3840%14.620.560±0.31325.621.075±0.322
win at Heidelberg273500.3842%25.001.065±0.42835.381.330±0.302
  Rensselaer184300.5755%21.711.108±0.72517.860.751±0.503
win at Hobart184300.5758%22.861.090±0.61117.570.742±0.435
win Wis. Lutheran244400.5049%23.120.970±0.55020.501.233±1.035
  at Benedictine (IL)194400.5046%20.000.642±0.27722.001.131±0.245
win St. Norbert548100.8978%36.561.778±0.71819.560.801±0.412
  at Illinois Col.235400.5653%29.111.180±0.64029.111.546±0.716
win Wheaton (IL)187100.8879%33.251.685±0.70714.120.502±0.250
  at Ill. Wesleyan177100.8879%29.121.386±0.83712.750.426±0.301
win Alfred357001.0085%39.861.676±0.67919.570.853±0.265
  at Ithaca235300.6259%27.621.193±0.46822.750.784±0.392
ConfidencePickTeamExpected ScoreWLT%RankSPGFactorStd. Dev.APGFactorStd. Dev.
  Muskingum202600.2533%17.000.845±0.57326.750.943±0.265
win at John Carroll203500.3843%19.880.808±0.27926.620.975±0.506
  Frank. & Marsh.287100.8875%32.381.483±0.45619.251.135±0.469
win at Johns Hopkins326200.7568%30.621.520±0.81717.380.945±0.726
  Albion202600.2534%11.620.578±0.33322.880.825±0.417
win at Kalamazoo264400.5046%30.121.157±0.59132.501.902±0.636
  Denison242600.2535%16.880.787±0.44831.751.014±0.531
win at Kenyon303600.3338%24.561.091±0.50628.331.527±1.067
win Monmouth (IL)709001.0086%48.332.139±0.55610.440.435±0.334
  at Knox51800.1120%12.000.415±0.21132.671.467±0.501
win Cal Lutheran516100.8677%35.571.706±0.71213.710.609±0.189
  at La Verne80700.0015%13.570.611±0.33932.431.310±0.468
  Lycoming153500.3845%19.000.962±0.68323.120.856±0.165
win at Lebanon Valley267100.8876%29.751.167±0.32617.380.696±0.356
win Hamline243500.3843%23.121.061±0.45030.001.191±0.671
  at Macalester182610.2831%16.560.564±0.52022.891.025±0.748
  Minn.-Morris311500.1723%17.500.614±0.30233.001.153±0.598
win at MacMurray381700.1224%33.001.176±0.47046.251.904±0.441
win Bridgewater St.356300.6761%30.671.271±0.38918.000.908±0.466
  at Mass. Maritime223600.3337%27.781.084±0.52227.331.155±0.320
ConfidencePickTeamExpected ScoreWLT%RankSPGFactorStd. Dev.APGFactorStd. Dev.
  Hamilton121500.1729%8.830.581±0.62425.331.067±0.290
win at Middlebury383300.5052%29.331.744±0.59724.831.052±0.598
  Otterbein127100.8875%32.381.270±0.51222.501.053±0.444
win at Mount Union428001.0086%42.621.752±0.5089.500.349±0.263
  Gallaudet175400.5649%25.110.663±0.30916.890.973±0.843
win at Maritime (NY)276300.6759%36.331.091±0.48619.220.862±0.518
  Shenandoah191700.1222%17.880.746±0.30219.120.833±0.371
win at N.C. Wesleyan306200.7570%34.751.611±0.34225.121.043±0.525
  Earlham194400.5047%17.750.679±0.42030.251.343±0.584
win at Ohio Wesleyan192600.2531%16.380.554±0.29926.251.088±0.376
win Occidental285200.7168%23.001.192±0.58118.140.733±0.365
  at Pomona-Pitzer164300.5753%22.000.833±0.21725.001.142±0.435
win Willamette425200.7165%37.431.461±0.41518.290.721±0.280
  at Puget Sound110700.0015%13.430.660±0.53729.001.129±0.286
  Lawrence61700.1222%9.120.327±0.21036.121.530±0.383
win at Ripon416300.6763%26.891.147±0.41917.780.600±0.469
win Rochester (NY)263500.3845%23.501.119±0.45028.000.935±0.330
  at St. Lawrence182600.2536%14.880.801±0.59125.751.023±0.417
win Plymouth St.327200.7868%31.221.197±0.34720.000.951±0.601
  at Salve Regina244500.4444%26.561.134±0.50422.221.202±0.700
ConfidencePickTeamExpected ScoreWLT%RankSPGFactorStd. Dev.APGFactorStd. Dev.
  St. John Fisher264300.5757%31.711.419±0.32327.860.923±0.418
win at Springfield477100.8879%43.251.934±0.28720.500.752±0.471
win WPI243500.3839%27.121.131±0.49221.121.006±0.781
  at Susquehanna236200.7566%23.881.072±0.58116.881.093±0.863
  Western Conn. St.291700.1225%19.500.854±0.45740.621.737±0.749
win at TCNJ544400.5049%34.381.177±0.53430.501.609±0.808
win Centre247100.8876%24.620.941±0.58616.880.602±0.268
  at Trinity (TX)165300.6256%28.120.936±0.41723.121.038±0.887
win Union (NY)286200.7567%20.881.013±0.44318.500.867±0.253
  at Merchant Marine204400.5050%22.501.118±0.71227.121.383±1.107
  Muhlenberg142600.2534%13.120.637±0.46616.750.597±0.370
win at Ursinus174400.5052%25.751.100±0.60221.621.018±1.003
  Hiram60800.0014%8.880.543±0.51943.251.965±0.830
win at Wabash807100.8878%39.881.885±0.43312.750.550±0.297
win Central (IA)329001.0087%36.781.581±0.37814.330.611±0.404
  at Wartburg185300.6259%28.501.271±0.35020.500.847±0.454
win Chicago234300.5755%25.861.121±0.41828.711.264±0.462
  at Washington-St. Louis213500.3842%17.750.681±0.38923.500.793±0.360
  Lake Erie136300.6764%30.001.321±0.42626.891.047±0.609
win at Wesley437001.0085%36.711.765±0.7058.710.461±0.340
ConfidencePickTeamExpected ScoreWLT%RankSPGFactorStd. Dev.APGFactorStd. Dev.
win Williams435100.8372%30.671.580±0.52714.330.681±0.386
  at Wesleyan (CT)113300.5047%17.500.697±0.53921.171.692±1.449
  Nichols234500.4444%19.110.923±0.45229.001.560±0.376
win at Western New Eng.345400.5655%23.221.122±0.80525.891.171±0.378
win Claremont-M-S223400.4343%17.710.796±0.42121.290.881±0.618
  at Whittier193400.4345%20.570.900±0.31026.711.258±0.598
  Widener163500.3841%21.500.905±0.49525.751.126±0.484
win at Wilkes225300.6263%17.250.993±0.75918.120.706±0.296
win Kean187100.8877%30.381.228±0.45014.880.541±0.404
  at Wm. Paterson124400.5049%21.120.790±0.34816.120.532±0.236
win Wis.-La Crosse465300.6258%32.621.270±0.52324.501.075±0.552
  at Wis.-Eau Claire374400.5052%30.001.689±0.49933.751.530±0.540
  Wis.-River Falls253500.3845%27.121.474±0.52628.881.033±0.373
win at Wis.-Stevens Point285200.7170%22.711.113±0.47821.430.665±0.297
  Wis.-Platteville113500.3842%19.750.813±0.19924.620.849±0.302
win at Wis.-Stout215200.7168%24.000.848±0.46416.140.480±0.263
  Wis.-Oshkosh94400.5054%28.881.202±0.60826.120.897±0.369
win at Wis.-Whitewater437001.0085%41.431.876±0.6137.570.305±0.198
  Allegheny57100.8875%22.880.863±0.52617.250.629±0.448
win at Wittenberg238001.0084%36.751.367±0.4744.620.272±0.243
ConfidencePickTeamExpected ScoreWLT%RankSPGFactorStd. Dev.APGFactorStd. Dev.
  Oberlin111700.1226%10.380.467±0.23328.501.010±0.246
win at Wooster384400.5052%31.881.543±0.56425.750.903±0.383
win Westfield St.216300.6764%19.110.774±0.44611.000.378±0.184
  at Worcester St.51800.1121%13.780.483±0.19728.001.012±0.402
win Rose-Hulman575400.5653%36.441.349±0.56825.111.222±0.342
  at Anderson (IN)221600.1424%20.000.745±0.43439.571.674±0.725
win Lakeland284400.5052%25.621.057±0.42624.500.755±0.548
  at Concordia (WI)164400.5050%18.250.780±0.32924.381.180±0.658
  Westminster (MO)273400.4344%30.571.235±0.50332.711.450±0.633
win at Greenville305200.7166%22.000.882±0.33224.290.805±0.481
  Bluffton160800.0014%13.000.503±0.25435.381.306±0.287
win at Hanover352600.2534%25.251.053±0.43433.001.224±0.343
  Becker90900.0014%11.890.386±0.46149.561.882±0.456
win at Husson483500.3841%25.120.985±0.61722.380.843±0.328
  Rockford110800.0013%6.000.238±0.20943.501.910±0.393
win at Maranatha Baptist110800.0013%5.750.242±0.24239.122.002±0.961
  Menlo174400.5049%14.000.484±0.29220.500.919±0.543
win at Pacific Lutheran202500.2932%23.290.861±0.28630.711.379±0.710
win Mississippi Col.446200.7571%36.751.622±0.63531.250.899±0.409
  at Sul Ross St.212600.2528%22.620.669±0.35827.881.160±0.609
ConfidencePickTeamExpected ScoreWLT%RankSPGFactorStd. Dev.APGFactorStd. Dev.
win Louisiana Col.575300.6259%36.381.401±0.50930.381.032±0.602
  at Texas Lutheran190800.0012%17.750.661±0.19640.001.592±0.442
  Geneva141100.5054%29.501.235±0.35335.000.958±0.068
win at Thomas More317001.0086%27.711.009±0.34912.430.451±0.193
  Thiel333400.4343%21.000.884±0.34027.291.350±0.716
win at Waynesburg454400.5047%38.121.427±0.48133.121.719±1.362
  Manchester214400.5050%21.500.743±0.22322.120.899±0.595
win at Franklin275300.6260%30.381.221±0.38427.251.051±0.355
win Mary Hardin-Baylor416100.8674%37.711.254±0.5519.860.336±0.175
  at Howard Payne113400.4342%34.570.998±0.41030.141.148±0.470
win Hardin-Simmons305400.5654%26.220.985±0.54025.220.868±0.379
  at McMurry264400.5049%28.501.052±0.32431.001.157±0.389
  Defiance153500.3840%18.250.709±0.27024.620.890±0.394
win at Mt. St. Joseph338001.0083%37.251.360±0.43719.620.899±0.436
  St. Scholastica173500.3838%22.880.791±0.23628.621.334±0.594
win at Martin Luther315310.6154%29.560.787±0.52019.890.805±0.561
  MIT171700.1222%17.880.709±0.17828.881.310±0.896
win at Endicott294500.4446%23.330.950±0.46223.330.972±0.540
win Whitworth364500.4445%21.110.878±0.28224.891.002±0.420
  at Lewis & Clark221600.1424%22.570.856±0.44441.001.700±0.432
ConfidencePickTeamExpected ScoreWLT%RankSPGFactorStd. Dev.APGFactorStd. Dev.
win Utica283500.3840%33.381.010±0.31822.250.799±0.268
  at Mount Ida174500.4447%19.330.854±0.53625.890.875±0.409
win Huntingdon457100.8878%39.251.550±0.67221.750.815±0.255
  at Birmingham-So.244400.5050%28.751.104±0.31026.251.269±0.540
  Adrian225300.6257%26.620.980±0.59115.120.687±0.460
win at Trine237100.8875%36.251.459±0.44919.120.940±0.416
  Buffalo St.231700.1225%13.620.547±0.35040.001.506±0.367
win at Morrisville St.231800.1123%15.220.587±0.47643.781.560±0.545

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