The Rimbot's NCAA Week of 11-16-2009 Predictions

Confidence	Pick	Team	Expected Score	W	L	T	%	Rank	SPG	Factor	Std. Dev.	APG	Factor	Std. Dev.
		Chattanooga	9	6	4	0	0.60	56%	23.60	0.882	±0.230	23.80	0.984	±0.489
		at Alabama	32	10	0	0	1.00	88%	30.90	1.446	±0.483	10.90	0.380	±0.243
		Oregon	33	8	2	0	0.80	74%	37.10	1.619	±0.584	20.90	0.736	±0.416
		at Arizona	24	6	3	0	0.67	64%	30.44	1.254	±0.352	22.22	0.816	±0.400
		Mississippi St.	29	4	6	0	0.40	47%	24.50	1.339	±0.731	25.20	0.819	±0.422
		at Arkansas	36	6	4	0	0.60	61%	37.60	1.672	±0.502	25.50	0.985	±0.542
		Central Mich.	35	8	2	0	0.80	70%	33.10	1.115	±0.473	18.00	0.701	±0.352
		at Ball St.	14	1	9	0	0.10	20%	20.50	0.786	±0.251	28.60	1.150	±0.430
		North Carolina	17	7	3	0	0.70	66%	23.40	0.981	±0.539	16.20	0.578	±0.237
		at Boston College	17	7	3	0	0.70	65%	27.70	1.145	±0.541	18.50	0.639	±0.447
		Akron	22	2	8	0	0.20	29%	18.30	0.868	±0.499	28.80	1.136	±0.560
		at Bowling Green	30	5	5	0	0.50	51%	25.40	1.078	±0.463	27.00	1.070	±0.451
		Air Force	23	7	4	0	0.64	60%	28.91	1.051	±0.481	13.27	0.523	±0.281
		at BYU	18	8	2	0	0.80	71%	35.30	1.280	±0.497	21.60	0.821	±0.525
		Louisiana Tech	25	3	7	0	0.30	37%	26.70	1.055	±0.555	25.90	0.869	±0.273
		at Fresno St.	31	6	4	0	0.60	60%	32.90	1.318	±0.504	25.40	0.862	±0.480
		Arizona St.	18	4	6	0	0.40	43%	23.80	0.846	±0.328	21.00	0.735	±0.278
		at UCLA	17	5	5	0	0.50	51%	22.60	0.845	±0.237	21.40	0.728	±0.328
Confidence	Pick	Team	Expected Score	W	L	T	%	Rank	SPG	Factor	Std. Dev.	APG	Factor	Std. Dev.
		Tulane	14	3	7	0	0.30	36%	17.20	0.610	±0.508	36.50	1.383	±0.315
		at UCF	33	6	4	0	0.60	58%	23.30	0.904	±0.449	22.10	0.787	±0.198
		Virginia	14	3	7	0	0.30	39%	19.80	0.913	±0.427	24.00	0.790	±0.471
		at Clemson	30	7	3	0	0.70	67%	33.00	1.391	±0.440	17.90	0.585	±0.373
		UAB	20	5	5	0	0.50	49%	28.50	0.937	±0.410	31.70	1.215	±0.371
		at East Carolina	26	5	4	1	0.55	55%	21.70	0.833	±0.412	19.70	0.778	±0.380
		Maryland	26	2	8	0	0.20	29%	21.30	0.987	±0.535	32.70	1.257	±0.446
		at Florida St.	46	5	5	0	0.50	54%	31.90	1.589	±0.662	30.60	1.016	±0.352
		FIU	10	3	7	0	0.30	35%	25.10	0.926	±0.273	33.40	1.273	±0.374
		at Florida	46	10	0	0	1.00	89%	33.90	1.477	±0.515	10.50	0.373	±0.229
		Kentucky	29	6	4	0	0.60	58%	26.80	1.267	±0.432	21.70	0.900	±0.501
		at Georgia	27	6	4	0	0.60	60%	27.50	1.368	±0.566	25.90	0.929	±0.521
		Memphis	27	2	8	0	0.20	28%	21.80	0.888	±0.312	33.00	1.270	±0.452
		at Houston	54	8	2	0	0.80	72%	41.10	1.680	±0.541	30.80	1.189	±0.589
		Purdue	34	4	7	0	0.36	42%	26.91	1.221	±0.602	29.82	1.043	±0.276
		at Indiana	29	4	7	0	0.36	41%	23.73	1.147	±0.386	28.73	1.225	±0.596
		Minnesota	16	6	5	0	0.55	56%	23.55	1.124	±0.513	25.73	0.980	±0.392
		at Iowa	28	9	2	0	0.82	76%	24.09	1.288	±0.515	16.91	0.591	±0.286
		SMU	23	6	4	0	0.60	58%	27.80	1.128	±0.409	29.40	1.186	±0.580
		at Marshall	25	5	5	0	0.50	51%	20.70	0.885	±0.504	21.60	0.807	±0.430
Confidence	Pick	Team	Expected Score	W	L	T	%	Rank	SPG	Factor	Std. Dev.	APG	Factor	Std. Dev.
		Buffalo	31	3	7	0	0.30	37%	23.80	0.999	±0.370	26.20	0.985	±0.442
		at Miami (OH)	16	1	10	0	0.09	23%	15.45	0.664	±0.492	33.45	1.211	±0.398
		Duke	24	5	5	0	0.50	51%	25.20	1.102	±0.578	26.10	0.969	±0.330
		at Miami (FL)	36	7	3	0	0.70	68%	31.50	1.619	±0.635	24.20	0.867	±0.366
		Penn St.	28	9	2	0	0.82	75%	28.55	1.309	±0.769	11.64	0.463	±0.302
		at Michigan St.	15	6	5	0	0.55	56%	31.00	1.360	±0.448	23.55	0.882	±0.489
		Ohio St.	36	9	2	0	0.82	75%	30.00	1.338	±0.474	12.36	0.452	±0.371
		at Michigan	15	5	6	0	0.45	46%	31.27	1.309	±0.598	28.09	1.161	±0.504
		Arkansas St.	22	2	7	0	0.22	30%	22.67	0.914	±0.629	21.67	0.879	±0.453
		at Middle Tenn.	23	7	3	0	0.70	61%	29.80	0.905	±0.428	24.30	0.967	±0.273
		LSU	15	8	2	0	0.80	73%	25.00	0.998	±0.301	13.70	0.508	±0.325
		at Mississippi	16	7	3	0	0.70	66%	31.10	1.228	±0.598	15.90	0.547	±0.210
		Iowa St.	19	6	5	0	0.55	54%	20.82	0.899	±0.500	21.55	0.810	±0.408
		at Missouri	25	6	4	0	0.60	59%	28.90	1.205	±0.353	23.20	0.820	±0.420
		Kansas St.	11	6	5	0	0.55	54%	24.82	1.132	±0.797	23.91	0.852	±0.510
		at Nebraska	24	7	3	0	0.70	65%	26.20	1.104	±0.560	11.00	0.362	±0.232
		Nevada	42	7	3	0	0.70	63%	39.10	1.373	±0.732	26.20	1.016	±0.431
		at New Mexico St.	11	3	7	0	0.30	34%	11.20	0.414	±0.387	29.30	1.127	±0.404
		Colorado St.	32	3	7	0	0.30	38%	21.70	0.914	±0.297	31.20	1.072	±0.372
		at New Mexico	19	0	10	0	0.00	13%	15.70	0.649	±0.287	35.30	1.469	±0.477
Confidence	Pick	Team	Expected Score	W	L	T	%	Rank	SPG	Factor	Std. Dev.	APG	Factor	Std. Dev.
		Army	25	4	6	0	0.40	40%	16.40	0.618	±0.126	23.30	1.042	±0.262
		at North Texas	26	2	8	0	0.20	27%	28.00	0.962	±0.421	38.00	1.591	±0.593
		Wisconsin	32	8	2	0	0.80	74%	31.10	1.328	±0.351	22.60	0.812	±0.340
		at Northwestern	20	7	4	0	0.64	58%	24.45	0.922	±0.273	22.64	1.078	±0.523
		Connecticut	30	4	5	0	0.44	49%	29.67	1.469	±0.705	23.56	0.874	±0.319
		at Notre Dame	27	6	4	0	0.60	59%	29.30	1.177	±0.191	23.30	0.867	±0.374
		Northern Ill.	23	7	3	0	0.70	60%	30.70	1.011	±0.314	17.10	0.737	±0.383
		at Ohio	17	7	3	0	0.70	61%	24.70	0.907	±0.345	20.90	0.843	±0.357
		Colorado	16	3	7	0	0.30	36%	21.90	0.849	±0.349	28.70	1.031	±0.498
		at Oklahoma St.	36	8	2	0	0.80	74%	33.10	1.299	±0.388	20.60	0.658	±0.403
		UTEP	45	3	7	0	0.30	35%	27.70	0.996	±0.504	35.10	1.433	±0.642
		at Rice	24	1	9	0	0.10	21%	17.50	0.677	±0.249	41.50	1.771	±0.611
		Hawaii	31	4	6	0	0.40	42%	24.50	0.887	±0.437	30.50	1.112	±0.335
		at San Jose St.	15	1	8	0	0.11	25%	13.56	0.514	±0.240	36.89	1.163	±0.531
		Louisville	13	4	6	0	0.40	44%	18.10	0.774	±0.300	24.70	0.903	±0.294
		at South Fla.	25	6	3	0	0.67	64%	27.33	1.052	±0.594	19.11	0.667	±0.408
		Tulsa	23	4	5	1	0.45	46%	26.70	0.857	±0.584	21.00	0.713	±0.418
		at Southern Miss.	24	6	4	0	0.60	56%	33.20	1.204	±0.312	23.50	0.963	±0.512
		La.-Monroe	31	6	4	0	0.60	55%	27.10	1.014	±0.555	26.90	0.988	±0.577
		at La.-Lafayette	21	5	5	0	0.50	49%	21.40	0.770	±0.557	29.90	1.189	±0.575
Confidence	Pick	Team	Expected Score	W	L	T	%	Rank	SPG	Factor	Std. Dev.	APG	Factor	Std. Dev.
		California	30	7	3	0	0.70	66%	30.70	1.276	±0.860	22.40	0.875	±0.331
		at Stanford	33	7	3	0	0.70	64%	36.10	1.579	±0.772	24.20	0.966	±0.308
		Rutgers	31	7	2	0	0.78	71%	29.11	1.203	±0.343	15.56	0.579	±0.366
		at Syracuse	13	3	7	0	0.30	38%	19.20	0.900	±0.544	26.60	1.014	±0.273
		Kent St.	18	5	5	0	0.50	48%	21.20	0.766	±0.256	21.30	1.006	±0.585
		at Temple	28	8	2	0	0.80	70%	29.90	1.214	±0.530	21.20	0.976	±0.468
		Vanderbilt	14	2	9	0	0.18	28%	16.36	0.672	±0.484	22.64	0.854	±0.393
		at Tennessee	28	5	5	0	0.50	52%	30.60	1.337	±0.427	21.20	0.785	±0.340
		Baylor	33	4	6	0	0.40	44%	23.30	1.055	±0.542	26.90	0.961	±0.161
		at Texas A&M	34	5	5	0	0.50	49%	33.00	1.358	±0.579	34.00	1.255	±0.775
		Oklahoma	30	6	4	0	0.60	59%	33.30	1.367	±0.673	12.10	0.394	±0.333
		at Texas Tech	18	6	4	0	0.60	59%	37.90	1.755	±0.931	23.50	0.849	±0.502
		Kansas	15	5	5	0	0.50	50%	29.40	1.356	±0.533	24.90	0.939	±0.530
		at Texas	42	10	0	0	1.00	88%	41.60	1.821	±0.356	12.60	0.439	±0.191
		Eastern Mich.	25	0	10	0	0.00	14%	15.50	0.625	±0.280	38.40	1.486	±0.320
		at Toledo	43	4	6	0	0.40	42%	28.50	1.134	±0.526	39.30	1.680	±0.553
		Fla. Atlantic	30	3	6	0	0.33	37%	27.89	1.053	±0.468	34.89	1.523	±0.511
		at Troy	42	7	3	0	0.70	64%	30.20	1.068	±0.384	29.10	1.054	±0.460
		Boise St.	51	10	0	0	1.00	86%	43.60	1.645	±0.413	16.90	0.616	±0.380
		at Utah St.	17	3	7	0	0.30	35%	27.60	0.991	±0.364	30.70	1.187	±0.492
Confidence	Pick	Team	Expected Score	W	L	T	%	Rank	SPG	Factor	Std. Dev.	APG	Factor	Std. Dev.
		San Diego St.	20	4	6	0	0.40	43%	24.90	0.990	±0.284	30.00	1.278	±0.358
		at Utah	37	8	2	0	0.80	71%	29.00	1.250	±0.531	20.30	0.798	±0.272
		North Carolina St.	21	4	6	0	0.40	43%	32.60	1.401	±0.681	30.90	1.190	±0.636
		at Virginia Tech	43	7	3	0	0.70	69%	29.70	1.669	±0.809	16.60	0.596	±0.316
		Oregon St.	49	7	3	0	0.70	66%	31.40	1.347	±0.331	23.40	0.830	±0.357
		at Washington St.	12	1	9	0	0.10	23%	13.40	0.524	±0.238	39.00	1.426	±0.358
		TCU	41	10	0	0	1.00	89%	39.20	1.713	±0.664	12.90	0.449	±0.265
		at Wyoming	8	5	5	0	0.50	51%	17.60	0.649	±0.485	26.60	0.947	±0.307
		Mississippi Val.	10	3	7	0	0.30	32%	13.40	0.347	±0.260	27.80	1.544	±0.808
		at Alabama A&M	34	6	4	0	0.60	58%	22.80	1.180	±0.546	21.80	0.886	±0.538
		Western Caro.	13	2	8	0	0.20	27%	14.10	0.602	±0.425	26.60	1.233	±0.806
		at Appalachian St.	45	8	2	0	0.80	73%	37.40	1.618	±0.391	23.10	0.916	±0.378
		Coastal Caro.	22	5	5	0	0.50	48%	18.20	0.697	±0.433	25.00	1.060	±0.585
		at Charleston So.	23	5	5	0	0.50	48%	23.80	0.829	±0.464	30.00	1.243	±0.760
		Florida A&M	27	7	3	0	0.70	64%	26.60	1.293	±0.593	22.70	1.179	±0.408
		at Bethune-Cookman	18	5	5	0	0.50	49%	16.80	0.733	±0.471	20.20	1.039	±0.423
		Holy Cross	38	9	1	0	0.90	78%	34.10	1.473	±0.384	21.80	1.008	±0.270
		at Bucknell	14	3	7	0	0.30	34%	13.90	0.652	±0.364	24.30	1.154	±0.423
		Drake	25	8	2	0	0.80	71%	27.20	1.329	±0.706	16.80	0.764	±0.578
		at Butler	22	9	1	0	0.90	78%	28.40	1.377	±0.785	18.90	0.905	±0.360
Confidence	Pick	Team	Expected Score	W	L	T	%	Rank	SPG	Factor	Std. Dev.	APG	Factor	Std. Dev.
		UC Davis	35	6	4	0	0.60	58%	24.40	1.010	±0.573	26.90	1.009	±0.493
		at Sacramento St.	25	4	6	0	0.40	42%	24.30	0.954	±0.478	34.30	1.444	±0.444
		Jacksonville	43	5	4	0	0.56	55%	30.78	1.600	±0.689	21.67	1.132	±0.670
		at Campbell	21	3	7	0	0.30	36%	20.00	0.887	±0.417	28.10	1.347	±0.549
		Brown	27	6	3	0	0.67	62%	25.22	1.173	±0.562	18.78	0.907	±0.303
		at Columbia	20	3	6	0	0.33	38%	21.89	1.031	±0.422	22.89	1.067	±0.485
		Princeton	16	3	6	0	0.33	38%	11.78	0.603	±0.425	28.22	1.310	±0.596
		at Dartmouth	24	2	7	0	0.22	32%	16.67	0.957	±0.684	28.78	1.210	±0.622
		Marist	13	7	3	0	0.70	60%	21.30	0.844	±0.349	16.10	0.935	±0.676
		at Dayton	21	8	2	0	0.80	71%	24.70	1.115	±0.310	13.40	0.662	±0.315
		Howard	12	2	8	0	0.20	28%	9.30	0.445	±0.255	29.30	1.420	±0.527
		at Delaware St.	23	3	6	0	0.33	38%	16.44	0.797	±0.436	26.89	1.190	±0.645
		Bryant	22	4	6	0	0.40	42%	17.10	0.758	±0.411	19.00	0.893	±0.670
		at Duquesne	18	3	7	0	0.30	34%	20.20	0.917	±0.567	27.60	1.398	±0.657
		Tennessee St.	11	3	7	0	0.30	34%	14.00	0.573	±0.265	19.80	0.860	±0.271
		at Eastern Ill.	22	8	2	0	0.80	71%	26.50	1.101	±0.522	18.60	0.805	±0.647
		Wofford	31	3	7	0	0.30	37%	23.50	0.999	±0.535	31.00	1.302	±0.429
		at Furman	36	5	5	0	0.50	50%	28.20	1.151	±0.341	32.50	1.287	±0.457
		Fordham	33	4	6	0	0.40	42%	27.30	1.245	±0.455	27.30	1.212	±0.639
		at Georgetown	12	0	10	0	0.00	15%	9.20	0.462	±0.355	26.80	1.197	±0.377
Confidence	Pick	Team	Expected Score	W	L	T	%	Rank	SPG	Factor	Std. Dev.	APG	Factor	Std. Dev.
		Citadel	29	4	6	0	0.40	42%	24.50	0.965	±0.481	27.30	1.174	±0.451
		at Ga. Southern	23	4	6	0	0.40	44%	19.20	0.888	±0.359	29.70	1.170	±0.511
		Morgan St.	15	5	5	0	0.50	48%	15.90	0.714	±0.417	22.00	1.190	±0.723
		at Hampton	22	5	5	0	0.50	49%	20.20	0.889	±0.391	19.70	0.992	±0.616
		Massachusetts	25	5	5	0	0.50	51%	25.70	1.199	±0.721	19.20	0.767	±0.386
		at Hofstra	15	4	6	0	0.40	42%	18.00	0.810	±0.641	21.40	0.920	±0.341
		UNI	43	7	3	0	0.70	64%	34.70	1.514	±0.538	12.30	0.493	±0.344
		at Illinois St.	12	5	5	0	0.50	49%	23.30	1.012	±0.363	26.00	1.322	±0.778
		Alcorn St.	18	2	6	0	0.25	33%	20.00	0.925	±0.704	35.38	1.383	±0.474
		at Jackson St.	21	3	6	0	0.33	37%	14.67	0.587	±0.280	19.44	0.869	±0.484
		Eastern Ky.	13	5	5	0	0.50	48%	19.60	0.813	±0.501	20.60	1.018	±0.494
		at Jacksonville St.	32	7	3	0	0.70	65%	35.10	1.369	±0.654	16.20	0.627	±0.362
		Towson	11	2	8	0	0.20	30%	13.60	0.572	±0.330	35.90	1.530	±0.482
		at James Madison	31	5	5	0	0.50	52%	19.90	0.901	±0.464	19.60	0.811	±0.490
		Lafayette	30	8	2	0	0.80	74%	29.40	1.585	±0.679	20.40	0.823	±0.345
		at Lehigh	18	3	7	0	0.30	36%	20.30	0.914	±0.423	21.30	0.898	±0.423
		Central Ark.	27	5	5	0	0.50	48%	28.20	0.901	±0.347	16.70	0.597	±0.290
		at McNeese St.	22	8	2	0	0.80	71%	38.60	1.272	±0.475	26.10	1.115	±0.760
		Robert Morris	17	4	6	0	0.40	41%	19.10	0.797	±0.289	18.40	0.934	±0.691
		at Monmouth	18	5	5	0	0.50	51%	21.70	0.889	±0.369	21.50	0.878	±0.349
Confidence	Pick	Team	Expected Score	W	L	T	%	Rank	SPG	Factor	Std. Dev.	APG	Factor	Std. Dev.
		Montana	28	10	0	0	1.00	85%	34.70	1.300	±0.454	17.80	0.727	±0.396
		at Montana St.	16	7	3	0	0.70	63%	23.80	0.831	±0.342	21.10	0.804	±0.307
		Maine	20	5	5	0	0.50	49%	21.90	0.958	±0.330	22.20	0.969	±0.550
		at New Hampshire	31	8	2	0	0.80	69%	33.10	1.344	±0.505	19.10	0.970	±0.535
		Winston-Salem	10	1	9	0	0.10	20%	11.70	0.503	±0.194	21.60	1.067	±0.429
		at Norfolk St.	29	6	4	0	0.60	59%	26.50	1.360	±0.678	19.00	0.910	±0.360
		Savannah St.	23	2	6	0	0.25	29%	20.88	0.709	±0.358	33.25	2.021	±0.792
		at N.C. Central	38	3	7	0	0.30	33%	23.30	0.890	±0.432	27.30	1.291	±0.455
		Youngstown St.	22	5	5	0	0.50	50%	19.30	0.735	±0.442	20.80	0.906	±0.432
		at North Dakota St.	26	3	7	0	0.30	35%	28.60	1.250	±0.644	27.60	1.227	±0.495
		Eastern Wash.	35	7	3	0	0.70	64%	32.20	1.268	±0.586	24.00	0.894	±0.576
		at Northern Ariz.	26	5	5	0	0.50	50%	28.20	1.111	±0.462	27.80	1.081	±0.283
		Stephen F. Austin	53	8	2	0	0.80	71%	39.00	1.273	±0.695	20.30	0.914	±0.713
		at Northwestern St.	12	0	10	0	0.00	14%	14.80	0.469	±0.297	38.20	1.447	±0.810
		Cornell	9	2	7	0	0.22	28%	19.00	0.816	±0.287	26.00	1.216	±0.344
		at Penn	24	7	2	0	0.78	71%	20.00	0.876	±0.373	10.56	0.491	±0.416
		Ark.-Pine Bluff	18	5	3	0	0.62	58%	24.88	1.102	±0.993	22.88	0.993	±0.273
		at Prairie View	25	7	1	0	0.88	77%	26.88	1.040	±0.374	15.62	0.758	±0.613
		Northeastern	24	2	8	0	0.20	31%	13.90	0.660	±0.352	34.60	1.378	±0.576
		at Rhode Island	31	1	9	0	0.10	22%	20.50	0.985	±0.614	37.30	1.663	±0.631
Confidence	Pick	Team	Expected Score	W	L	T	%	Rank	SPG	Factor	Std. Dev.	APG	Factor	Std. Dev.
		William & Mary	20	9	1	0	0.90	80%	28.10	1.219	±0.234	13.90	0.561	±0.291
		at Richmond	20	9	1	0	0.90	78%	32.90	1.524	±0.535	15.40	0.769	±0.404
		Central Conn. St.	33	8	2	0	0.80	71%	26.30	1.285	±0.540	22.70	1.016	±0.262
		at St. Francis (PA)	15	2	8	0	0.20	27%	15.90	0.651	±0.557	26.70	1.177	±0.646
		Elon	21	8	2	0	0.80	70%	32.50	1.252	±0.769	13.50	0.575	±0.442
		at Samford	12	5	5	0	0.50	49%	21.00	0.812	±0.379	16.50	0.681	±0.385
		Southern Utah	30	4	6	0	0.40	42%	32.90	1.227	±0.459	30.80	1.164	±0.568
		at San Diego	27	4	6	0	0.40	42%	20.90	0.935	±0.354	20.20	1.065	±0.875
		N.C. A&T	13	4	5	0	0.44	44%	17.33	0.738	±0.305	20.00	1.201	±0.637
		at South Carolina St.	34	9	1	0	0.90	79%	32.40	1.485	±0.463	15.70	0.828	±0.521
		Southern Ill.	41	9	1	0	0.90	79%	34.90	1.712	±0.668	15.20	0.662	±0.457
		at Southeast Mo. St.	14	2	8	0	0.20	29%	21.60	0.934	±0.991	25.70	1.078	±0.522
		Nicholls St.	18	2	8	0	0.20	28%	17.10	0.655	±0.335	39.70	1.463	±0.691
		at Southeastern La.	44	6	4	0	0.60	57%	31.40	1.040	±0.510	29.20	0.956	±0.540
		Sam Houston St.	31	5	5	0	0.50	48%	28.10	1.047	±0.605	34.30	1.494	±0.828
		at Texas St.	48	6	4	0	0.60	58%	32.30	1.365	±0.569	29.70	1.075	±0.478
		Liberty	33	8	2	0	0.80	71%	36.70	1.407	±0.676	17.40	0.746	±0.319
		at Stony Brook	16	5	5	0	0.50	49%	23.10	0.840	±0.240	22.30	0.970	±0.414
		Murray St.	21	3	7	0	0.30	34%	18.60	0.736	±0.617	30.00	1.329	±0.713
		at Tennessee Tech	28	5	5	0	0.50	49%	22.20	0.880	±0.527	27.20	1.192	±0.430
Confidence	Pick	Team	Expected Score	W	L	T	%	Rank	SPG	Factor	Std. Dev.	APG	Factor	Std. Dev.
		Austin Peay	28	4	6	0	0.40	42%	20.40	0.927	±0.374	27.00	1.292	±0.475
		at Tenn.-Martin	29	4	6	0	0.40	40%	25.20	0.929	±0.365	28.50	1.414	±0.476
		Morehead St.	21	2	8	0	0.20	26%	16.30	0.638	±0.450	23.20	1.275	±0.518
		at Valparaiso	13	1	9	0	0.10	23%	11.50	0.514	±0.317	31.50	1.304	±0.555
		Delaware	16	6	4	0	0.60	59%	27.00	1.359	±0.623	20.70	0.964	±0.442
		at Villanova	31	9	1	0	0.90	81%	32.00	1.520	±0.354	13.00	0.502	±0.269
		Old Dominion	41	8	2	0	0.80	68%	32.90	1.365	±0.796	20.40	0.919	±0.273
		at VMI	17	2	8	0	0.20	28%	19.00	0.840	±0.425	29.60	1.293	±0.484
		Albany (NY)	36	6	4	0	0.60	56%	25.10	1.072	±0.541	18.50	0.869	±0.503
		at Wagner	26	6	4	0	0.60	56%	31.00	1.347	±0.729	30.10	1.551	±1.045
		Cal Poly	22	4	6	0	0.40	43%	24.40	0.997	±0.579	25.60	1.023	±0.360
		at Weber St.	28	6	4	0	0.60	57%	29.10	1.017	±0.270	20.80	0.983	±0.471
		South Dakota St.	30	7	3	0	0.70	65%	25.80	1.135	±0.490	14.10	0.528	±0.311
		at Western Ill.	8	1	9	0	0.10	21%	14.70	0.616	±0.446	27.70	1.143	±0.443
		Harvard	22	6	3	0	0.67	63%	26.44	1.187	±0.309	18.00	0.772	±0.314
		at Yale	14	4	5	0	0.44	43%	18.11	0.741	±0.433	16.89	0.943	±0.648
		Gardner-Webb	47	5	5	0	0.50	48%	28.40	1.028	±0.621	26.30	1.134	±0.519
		at Presbyterian	22	0	10	0	0.00	14%	20.00	0.815	±0.319	42.00	1.812	±0.521